Atletico-MG vs Coritiba Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 31
FT
Post on X
Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Atletico-MG
59%
25%
16%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Atletico-MG vs Coritiba: Sportiko assegna a Atletico-MG una probabilità di vittoria del 59%, a Coritiba del 16% e al pareggio del 25%. Ultimo aggiornamento 17 Oct 2026, 23:29.

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Timeline

Thiago Borbas ⇄ Reinier
45' ⇄
HT 0–0
⇄ 60'
Paulo Roberto ⇄ Rodrigo Rodrigues
⇄ 61'
Joaquín Lavega ⇄ Breno Lopes
⇄ 62'
Fabricio Bustos ⇄ Tinga
Tomás Pérez ⇄ Kevin Castaño
62' ⇄
Alan Minda ⇄ Tomás Cuello
62' ⇄
Kauã Pascini ⇄ Renan Lodi
62' ⇄
Mamady Cissé ⇄ Victor Hugo
74' ⇄
Igor Gomes assist: Natanael
78' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 79'
Sebastian Gomez ⇄ Nicolas Fonseca
⇄ 79'
Pedro Rocha ⇄ Brian Ocampo
▮ 90+4'
Bruno Melo Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Atletico-MG

Match Stats

Coritiba
58% Ball Possession 42%
1.36 Expected Goals (xG) 0.69
22 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 7
7 Blocked Shots 3
14 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 6
10 Corner Kicks 5
3 Offsides 1
16 Fouls 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 9
540 Total passes 393
489 Passes accurate 327
10 Free Kicks 14
Atletico-MG
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Igor Gomes M 8.2 90' 1 – 4 38 (33%) –
2 Natanael D 8.1 90' – 1 1 52 (51%) 1
3 Léo Duarte D 7.8 90' – – 3 40 (37%) –
14 Vitor Hugo D 7.5 90' – – 1 50 (46%) 1
1 Gabriel Delfim G 7.5 90' – – – 26 (17%) –
36 Kauã Pascini D 7.3 62' – – 1 32 (31%) 2
25 Tomás Pérez M 7.2 62' – – – 59 (54%) 1
5 Alexsander M 7.2 90' – – 1 72 (68%) 4
30 Victor Hugo M 7.1 16' – – 2 7 (7%) 1
19 Reinier M 7.1 44' – – 3 15 (15%) –
6 Renan Lodi D 7.0 28' – – – 17 (16%) –
15 Kevin Castaño M 6.9 28' – – – 24 (23%) –
28 Tomás Cuello F 6.8 28' – – – 14 (8%) –
39 Mamady Cissé M 6.7 74' – – 1 48 (43%) –
27 Alan Minda M 6.6 62' – – 2 32 (28%) –
18 Thiago Borbas F 6.6 46' – – 2 6 (5%) –
Coritiba
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Pedro Morisco G 8.8 90' – – – 44 (38%) –
55 Jacy Maranhão D 7.5 90' – – 1 46 (40%) 2
10 Josué M 7.2 90' – – 3 66 (59%) 3
7 Joaquín Lavega M 7.0 61' – – 1 15 (14%) 1
23 Tiago Cóser D 6.9 90' – – 3 33 (26%) –
17 Brian Ocampo F 6.8 11' – – 1 3 (2%) –
21 Thiago Santos M 6.7 90' – – – 43 (39%) 2
26 Bruno Melo D 6.7 90' – – – 34 (29%) 2
2 Tinga D 6.6 28' – – 1 10 (8%) –
18 Paulo Roberto F 6.6 60' – – 1 9 (8%) –
32 Pedro Rocha M 6.5 79' – – – 16 (14%) 3
77 Breno Lopes F 6.4 29' – – 1 4 (3%) –
5 Nicolas Fonseca M 6.4 11' – – – 11 (9%) –
99 Rodrigo Rodrigues F 6.3 30' – – – 8 (4%) –
19 Sebastian Gomez M 6.2 79' – – 1 21 (15%) –
14 Fabricio Bustos D 6.0 62' – – – 28 (18%) 2
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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Atletico-MG
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Atletico-MG
DLLLL
Coritiba
LWLLD
Last 3 meetings Atletico-MG · 1W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
59%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
16%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Atletico-MG

No scorer data.

Coritiba
Pedro Rocha 9 gls
Breno Lopes 8 gls

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Head to Head: Atletico-MG vs Coritiba

1 Atletico-MG Wins
0 Draws
2 Coritiba Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Apr 2026 Coritiba 2 - 0 Atletico-MG
08 Oct 2023 Atletico-MG 1 - 2 Coritiba
20 May 2023 Coritiba 1 - 2 Atletico-MG
Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Atletico-MG — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Gremio D 1 - 1
05 Nov A Botafogo L 1 - 0
01 Nov A Gremio L 2 - 0
29 Oct H Cruzeiro L 0 - 1
26 Oct A Flamengo L 3 - 2

Coritiba — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov A Internacional L 1 - 0
31 Oct H Vitoria W 2 - 0
26 Oct H Gremio L 0 - 1
17 Oct A Atletico-MG L 1 - 0
12 Oct H Botafogo D 1 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
34 23 7 4 +42 76
2
Palmeiras
34 21 10 3 +39 73
3
Cruzeiro
34 18 6 10 +7 60
4
Fluminense
34 16 9 9 +13 57
5
Atletico Paranaense
34 15 9 10 +8 54
6
Bahia
34 14 11 9 +5 53
7
Atletico-MG
34 14 8 12 +4 50
8
RB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 +5 47
9
Santos
34 12 11 11 +1 47
10
Sao Paulo
34 12 8 14 0 44
11
Botafogo
34 11 9 14 -7 42
12
Coritiba
34 11 9 14 -11 42
13
Vasco DA Gama
33 11 8 14 -7 41
14
Mirassol
34 10 10 14 -9 40
15
Vitoria
34 10 8 16 -16 38
16
Internacional
34 9 11 14 -4 38
17
Corinthians
34 9 10 15 -6 37
18
Gremio
34 9 10 15 -9 37
19
Remo
34 6 11 17 -20 29
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
33 4 9 20 -35 21

Coritiba

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Fernando Seabra
1 Luccas
26 Melo
55 Jacy
23 Cóser
14 Bustos
19 Gómez
21 Santos
7 Lavega
10 Josué
32 Rocha
18 Roberto

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Pedro Luccas G
14 F. Bustos D
23 Tiago Cóser D
55 Jacy D
26 Bruno Melo D
21 Thiago Santos M
19 S. Gómez M
32 Pedro Rocha M
10 Josué M
7 J. Lavega M
18 Paulo Roberto F

Substitutes

36 Vini Paulista F
5 N. Fonseca M
13 Keiller G
3 Maicon D
17 B. Ocampo F
78 Renato Marques F
4 Rodrigo Moledo D
99 Rodrigo Rodrigues F
2 Tinga D
50 Tissi M
77 Breno Lopes F
6 Felipe Jonatan D

Atletico-MG

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: E. Domínguez
1 Delfim
36 Pascini
14 Hugo
3 Duarte
2 Natanael
5 Alexsander
25 Pérez
17 Gomes
39 Cisse
27 Minda
18 Borbas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Gabriel Delfim G
2 Natanael D
3 Léo Duarte D
14 Vitor Hugo D
36 K. Pascini D
25 T. Pérez M
5 Alexsander M
27 A. Minda M
39 Mamady Cisse M
17 Igor Gomes M
18 T. Borbas F

Substitutes

19 Reinier M
92 Dudu F
31 Robert G
23 A. Preciado D
13 Lyanco D
8 Maycon M
11 Bernard M
15 K. Castaño M
28 T. Cuello F
40 Vitão D
30 Victor Hugo M
6 Renan Lodi D

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