Botafogo vs Palmeiras Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

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Botafogo

Home

0 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Palmeiras

Away

Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Previsione AI Palmeiras o pareggio

25%

28%

48%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Botafogo vs Palmeiras: Sportiko assegna a Botafogo una probabilità di vittoria del 25%, a Palmeiras del 48% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 6 Sep 2026, 23:29.

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Under 3.5 Gol 71%

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Timeline

▮ 19'

Alexander Barboza Yellow Card

Arthur Cabral Yellow Card

20' ▮

Marçal Yellow Card

24' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 63'

Mauricio ⇄ Jhon Arias

⇄ 63'

Lucas Evangelista ⇄ Vitor Roque

Lucas Villalba ⇄ Júnior Santos

68' ⇄

Vitinho ⇄ Mateo Ponte

68' ⇄

Arthur Cabral ⇄ Kadir Barría

73' ⇄

Álvaro Montoro Yellow Card

76' ▮

▮ 77'

Marlon Freitas Yellow Card

Álvaro Montoro ⇄ Cristian Medina

78' ⇄

Danilo Santos ⇄ Edenilson

78' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Felipe Anderson ⇄ Emiliano Martínez

⇄ 80'

Agustín Giay ⇄ Khellven

⇄ 88'

Andreas Pereira ⇄ Larson

FT 0–0

Botafogo

Match Stats

Palmeiras

33% Ball Possession 67%

14 Total Shots 17

4 Shots on Goal 5

5 Shots off Goal 8

5 Blocked Shots 4

6 Shots insidebox 11

8 Shots outsidebox 6

5 Corner Kicks 9

0 Offsides 2

15 Fouls 12

3 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 1

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

295 Total passes 610

219 Passes accurate 525

12 Free Kicks 14

Botafogo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Gabriel Batista G	7.7	90'	–	–	–	30 (16%)	–
21 Marçal D	7.0	90'	–	–	2	23 (21%)	4
2 Vitinho D	6.9	68'	–	–	–	25 (19%)	–
7 Júnior Santos F	6.8	22'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	2
5 Nahuel Ferraresi D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	35 (24%)	3
75 Huguinho M	6.7	90'	–	–	2	35 (30%)	2
6 Cristian Medina M	6.6	12'	–	–	1	6 (6%)	–
37 Kadir Barría F	6.6	17'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
8 Danilo Santos M	6.5	78'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	3
88 Edenilson M	6.5	12'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
77 Lucas Villalba M	6.4	68'	–	–	2	13 (9%)	–
33 Lucas Monzón D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	–
90 Danilo M	6.3	90'	–	–	4	12 (9%)	1
10 Álvaro Montoro M	6.2	78'	–	–	2	25 (15%)	2
4 Mateo Ponte D	6.1	22'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
19 Arthur Cabral F	6.0	73'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	–

Palmeiras

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Carlos Miguel G	7.8	90'	–	–	–	19 (16%)	–
22 Joaquín Piquerez D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	60 (54%)	–
17 Marlon Freitas M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	91 (82%)	1
15 Gustavo Gómez D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	70 (64%)	3
30 Lucas Evangelista M	6.9	63'	–	–	3	51 (49%)	–
32 Emiliano Martínez M	6.8	10'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
8 Andreas Pereira M	6.7	88'	–	–	4	59 (49%)	2
4 Agustín Giay D	6.7	80'	–	–	1	50 (44%)	3
11 Jhon Arias M	6.6	27'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
12 Khellven D	6.5	10'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	–
48 Larson M	6.5	2'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
18 Mauricio M	6.4	63'	–	–	3	32 (27%)	4
42 José Manuel López F	6.3	90'	–	–	2	25 (20%)	–
9 Vitor Roque F	6.2	27'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	–
7 Felipe Anderson M	6.2	80'	–	–	1	49 (36%)	5
2 Alexander Barboza D	6.0	93'	–	–	1	72 (60%)	3

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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Palmeiras o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Botafogo

LWDDL

Palmeiras

DWWDD

Last 3 meetings Botafogo · 0W 0D 3L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

25%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

48%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Palmeiras goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	9	5	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	7	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Botafogo goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Botafogo

Danilo Santos 9 gls

Arthur Cabral 7 gls

Palmeiras

J. López 8 gls

Maurício 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

28%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

28%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

66% Away (No Draw) 34% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	8.9%	8.6%	4.7%	1.9%
1	5.6%	13.2%	9.6%	5.3%	2.2%
2	4.0%	6.6%	5.4%	2.9%	1.2%
3	1.5%	2.5%	2.0%	1.1%	0.5%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Botafogo	Draw	Palmeiras
Botafogo	12.9%	3.8%	2.1%
Draw	10.5%	17.0%	16.0%
Palmeiras	1.9%	4.9%	30.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Botafogo vs Palmeiras

0 Botafogo Wins

0 Draws

3 Palmeiras Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Mar 2026	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Botafogo
17 Aug 2025	Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
28 Jun 2025	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Botafogo

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Botafogo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Mirassol	L	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Gremio	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	H RB Bragantino	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Flamengo	L	3 - 0

Palmeiras — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Gremio	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Sao Paulo	W	2 - 0
09 Sep	H LDU de Quito	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Botafogo	D	0 - 0
03 Sep	A Santos	D	0 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Botafogo

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Randin Rande

12 Batista

21 Marçal

33 Monzón

5 Ferraresi

2 Vitinho

10 Montoro

75 Huguinho

8 Santos

77 Villalba

19 Cabral

90 Danilo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Gabriel Batista	G
2	Vitinho	D
5	N. Ferraresi	D
33	L. Monzón	D
21	Marçal	D
77	L. Villalba	M
8	Danilo Santos	M
75	Huguinho	M
10	Álvaro Montoro	M
90	Danilo	M
19	Arthur Cabral	F

Substitutes

6	C. Medina	M
25	Allan	M
79	Lucas Emanuel	F
37	K. Barria	F
88	Edenílson	M
91	Domingos Andrade	M
59	Kauan Toledo	M
34	G. Justino	D
4	M. Ponte	D
17	Warleson	G
36	Gabriel Abdias	D
7	Júnior Santos	F

Palmeiras

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Abel Ferreira

1 Miguel

22 Piquerez

2 Barboza

15 Gómez

4 Giay

30 Evangelista

8 Pereira

7 Anderson

18 Maurício

17 Freitas

42 López

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Carlos Miguel	G
4	A. Giay	D
15	G. Gómez	D
2	A. Barboza	D
22	J. Piquerez	D
8	Andreas Pereira	M
30	Lucas Evangelista	M
17	Marlon Freitas	M
18	Maurício	M
7	Felipe Anderson	M
42	J. López	F

Substitutes

26	Murilo	D
14	Marcelo Lomba	G
45	Erick Machado	M
32	E. Martínez	M
21	Bruno Bertinato	G
50	Luis Felipe	M
9	Vitor Roque	F
12	Khellven	D
48	Larson	M
39	Heittor	F
3	Bruno Fuchs	D
11	J. Arias	M