Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama Previsione
Previsione AI
Palmeiras vince o pareggia
69%
20%
11%
Vittoria Casa
Pareggio
Vittoria Ospite
Pronostico Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama: Sportiko assegna a Palmeiras una probabilità di vittoria del 69%, a Vasco DA Gama del 11% e al pareggio del 20%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Aug 2026, 20:56.
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Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 74%
- Oltre 1.5 Gol 75%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline
Marlon Freitas
Yellow Card
9'
▮
▮
44'
Andrés Gómez
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Alexander Barboza
⇄ Murilo
46'
⇄
José Manuel López
assist: Allan
47'
⚽
1–0
▮
50'
Thiago Mendes
Yellow Card
Vitor Roque
Penalty
51'
⚽
2–0
Mauricio
assist: Andreas Pereira
56'
⚽
3–0
⇄
58'
Cuiabano
⇄ Riquelme Avellar
⇄
58'
Thiago Mendes
⇄ Ramon Rique
⇄
65'
Adson
⇄ Nuno Moreira
⇄
65'
David
⇄ Facundo Colidio
Allan
⇄ Felipe Anderson
71'
⇄
Vitor Roque
⇄ Jhon Arias
71'
⇄
Marlon Freitas
⇄ Emiliano Martínez
71'
⇄
⇄
72'
Andrés Gómez
⇄ Marino Hinestroza
▮
83'
Robert Renan
Yellow Card
Agustín Giay
⇄ Khellven
83'
⇄
José Manuel López
assist: Jhon Arias
89'
⚽
4–0
⚽
4–1
90+4'
Facundo Colidio
FT 4–1
Palmeiras
Match Stats
Vasco DA Gama
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1.60
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
5
4
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots insidebox
6
5
Shots outsidebox
3
5
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
440
Total passes
329
380
Passes accurate
281
86%
Passes %
85%
-1.39
goals_prevented
-1.39
Palmeiras
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 José Manuel López F | 8.2 | 82' | 1 | – | 2 | 20 (16%) | 3 |
| 18 Mauricio F | 7.7 | 82' | 1 | – | 1 | 31 (26%) | – |
| 1 Carlos Miguel G | 7.7 | 82' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | – |
| 8 Andreas Pereira M | 7.3 | 82' | – | 1 | – | 59 (46%) | 3 |
| 9 Vitor Roque F | 7.3 | 71' | 1 | – | 3 | 10 (8%) | 2 |
| 26 Murilo D | 7.2 | 37' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | 3 |
| 4 Agustín Giay D | 7.2 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 56 (51%) | 1 |
| 15 Gustavo Gómez D | 7.0 | 82' | – | – | – | 54 (48%) | – |
| 7 Felipe Anderson M | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 17 (16%) | 1 |
| 32 Emiliano Martínez M | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 17 Marlon Freitas M | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | – | 44 (43%) | – |
| 40 Allan M | 6.6 | 71' | – | 1 | – | 27 (25%) | 1 |
| 56 Arthur Gabriel M | 6.6 | 82' | – | – | – | 32 (24%) | 2 |
| 2 Alexander Barboza D | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 27 (22%) | 2 |
| 11 Jhon Arias M | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Thiago Mendes M | 6.7 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | 1 |
| 28 Adson M | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | – | 39 (36%) | 2 |
| 18 Marino Hinestroza F | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 17 Nuno Moreira M | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 83 Ramon Rique M | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 7 David F | 6.6 | 65' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 5 Santiago Sosa M | 6.6 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 41 (31%) | 2 |
| 9 Facundo Colidio F | 6.5 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 82 Riquelme Avellar D | 6.5 | 24' | – | – | – | 9 (5%) | 1 |
| 3 Tchê Tchê M | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 23 (21%) | – |
| 11 Andrés Gómez M | 6.2 | 72' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 3 |
| 30 Robert Renan D | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 30 (29%) | 3 |
| 96 Paulo Henrique D | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | – | 40 (33%) | 2 |
| 46 Carlos Cuesta D | 6.0 | 82' | – | – | – | 39 (39%) | 1 |
| 1 Léo Jardim G | 5.9 | 82' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | – |
| 66 Cuiabano D | 5.9 | 58' | – | – | – | 18 (10%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (69%)
At a glance
Il nostro approccio
Palmeiras vince o pareggia
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Palmeiras
DWWDD
Vasco DA Gama
WWWDL
Last 3 meetings
Palmeiras · 2W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
69%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
11%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Palmeiras
J. López
8 gls
Maurício
7 gls
Vasco DA Gama
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama
2
Palmeiras Wins
0
Draws
1
Vasco DA Gama Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 1 | Palmeiras |
| 01 Oct 2025 | Palmeiras | 3 - 0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| 04 May 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 0 - 1 | Palmeiras |
Palmeiras — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Gremio | D | 0 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Sao Paulo | W | 2 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | H LDU de Quito | W | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Botafogo | D | 0 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | A Santos | D | 0 - 0 |
Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Coritiba | W | 5 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | H Santa Fe | W | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Gremio | W | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Santa Fe | D | 0 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Fluminense | L | 1 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Palmeiras
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Abel Ferreira
1
Miguel
2
Barboza
15
Gómez
4
Giay
56
Gabriel
17
Freitas
8
Pereira
40
Allan
18
Mauricio
42
López
9
Roque
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Miguel | G |
| 4 | Agustín Giay | D |
| 15 | Gustavo Gómez | D |
| 2 | Alexander Barboza | D |
| 40 | Allan | M |
| 8 | Andreas Pereira | M |
| 17 | Marlon Freitas | M |
| 56 | Arthur Gabriel | M |
| 18 | Mauricio | F |
| 9 | Vitor Roque | F |
| 42 | José Manuel López | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | Murilo | D |
| 14 | Marcelo Lomba | G |
| 12 | Khellven | D |
| 3 | Bruno Fuchs | D |
| 11 | Jhon Arias | M |
| 50 | Luis Pacheco | M |
| 45 | Erick Belé | M |
| 32 | Emiliano Martínez | M |
| 30 | Lucas Evangelista | M |
| 7 | Felipe Anderson | M |
| 39 | Heittor | F |
| 37 | Riquelme Fillipi | F |
Vasco DA Gama
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Pedro Emanuel
1
Jardim
66
Cuiabano
30
Renan
46
Cuesta
96
Henrique
5
Sosa
11
Gómez
23
Mendes
3
Tchê
28
Adson
7
David
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Léo Jardim | G |
| 96 | Paulo Henrique | D |
| 46 | Carlos Cuesta | D |
| 30 | Robert Renan | D |
| 66 | Cuiabano | D |
| 5 | Santiago Sosa | M |
| 28 | Adson | M |
| 3 | Tchê Tchê | M |
| 23 | Thiago Mendes | M |
| 11 | Andrés Gómez | M |
| 7 | David | F |
Substitutes
| 82 | Riquelme Avellar | D |
| 83 | Ramon Rique | M |
| 13 | Daniel Fuzato | G |
| 80 | Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro | D |
| 43 | Lucas Freitas | D |
| 6 | Lucas Piton | D |
| 2 | Puma Rodríguez | D |
| 88 | Cauan Barros | M |
| 18 | Marino Hinestroza | F |
| 17 | Nuno Moreira | M |
| 9 | Facundo Colidio | F |
| 77 | Claudio Spinelli | F |