Santos vs Mirassol Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 24
FT
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Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Santos
55%
27%
18%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Santos vs Mirassol: Sportiko assegna a Santos una probabilità di vittoria del 55%, a Mirassol del 18% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Aug 2026, 23:35.

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Timeline

João Schmidt Yellow Card
20'
22'
Gabriel Knesowitsch Yellow Card
24'
Yellow Card
28'
Gabriel Knesowitsch ⇄ Lucas Oliveira
0–1 36'
Eduardo
HT 0–1
Rony ⇄ Gabriel Bontempo
46'
João Schmidt ⇄ Benjamín Rollheiser
61'
61'
Gustavo Cazonatti ⇄ Wallisson Luiz
61'
Eduardo ⇄ Japa
Álvaro Barreal assist: Neymar
68' 1–1
73'
Wallisson Luiz Red Card
76'
Igor Formiga Yellow Card
Álvaro Barreal ⇄ Thaciano
76'
78'
Bruno Santos
78'
Alesson ⇄ Fernandinho
Igor Vinícius ⇄ Davizinho
82'
Gabriel Barbosa ⇄ Gustavo Caballero
82'
Neymar Yellow Card
88'
FT 1–1
Santos

Match Stats

Mirassol
64% Ball Possession 36%
1.06 Expected Goals (xG) 0.23
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 3
12 Shots outsidebox 2
10 Corner Kicks 2
Offsides
9 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
572 Total passes 331
495 Passes accurate 246
87% Passes % 74%
0.02 goals_prevented 0.02
Santos
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Álvaro Barreal M 7.5 74' 1 2 36 (29%) 4
15 Willian Arão D 7.2 96' 1 84 (77%) 1
10 Neymar M 7.0 96' 1 6 61 (48%)
14 Luan Peres D 6.9 96' 1 66 (57%) 5
31 Gonzalo Escobar D 6.9 96' 75 (68%) 4
48 Gustavo Henrique Pereira M 6.9 96' 1 39 (36%) 6
32 Benjamín Rollheiser F 6.9 35' 1 30 (25%) 1
8 Gabriel Bontempo M 6.9 51' 31 (28%) 1
27 Davizinho F 6.7 14' 6 (6%)
9 Gabriel Barbosa F 6.7 82' 24 (19%)
18 Igor Vinícius D 6.6 82' 49 (43%) 3
77 Gabriel Brazão G 6.5 96' 10 (6%)
17 Gustavo Caballero F 6.3 14' 7 (6%)
16 Thaciano M 6.3 22' 4 (4%)
11 Rony M 6.3 45' 16 (13%)
5 João Schmidt M 6.3 61' 1 34 (30%)
Mirassol
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Walter G 7.3 96' 31 (20%)
33 Eduardo F 7.3 61' 1 1 20 (15%) 1
17 Fernandinho F 7.2 18' 1 (1%) 1
34 João Victor D 7.0 96' 1 28 (20%)
25 Neto Moura M 7.0 96' 1 48 (44%) 2
77 Alesson F 6.9 78' 17 (9%) 1
96 Carlos Eduardo F 6.9 18' 1 6 (6%) 1
3 Willian Machado D 6.9 96' 33 (27%) 1
2 Lucas Oliveira D 6.7 68' 1 20 (17%) 2
55 Gustavo Cazonatti M 6.6 61' 30 (26%) 1
32 Igor Formiga M 6.5 96' 44 (25%) 4
44 Gabriel Knesowitsch D 6.5 28' 13 (9%)
30 Bruno Santos F 6.3 78' 16 (11%) 2
5 Japa M 6.3 35' 5 (4%) 1
6 Reinaldo M 6.2 96' 18 (11%)
80 Wallisson Luiz M 4.0 12' 1 (1%)
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Santos
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Santos
WWWWD
Mirassol
WDWLD
Last 3 meetings Santos · 0W 2D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
55%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Santos
Gabriel Barbosa 11 gls
Mirassol

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Santos vs Mirassol

0 Santos Wins
2 Draws
1 Mirassol Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 Mar 2026 Mirassol 2 - 2 Santos
19 Nov 2025 Santos 1 - 1 Mirassol
19 Jul 2025 Mirassol 3 - 0 Santos

Santos — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Remo W 1 - 2
13 Sep H Cruzeiro W 2 - 1
09 Sep H Atletico-MG W 2 - 0
06 Sep A Internacional W 2 - 3
03 Sep H Palmeiras D 0 - 0

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Botafogo W 2 - 0
13 Sep H Vitoria D 2 - 2
06 Sep A Coritiba W 1 - 2
02 Sep A Flamengo L 2 - 0
30 Aug H Palmeiras D 1 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Santos

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cuca
77 Brazão
31 Escobar
14 Peres
15 Arão
18 Vinícius
5 Schmidt
48 Gustavinho
22 Barreal
10 Neymar
11 Rony
9 Barbosa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
77 Gabriel Brazão G
18 Igor Vinícius D
15 Willian Arão D
14 Luan Peres D
31 Gonzalo Escobar D
48 Gustavinho M
5 João Schmidt M
11 Rony M
10 Neymar M
22 Álvaro Barreal M
9 Gabriel Barbosa F

Substitutes

34 João Paulo G
26 João Paulo Ananias D
42 João Alencar D
28 Christian Oliva M
17 Gustavo Caballero F
27 Davizinho F
81 Samuel Mendes M
8 Gabriel Bontempo M
30 Miguelito M
32 Benjamín Rollheiser F
16 Thaciano M
21 Moisés F

Mirassol

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Rafael Guanaes
22 Walter
3 Machado
34 Victor
44 Knesowitsch
6 Reinaldo
25 Moura
55 Cazonatti
32 Formiga
33 Eduardo
77 Alesson
30 Santos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Walter G
44 Gabriel Knesowitsch D
34 João Victor D
3 Willian Machado D
32 Igor Formiga M
55 Gustavo Cazonatti M
25 Neto Moura M
6 Reinaldo M
33 Eduardo F
30 Bruno Santos F
77 Alesson F

Substitutes

2 Lucas Oliveira D
23 Alex Muralha G
12 Victor Luis D
20 Daniel Borges D
17 Fernandinho F
5 Japa M
80 Wallisson Luiz M
7 Shaylon M
19 Gustavo Silva M
10 Chico M
96 Carlos Eduardo F
9 André Luis F

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