Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

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Atletico Paranaense

Away

Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Previsione AI Atletico Paranaense o pareggio

32%

30%

38%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense: Sportiko assegna a Botafogo una probabilità di vittoria del 32%, a Atletico Paranaense del 38% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 25 Aug 2026, 00:58.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 11'

⚽ 0–2 13'

Kevin Viveros assist: Dantas

Kauan Toledo Yellow Card

35' ▮

HT 0–2

Kauan Toledo ⇄ Júnior Santos

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Leozinho ⇄ Kerwin Calderón Vargas

⇄ 46'

Luiz Gustavo ⇄ Juan Portilla

⇄ 61'

⇄ Dudu

Cristian Medina ⇄ Kadir Barría

63' ⇄

Allan ⇄ Huguinho

63' ⇄

Edenilson Yellow Card

68' ▮

Edenilson ⇄ Santiago Rodríguez

72' ⇄

▮ 77'

Dantas Yellow Card

⚽ 0–3 78'

Kevin Viveros assist: Kerwin Calderón Vargas

Álvaro Montoro ⇄ Matheus Martins

80' ⇄

Santiago Rodríguez

85' ⚽ 1–3

⇄ 85'

Kevin Viveros ⇄ Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno

Kadir Barría assist: Danilo

90+2' ⚽ 2–3

FT 2–3

Botafogo

Match Stats

Atletico Paranaense

55% Ball Possession 45%

2.73 Expected Goals (xG) 0.83

32 Total Shots 7

8 Shots on Goal 6

14 Shots off Goal 1

10 Blocked Shots 0

16 Shots insidebox 5

16 Shots outsidebox 2

13 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 2

12 Fouls 8

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 6

486 Total passes 411

430 Passes accurate 346

88% Passes % 84%

1.36 goals_prevented 1.36

Botafogo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Santiago Rodríguez M	8.2	23'	2	–	2	9 (8%)	–
5 Nahuel Ferraresi D	7.3	95'	–	–	2	84 (75%)	4
9 Danilo F	7.0	95'	–	1	2	16 (16%)	–
25 Allan M	6.9	63'	–	–	1	50 (46%)	1
2 Vitinho D	6.7	95'	–	–	1	42 (36%)	3
88 Edenilson M	6.7	72'	–	–	2	26 (23%)	–
7 Júnior Santos F	6.7	50'	–	–	3	5 (5%)	–
75 Huguinho M	6.6	32'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	–
11 Matheus Martins F	6.6	15'	–	–	1	6 (6%)	–
37 Kadir Barría F	6.6	32'	–	–	2	6 (2%)	–
10 Álvaro Montoro M	6.3	80'	–	–	1	39 (34%)	–
34 Gabriel Justino D	6.2	95'	–	–	1	67 (62%)	1
6 Cristian Medina M	6.2	63'	–	–	–	38 (35%)	3
13 Alex Telles D	5.9	95'	–	–	2	47 (41%)	1
59 Kauan Toledo M	5.9	45'	–	–	2	12 (10%)	1
12 Gabriel Batista G	5.3	95'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	–

Atletico Paranaense

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Santos G	8.9	95'	–	–	–	28 (15%)	–
9 Kevin Viveros F	8.3	85'	2	–	2	15 (13%)	–
18 Kerwin Calderón Vargas F	7.7	50'	–	1	–	26 (25%)	–
4 Arthur Dias D	7.3	95'	–	–	–	43 (36%)	3
25 Dantas D	7.0	95'	–	1	–	47 (36%)	2
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D	6.9	95'	–	–	1	25 (24%)	2
7 Steven Mendoza M	6.9	95'	–	–	–	50 (47%)	2
29 Gastón Benavídez M	6.9	95'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	2
8 João Cruz F	6.7	61'	1	–	2	23 (20%)	1
70 Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno F	6.7	10'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
16 Jádson M	6.6	95'	–	–	1	47 (39%)	3
14 Luiz Gustavo M	6.6	45'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	–
27 Juan Portilla M	6.5	50'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	2
21 Leozinho F	6.5	45'	–	–	1	23 (19%)	–
53 Dudu M	6.3	34'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Atletico Paranaense o pareggio

Most likely score

0:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Botafogo

LWDDL

Atletico Paranaense

WDLDW

Last 3 meetings Botafogo · 1W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico Paranaense goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	15	12	6	2	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	3	4	3	1	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Botafogo goals · most likely 0–1 (15.0%)

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Players in form

Botafogo

Danilo Santos 9 gls

Arthur Cabral 7 gls

Atletico Paranaense

K. Viveros 18 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

32%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

32%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

75% Away (No Draw) 25% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.3%	15.0%	11.8%	5.6%	2.0%
1	7.0%	13.7%	8.6%	4.1%	1.5%
2	3.1%	4.4%	3.1%	1.5%	0.5%
3	0.8%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Botafogo	Draw	Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo	11.4%	4.5%	2.2%
Draw	6.5%	21.0%	20.3%
Atletico Paranaense	0.6%	3.0%	30.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense

1 Botafogo Wins

1 Draws

1 Atletico Paranaense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Mar 2026	Atletico Paranaense	4 - 1	Botafogo
05 Oct 2024	Atletico Paranaense	0 - 1	Botafogo
19 Jun 2024	Botafogo	1 - 1	Atletico Paranaense

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Botafogo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Mirassol	L	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Gremio	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	H RB Bragantino	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Flamengo	L	3 - 0

Atletico Paranaense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Bahia	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Coritiba	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Cruzeiro	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Fluminense	D	3 - 3
24 Aug	A Botafogo	W	2 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Botafogo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Franclim Carvalho

12 Batista

13 Telles

34 Justino

5 Ferraresi

2 Vitinho

25 Allan

6 Medina

59 Toledo

10 Montoro

88 Edenilson

9 Danilo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Gabriel Batista	G
2	Vitinho	D
5	Nahuel Ferraresi	D
34	Gabriel Justino	D
13	Alex Telles	D
6	Cristian Medina	M
25	Allan	M
88	Edenilson	M
10	Álvaro Montoro	M
59	Kauan Toledo	M
9	Danilo	F

Substitutes

7	Júnior Santos	F
75	Huguinho	M
37	Kadir Barría	F
62	Cléber Lucas	G
32	Rhyan Carvalho	G
42	Kadu Santos	D
4	Mateo Ponte	D
21	Marçal	D
77	Lucas Villalba	F
91	Domingos Andrade	M
23	Santiago Rodríguez	M
11	Matheus Martins	F

Atletico Paranaense

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Joao Correia

23 Santos

4 Dias

33 Aguirre

25 Dantas

7 Mendoza

8 Cruz

14 Gustavo

16 Jádson

29 Benavídez

9 Viveros

21 Leozinho

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Santos	G
25	Dantas	D
33	Juan Felipe Aguirre	D
4	Arthur Dias	D
29	Gastón Benavídez	M
16	Jádson	M
14	Luiz Gustavo	M
8	João Cruz	M
7	Steven Mendoza	M
21	Leozinho	F
9	Kevin Viveros	F

Substitutes

18	Kerwin Vargas	F
27	Juan Portilla	M
53	Dudu	M
1	Mycael	G
2	Gilberto Junior	D
3	Léo	D
22	Carlos Terán	D
47	Chiqueti	M
5	Felipinho	D
10	Bruno Zapelli	M
19	Jorge Rivaldo	F
70	Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno	F