Santos vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 20
FT
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Previsione AI Vittoria Santos
71%
20%
9%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Santos vs Chapecoense-sc prediction: Sportiko gives Santos a 71% chance of winning, Chapecoense-sc 9% and the draw 20%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 23:28.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline

Neymar assist: Álvaro Barreal
36' 1–0
HT 1–0
46'
David Antunes ⇄ Bruno Matias
46'
Ênio ⇄ Giovanni Augusto
46'
Kevin Ramírez ⇄ Marcinho
1–1 51'
Marcinho assist: Giovanni Augusto
54'
Camilo Yellow Card
1–2 62'
João Paulo Ananias Own Goal
Benjamín Rollheiser ⇄ Gustavo Caballero
63'
Willian Arão ⇄ Christian Oliva
63'
Igor Vinícius ⇄ Gabriel Menino
63'
Lucas Veríssimo Yellow Card
68'
73'
Matheus Yellow Card
Neymar Yellow Card
76'
76'
Bruno Tubarão Yellow Card
Álvaro Barreal Yellow Card
77'
Álvaro Barreal ⇄ Thaciano
80'
Gabriel Barbosa ⇄ Rony
80'
80'
Fernando ⇄ Bruno Pacheco
83'
Camilo ⇄ Vinicius Balieiro
88'
Bruno Matias Yellow Card
Neymar Penalty
89' 2–2
FT 2–2
Santos

Match Stats

Chapecoense-sc
64% Ball Possession 36%
1.65 Expected Goals (xG) 0.86
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 1
7 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 2
10 Shots outsidebox 3
12 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
586 Total passes 333
524 Passes accurate 269
89% Passes % 81%
0.09 goals_prevented 0.09
Santos
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Neymar M 9.3 96' 2 6 61 (48%) 1
17 Gustavo Caballero F 7.3 33' 8 (8%) 1
22 Álvaro Barreal M 7.3 80' 1 57 (53%) 3
8 Gabriel Bontempo M 7.3 96' 1 73 (67%) 1
15 Willian Arão M 7.2 63' 64 (62%) 1
25 Gabriel Menino M 7.2 33' 2 15 (14%)
16 Thaciano M 6.7 16' 1
28 Christian Oliva M 6.6 33' 13 (13%)
31 Gonzalo Escobar D 6.5 96' 50 (45%) 1
11 Rony F 6.5 16' 1 4 (2%)
18 Igor Vinícius D 6.3 63' 48 (39%) 2
4 Lucas Veríssimo D 6.3 96' 45 (42%)
32 Benjamín Rollheiser M 6.3 63' 1 72 (60%) 1
77 Gabriel Brazão G 6.2 96' 8 (7%)
26 João Paulo Ananias D 6.2 96' 1 41 (39%) 3
9 Gabriel Barbosa F 6.0 80' 1 26 (25%) 1
Chapecoense-sc
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Marcinho F 7.2 51' 1 1 16 (11%)
33 Bruno Leonardo D 7.2 96' 31 (26%) 1
27 Camilo M 6.9 83' 36 (32%) 1
10 Giovanni Augusto M 6.9 51' 1 25 (22%) 2
30 Matheus G 6.7 96' 24 (12%)
19 David Antunes M 6.7 45' 16 (14%) 3
12 Fernando D 6.6 80' 1 30 (27%) 1
22 Max M 6.6 96' 26 (24%) 2
11 Yannick Bolasie F 6.5 96' 1 20 (17%) 1
3 Eduardo Doma D 6.3 96' 32 (27%)
97 Ênio M 6.3 45' 17 (10%)
17 Vinicius Balieiro M 6.3 13'
94 Kevin Ramírez M 6.3 45' 5 (1%)
91 Bruno Pacheco D 6.2 16' 1 (1%)
20 Bruno Tubarão D 6.2 96' 1 37 (28%) 2
16 Bruno Matias M 6.0 51' 17 (17%) 2
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Confidence High (71%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria Santos
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Santos
WDWDW
Chapecoense-sc
LDDLL
Last 3 meetings Santos · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Santos will face Chapecoense in a Serie A clash on July 25, 2026. Historically, Santos has maintained a strong home record, often capitalizing on their attacking prowess. They currently average 1.8 goals per game, with a robust midfield that controls possession at around 60%. Conversely, Chapecoense has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. This match will be critical for both teams, with Santos looking to solidify their standing in the league while Chapecoense aims to improve their away performances.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
71%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
9%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Santos
Gabriel Barbosa 7 gls
Neymar 6 gls
Chapecoense-sc

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Santos vs Chapecoense-sc

2 Santos Wins
0 Draws
1 Chapecoense-sc Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Jan 2026 Chapecoense-sc 4 - 2 Santos
17 Nov 2021 Santos 2 - 0 Chapecoense-sc
01 Aug 2021 Chapecoense-sc 0 - 1 Santos
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Santos — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Aug A Remo W 0 - 1
02 Aug H Remo D 0 - 0
29 Jul H UCV W 4 - 2
25 Jul H Chapecoense-sc D 2 - 2
22 Jul A UCV W 1 - 4

Chapecoense-sc — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Aug A Cruzeiro L 2 - 0
02 Aug H Cruzeiro D 0 - 0
25 Jul A Santos D 2 - 2
23 Jul H Flamengo L 0 - 4
17 Jul A Bahia L 2 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras
21 14 5 2 +22 47
2
Flamengo
20 11 6 3 +19 39
3
Atletico Paranaense
21 11 4 6 +9 37
4
Fluminense
21 9 7 5 +5 34
5
Bahia
21 8 8 5 +4 32
6
RB Bragantino
20 9 4 7 +6 31
7
Cruzeiro
21 8 6 7 -3 30
8
Botafogo
20 8 5 7 +2 29
9
Corinthians
21 7 8 6 +2 29
10
Atletico-MG
20 8 4 8 0 28
11
Coritiba
21 7 6 8 -3 27
12
Sao Paulo
20 7 5 8 +2 26
13
Vitoria
21 7 5 9 -9 26
14
Mirassol
20 6 5 9 -4 23
15
Santos
20 5 7 8 -4 22
16
Internacional
21 5 7 9 -4 22
17
Gremio
20 5 7 8 -4 22
18
Vasco DA Gama
20 5 6 9 -8 21
19
Remo
21 5 6 10 -10 21
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
20 1 7 12 -22 10

Santos

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Cuca
77 Brazão
31 Escobar
26 Ananias
4 Veríssimo
18 Vinícius
15 Arão
22 Barreal
10 Neymar
32 Rollheiser
8 Bontempo
9 Barbosa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
77 Gabriel Brazão G
18 Igor Vinícius D
4 Lucas Veríssimo D
26 João Paulo Ananias D
31 Gonzalo Escobar D
15 Willian Arão M
8 Gabriel Bontempo M
32 Benjamín Rollheiser M
10 Neymar M
22 Álvaro Barreal M
9 Gabriel Barbosa F

Substitutes

34 João Paulo G
98 Adonis Frías D
14 Luan Peres D
17 Gustavo Caballero F
16 Thaciano M
30 Miguelito M
28 Christian Oliva M
25 Gabriel Menino M
81 Samuel Mendes M
5 João Schmidt M
7 Robinho Júnior F
11 Rony F

Chapecoense-sc

Formation: 4-5-1 Coach: Lacerda Rafael
30 Matheus
12 Fernando
3 Doma
33 Leonardo
20 Tubarão
94 Ramírez
22 Max
27 Camilo
19 Antunes
97 Ênio
11 Bolasie

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 Matheus G
20 Bruno Tubarão D
33 Bruno Leonardo D
3 Eduardo Doma D
12 Fernando D
97 Ênio M
19 David Antunes M
27 Camilo M
22 Max M
94 Kevin Ramírez M
11 Yannick Bolasie F

Substitutes

1 Rafael Santos G
15 Rafael Thyere D
91 Bruno Pacheco D
21 Kauan D
26 Everton D
17 Vinicius Balieiro M
16 Bruno Matias M
10 Giovanni Augusto M
7 Marcinho F
18 Neto Pessoa F
50 Kassio F

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