Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama Previsione
Previsione AI
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Bahia
59%
24%
17%
Vittoria Casa
Pareggio
Vittoria Ospite
Pronostico Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama: Sportiko assegna a Bahia una probabilità di vittoria del 59%, a Vasco DA Gama del 17% e al pareggio del 24%. Ultimo aggiornamento 9 Aug 2026, 21:02.
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Timeline
🖵
21'
Adson
Goal Disallowed - offside
▮
31'
Cuiabano
Yellow Card
▮
37'
Thiago Mendes
Yellow Card
Ademir
⇄ Kauê Furquim
43'
⇄
HT 0–0
⇄
46'
Brenner
⇄ Marino Hinestroza
⇄
46'
Carlos Cuesta
⇄ Alan Saldivia
Luciano Juba
⇄ José Guilherme
46'
⇄
Jean Lucas
⇄ Caio Alexandre
64'
⇄
Willian José
⇄ Michel Araújo
64'
⇄
⇄
72'
Adson
⇄ Claudio Spinelli
⇄
74'
David
⇄ Ramon Rique
Ademir
Yellow Card
77'
▮
⇄
86'
Jair
⇄ Cauan Barros
Rodrigo Nestor
⇄ Mateo Sanabria
86'
⇄
Mateo Sanabria
Goal Disallowed - offside
90'
🖵
FT 0–0
Bahia
Match Stats
Vasco DA Gama
51%
Ball Possession
49%
0.53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
11
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
4
5
Blocked Shots
7
8
Shots insidebox
10
3
Shots outsidebox
4
4
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
4
13
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
383
Total passes
362
321
Passes accurate
300
84%
Passes %
83%
0.17
goals_prevented
0.17
Bahia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Román Gómez D | 7.6 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 38 (31%) | 5 |
| 33 David Duarte D | 7.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 64 (53%) | – |
| 21 Santiago Ramos Mingo D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 48 (41%) | – |
| 11 Rodrigo Nestor M | 7.0 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 1 Ronaldo G | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | – |
| 5 Nicolás Acevedo M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 58 (53%) | 1 |
| 12 Willian José F | 6.9 | 64' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 23 Mateo Sanabria F | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | 1 | – | 1 |
| 6 Jean Lucas M | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | – |
| 8 Caio Alexandre M | 6.6 | 30' | – | – | – | 20 (20%) | – |
| 9 Alejo Véliz F | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 66 José Guilherme D | 6.5 | 49' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | – |
| 7 Ademir M | 6.5 | 43' | – | – | 2 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 57 Kauê Furquim M | 6.3 | 51' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | – |
| 46 Luciano Juba D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | 1 |
| 15 Michel Araújo M | 6.3 | 30' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | – |
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Robert Renan D | 8.0 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 39 (35%) | 2 |
| 66 Cuiabano D | 7.7 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 38 (29%) | 8 |
| 8 Jair M | 7.3 | 86' | – | – | – | 42 (40%) | 2 |
| 28 Adson M | 7.0 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 31 (28%) | 4 |
| 1 Léo Jardim G | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | – |
| 46 Carlos Cuesta D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 88 Cauan Barros M | 6.9 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 96 Paulo Henrique D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 18 Marino Hinestroza F | 6.9 | 49' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 2 |
| 3 Tchê Tchê M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 4 Alan Saldivia D | 6.9 | 49' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 3 |
| 77 Claudio Spinelli F | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 83 Ramon Rique M | 6.5 | 20' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 23 Thiago Mendes M | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 46 (37%) | 1 |
| 20 Brenner F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 7 David M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (59%)
At a glance
Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Bahia
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Bahia
LWWWW
Vasco DA Gama
WWWDL
Last 3 meetings
Bahia · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A match, Bahia will face Vasco da Gama with both teams vying for crucial points. Bahia has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Vasco da Gama struggles offensively, scoring only 1 goal per match on average. The match could hinge on Bahia’s ability to capitalize on counter-attacks, given Vasco's tendency to leave space in transition. Additionally, Bahia's midfield control will be critical to dictate the pace and limit Vasco's attacking opportunities. Overall, this matchup presents an intriguing battle between Bahia's defense and Vasco's offense.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
59%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
17%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Bahia
Luciano Juba
9 gls
Vasco DA Gama
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama
2
Bahia Wins
0
Draws
1
Vasco DA Gama Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Vasco DA Gama | 0 - 1 | Bahia |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Bahia | 1 - 0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 3 - 1 | Bahia |
Bahia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Atletico Paranaense | L | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | H Remo | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A RB Bragantino | W | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | H Internacional | W | 3 - 2 |
| 23 Aug | A Vitoria | W | 0 - 2 |
Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Coritiba | W | 5 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | H Santa Fe | W | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Gremio | W | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Santa Fe | D | 0 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Fluminense | L | 1 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Bahia
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Ceni Rogerio
1
Ronaldo
46
Juba
21
Mingo
33
Duarte
31
Gómez
11
Nestor
6
Lucas
5
Acevedo
7
Ademir
9
Véliz
12
José
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronaldo | G |
| 31 | Román Gómez | D |
| 33 | David Duarte | D |
| 21 | Santiago Ramos Mingo | D |
| 46 | Luciano Juba | D |
| 7 | Ademir | M |
| 5 | Nicolás Acevedo | M |
| 6 | Jean Lucas | M |
| 11 | Rodrigo Nestor | M |
| 12 | Willian José | F |
| 9 | Alejo Véliz | F |
Substitutes
| 57 | Kauê Furquim | M |
| 66 | José Guilherme | D |
| 15 | Michel Araújo | M |
| 8 | Caio Alexandre | M |
| 17 | Guido Herrera | G |
| 4 | Kanu | D |
| 3 | Marco Moreno | D |
| 44 | Marcos Victor | D |
| 63 | David Martins | M |
| 23 | Mateo Sanabria | F |
| 99 | Cristian Olivera | F |
| 27 | Everaldo | F |
Vasco DA Gama
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Pedro Emanuel
1
Jardim
66
Cuiabano
30
Renan
46
Cuesta
96
Henrique
8
Jair
3
Tchê
7
David
23
Mendes
28
Adson
20
Brenner
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Léo Jardim | G |
| 96 | Paulo Henrique | D |
| 46 | Carlos Cuesta | D |
| 30 | Robert Renan | D |
| 66 | Cuiabano | D |
| 3 | Tchê Tchê | M |
| 8 | Jair | M |
| 28 | Adson | M |
| 23 | Thiago Mendes | M |
| 7 | David | M |
| 20 | Brenner | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | Alan Saldivia | D |
| 18 | Marino Hinestroza | F |
| 13 | Daniel Fuzato | G |
| 37 | Pablo | G |
| 6 | Lucas Piton | D |
| 64 | Walace | D |
| 43 | Lucas Freitas | D |
| 2 | Puma Rodríguez | D |
| 88 | Cauan Barros | M |
| 10 | Johan Rojas | F |
| 83 | Ramon Rique | M |
| 77 | Claudio Spinelli | F |