Cruzeiro vs Botafogo Prediction
Previsione AI
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Cruzeiro
52%
28%
20%
Vittoria Casa
Pareggio
Vittoria Ospite
Cruzeiro vs Botafogo prediction: Sportiko gives Cruzeiro a 52% chance of winning, Botafogo 20% and the draw 28%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 21:03.
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Timeline
▮
26'
Warleson
Yellow Card
▮
35'
Huguinho
Yellow Card
Luis Sinisterra
⇄ Wanderson
39'
⇄
⚽
0–1
41'
Gabriel Justino
assist: Alex Telles
Fagner
Yellow Card
45+3'
▮
▮
45+4'
Nahuel Ferraresi
Yellow Card
HT 0–1
Jonathan Jesus
Yellow Card
56'
▮
Fabrício Bruno
⇄ João Marcelo
60'
⇄
Marquinhos
⇄ Keny Arroyo
60'
⇄
⇄
69'
Danilo Santos
⇄ Kauan Toledo
Fagner
⇄ William Furtado
77'
⇄
Gabriel Rojas
⇄ Kauã Moraes
77'
⇄
⇄
82'
Álvaro Montoro
⇄ Santiago Rodríguez
⇄
82'
Arthur Cabral
⇄ Kadir Barría
▮
88'
Alex Telles
Yellow Card
⇄
90'
Alex Telles
⇄ Marçal
⇄
90'
Matheus Martins
⇄ Lucas Villalba
▮
90+5'
Kadir Barría
Yellow Card
FT 0–1
Cruzeiro
Match Stats
Botafogo
61%
Ball Possession
39%
1.52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40
15
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots off Goal
2
6
Blocked Shots
2
11
Shots insidebox
5
4
Shots outsidebox
3
9
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
5
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
448
Total passes
285
378
Passes accurate
210
84%
Passes %
74%
1.53
goals_prevented
1.53
Cruzeiro
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Otávio Costa G | 7.3 | 96' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 7 Matheus Henrique M | 7.3 | 96' | – | – | 1 | 59 (51%) | 1 |
| 94 Wanderson F | 7.3 | 57' | – | – | 2 | 16 (12%) | 3 |
| 34 Jonathan Jesus D | 7.0 | 96' | – | – | 1 | 63 (61%) | 1 |
| 29 Lucas Romero M | 7.0 | 96' | – | – | 1 | 61 (53%) | 2 |
| 15 Fabrício Bruno D | 6.9 | 60' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | 2 |
| 17 Luis Sinisterra M | 6.9 | 39' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 12 William Furtado D | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 9 Bruno Rodrigues F | 6.9 | 96' | – | – | – | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 27 Gabriel Rojas D | 6.7 | 77' | – | – | – | 43 (37%) | – |
| 43 João Marcelo D | 6.7 | 36' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | – |
| 11 Marquinhos M | 6.7 | 60' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 99 Keny Arroyo F | 6.6 | 36' | – | – | 1 | 17 (12%) | – |
| 2 Kauã Moraes D | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 23 Fagner D | 6.3 | 77' | – | – | – | 31 (22%) | – |
| 19 Kaio Jorge F | 6.3 | 96' | – | – | 2 | 17 (13%) | – |
Botafogo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Warleson G | 8.3 | 96' | – | – | – | 22 (9%) | – |
| 34 Gabriel Justino D | 8.2 | 96' | 1 | – | 2 | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 2 Vitinho D | 7.9 | 96' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | 2 |
| 10 Álvaro Montoro M | 7.6 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 30 (23%) | 1 |
| 5 Nahuel Ferraresi D | 7.5 | 96' | – | – | – | 22 (21%) | 1 |
| 11 Matheus Martins M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (25%) | 3 |
| 13 Alex Telles D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 6 Cristian Medina M | 6.7 | 96' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | 2 |
| 23 Santiago Rodríguez M | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 8 Danilo Santos M | 6.5 | 69' | – | – | – | 19 (12%) | 1 |
| 37 Kadir Barría F | 6.5 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 75 Huguinho M | 6.3 | 96' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | 2 |
| 59 Kauan Toledo M | 6.2 | 27' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 19 Arthur Cabral F | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 18 (12%) | – |
| 77 Lucas Villalba F | — | 6' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 21 Marçal D | — | 6' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
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Confidence
Medium (52%)
At a glance
Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Cruzeiro
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Cruzeiro
WDWLW
Botafogo
WDWLD
Last 3 meetings
Cruzeiro · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A match, Cruzeiro will face Botafogo. Cruzeiro has shown a solid home record, with a win percentage of approximately 60% at their ground this season, while Botafogo has struggled with consistency on the road, securing only 35% of their away matches. Both teams have a similar average possession rate of around 55%, but Cruzeiro tends to convert possession into chances more effectively, boasting a higher shot conversion rate. Key players to watch include Cruzeiro's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Botafogo's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. This matchup could hinge on Cruzeiro's ability to capitalize on their home advantage against a Botafogo side looking to improve their away form.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
52%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
20%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Cruzeiro
Christian
5 gls
Matheus Pereira
5 gls
Botafogo
Danilo Santos
7 gls
Arthur Cabral
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Cruzeiro vs Botafogo
1
Cruzeiro Wins
1
Draws
1
Botafogo Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | Botafogo | 4 - 0 | Cruzeiro |
| 04 Dec 2025 | Cruzeiro | 2 - 2 | Botafogo |
| 03 Aug 2025 | Botafogo | 0 - 2 | Cruzeiro |
Cruzeiro — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | H Chapecoense-sc | W | 2 - 0 |
| 02 Aug | A Chapecoense-sc | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Jul | A Coritiba | W | 0 - 1 |
| 26 Jul | H Botafogo | L | 0 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | A Internacional | W | 1 - 2 |
Botafogo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | A Cruzeiro | W | 0 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | H Vitoria | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Jul | H Santos | W | 2 - 1 |
| 30 May | A Bahia | L | 2 - 1 |
| 23 May | A Sao Paulo | D | 1 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 47 |
| 2 |
Flamengo
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | +19 | 39 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
RB Bragantino
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 |
Cruzeiro
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 |
Corinthians
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 |
Coritiba
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 |
Santos
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Botafogo
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
17
Warleson
13
Telles
5
Ferraresi
34
Justino
2
Vitinho
6
Medina
75
Huguinho
11
Martins
8
Santos
10
Montoro
19
Cabral
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warleson | G |
| 2 | Vitinho | D |
| 34 | Gabriel Justino | D |
| 5 | Nahuel Ferraresi | D |
| 13 | Alex Telles | D |
| 75 | Huguinho | M |
| 6 | Cristian Medina | M |
| 10 | Álvaro Montoro | M |
| 8 | Danilo Santos | M |
| 11 | Matheus Martins | M |
| 19 | Arthur Cabral | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Gabriel Batista | G |
| 21 | Marçal | D |
| 4 | Mateo Ponte | D |
| 29 | Paulinho | D |
| 33 | Lucas Monzón | D |
| 23 | Santiago Rodríguez | M |
| 14 | Jordan Barrera | M |
| 59 | Kauan Toledo | M |
| 77 | Lucas Villalba | F |
| 88 | Edenilson | M |
| 79 | Lucas Emanuel | F |
| 37 | Kadir Barría | F |
Cruzeiro
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Jorge Artur
81
Costa
27
Rojas
34
Jesus
15
Bruno
23
Fagner
17
Sinisterra
7
Henrique
29
Romero
11
Marquinhos
19
Jorge
9
Rodrigues
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 81 | Otávio Costa | G |
| 23 | Fagner | D |
| 15 | Fabrício Bruno | D |
| 34 | Jonathan Jesus | D |
| 27 | Gabriel Rojas | D |
| 11 | Marquinhos | M |
| 29 | Lucas Romero | M |
| 7 | Matheus Henrique | M |
| 17 | Luis Sinisterra | M |
| 9 | Bruno Rodrigues | F |
| 19 | Kaio Jorge | F |
Substitutes
| 94 | Wanderson | F |
| 43 | João Marcelo | D |
| 99 | Keny Arroyo | F |
| 51 | Vitor Lamounier | G |
| 12 | William Furtado | D |
| 25 | Lucas Villalba | D |
| 2 | Kauã Moraes | D |
| 16 | Lucas Silva | M |
| 57 | Rayan Lelis | F |
| 5 | Zé Lucas | M |
| 38 | Felipe Morais | M |
| 40 | Rhuan Gabriel | M |