Palmeiras vs Bahia Previsione
Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
Previsione AI
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Palmeiras
61%
23%
16%
Vittoria Casa
Pareggio
Vittoria Ospite
Pronostico Palmeiras vs Bahia: Sportiko assegna a Palmeiras una probabilità di vittoria del 61%, a Bahia del 16% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 9 Oct 2026, 02:25.
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- Under 3.5 Gol 73%
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Timeline
José Manuel López
assist: Alexander Barboza
7'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
▮
61'
Nicolás Acevedo
Yellow Card
Khellven
Yellow Card
64'
▮
⇄
65'
Erick Pulga
⇄ Ademir
⇄
65'
Nicolás Acevedo
⇄ Caio Alexandre
⇄
65'
Rodrigo Nestor
⇄ Erick
Vitor Roque
⇄ Ramón Sosa
69'
⇄
José Manuel López
⇄ Jhon Arias
69'
⇄
⇄
82'
Cristian Olivera
⇄ Mateo Sanabria
⇄
82'
Alejo Véliz
⇄ Willian José
▮
87'
Jean Lucas
Yellow Card
Andreas Pereira
⇄ Felipe Anderson
87'
⇄
FT 1–0
Palmeiras
Match Stats
Bahia
41%
Ball Possession
59%
26
Total Shots
10
11
Shots on Goal
1
12
Shots off Goal
4
3
Blocked Shots
5
16
Shots insidebox
3
10
Shots outsidebox
7
7
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
10
361
Total passes
540
301
Passes accurate
485
10
Free Kicks
9
Palmeiras
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 José Manuel López M | 8.2 | 69' | 1 | – | 3 | 19 (13%) | 2 |
| 15 Gustavo Gómez D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 28 (28%) | 2 |
| 2 Alexander Barboza D | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 38 (28%) | 3 |
| 26 Murilo D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (36%) | – |
| 56 Arthur Gabriel M | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (27%) | 2 |
| 17 Marlon Freitas M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 47 (42%) | 2 |
| 8 Andreas Pereira M | 7.2 | 87' | – | – | 3 | 32 (26%) | 2 |
| 11 Jhon Arias M | 7.0 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | 1 |
| 1 Carlos Miguel G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (10%) | – |
| 19 Ramón Sosa F | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | 3 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 30 Lucas Evangelista M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (39%) | 1 |
| 7 Felipe Anderson M | 6.8 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 12 Khellven M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 30 (26%) | 3 |
| 9 Vitor Roque F | 6.5 | 69' | – | – | 5 | 14 (8%) | 1 |
Bahia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ronaldo G | 8.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (33%) | – |
| 8 Caio Alexandre M | 7.0 | 25' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | 2 |
| 4 Kanu D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 90 (86%) | 2 |
| 33 David Duarte D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 71 (67%) | 1 |
| 46 Luciano Juba D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (39%) | 1 |
| 7 Ademir F | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 12 Willian José F | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 6 Jean Lucas M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (33%) | 1 |
| 14 Erick M | 6.4 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 11 Rodrigo Nestor M | 6.4 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 34 (28%) | 1 |
| 31 Román Gómez D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (51%) | 2 |
| 23 Mateo Sanabria F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 99 Cristian Olivera F | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 16 Erick Pulga F | 6.2 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 9 Alejo Véliz F | 6.1 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 5 Nicolás Acevedo M | 6.0 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 64 (54%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (61%)
At a glance
Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Palmeiras
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Palmeiras
WWDWL
Bahia
LWDLW
Last 3 meetings
Palmeiras · 1W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
61%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
16%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Palmeiras
J. López
10 gls
Maurício
10 gls
Bahia
Luciano Juba
11 gls
AI match tools
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Palmeiras vs Bahia
1
Palmeiras Wins
0
Draws
2
Bahia Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 2026 | Bahia | 1 - 2 | Palmeiras |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Bahia | 1 - 0 | Palmeiras |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Palmeiras | 0 - 1 | Bahia |
Palmeiras — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Remo | W | 6 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Vasco DA Gama | W | 1 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | A Santos | D | 0 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H RB Bragantino | W | 2 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | H Fluminense | L | 0 - 1 |
Bahia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Cruzeiro | L | 3 - 2 |
| 29 Oct | H Sao Paulo | W | 3 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Santos | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Flamengo | L | 0 - 3 |
| 11 Oct | H Mirassol | W | 1 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71 | 29 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |
Cruzeiro
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 42 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 40 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |
Santos
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |
Sao Paulo
|
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |
Botafogo
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Coritiba
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |
Vitoria
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |
Corinthians
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |
Gremio
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 21 |
Bahia
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Rogério Ceni
1
Ronaldo
46
Juba
4
Kanu
33
Duarte
31
Gomez
6
Lucas
5
Acevedo
11
Nestor
16
Pulga
9
Véliz
99
Olivera
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo | G |
| 31 | Roman Gomez | D |
| 33 | David Duarte | D |
| 4 | Kanu | D |
| 46 | Luciano Juba | D |
| 11 | Rodrigo Nestor | M |
| 5 | N. Acevedo | M |
| 6 | Jean Lucas | M |
| 99 | C. Olivera | F |
| 9 | A. Véliz | F |
| 16 | Erick Pulga | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | Marco Moreno | D |
| 17 | G. Herrera | G |
| 44 | Marcos Victor | D |
| 14 | Erick | M |
| 15 | M. Araújo | M |
| 23 | M. Sanabria | F |
| 8 | Caio Alexandre | M |
| 27 | Everaldo | F |
| 7 | Ademir | F |
| 12 | Willian José | F |
| 10 | Éverton Ribeiro | M |
| 66 | Zé Guilherme | D |
Palmeiras
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Abel Ferreira
1
Miguel
2
Barboza
15
Gómez
26
Murilo
56
Arthur
17
Freitas
8
Pereira
12
Khellven
30
Evangelista
42
López
9
Roque
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Miguel | G |
| 26 | Murilo | D |
| 15 | G. Gómez | D |
| 2 | A. Barboza | D |
| 12 | Khellven | M |
| 8 | Andreas Pereira | M |
| 17 | Marlon Freitas | M |
| 56 | Arthur | M |
| 42 | J. López | M |
| 30 | Lucas Evangelista | M |
| 9 | Vitor Roque | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | Bruno Fuchs | D |
| 11 | J. Arias | M |
| 4 | A. Giay | D |
| 14 | Marcelo Lomba | G |
| 18 | Maurício | M |
| 32 | E. Martínez | M |
| 50 | Luis Felipe | M |
| 22 | J. Piquerez | D |
| 37 | Fabiano | M |
| 19 | R. Sosa | F |
| 48 | Larson | M |
| 7 | Felipe Anderson | M |