Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 19
FT
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Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Vitoria
59%
26%
14%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: Sportiko assegna a Vitoria una probabilità di vittoria del 59%, a Vasco DA Gama del 14% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
  • Oltre 1.5 Gol 72%
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Timeline

Zé Vitor ⇄ Tomás Pochettino
38' ⇄
HT 0–0
⇄ 59'
Claudio Spinelli ⇄ Brenner
⇄ 59'
Johan Rojas ⇄ Andrés Gómez
Renê Sousa ⇄ Renato Kayzer
63' ⇄
Renato Kayzer assist: Diego Tarzia
69' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 73'
Adson ⇄ Marino Hinestroza
Diego Tarzia ⇄ Fabrício Santos
77' ⇄
Jamerson ⇄ Emanuel Brítez
77' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Thiago Mendes ⇄ Tchê Tchê
⇄ 81'
Nuno Moreira ⇄ David
FT 1–0
Vitoria

Match Stats

Vasco DA Gama
50% Ball Possession 50%
0.52 Expected Goals (xG) 0.77
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 15
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
384 Total passes 391
298 Passes accurate 323
78% Passes % 83%
0.72 goals_prevented 0.72
Vitoria
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
83 Jamerson D 7.3 78' – – – 39 (35%) 4
36 Luan Cândido D 7.3 94' – – – 41 (32%) 1
6 Emmanuel Martínez M 7.3 94' – – – 60 (53%) 4
79 Renato Kayzer F 7.3 31' 1 – 2 10 (6%) 1
25 Cacá D 7.2 94' – – – 48 (43%) –
13 Ramon D 7.0 94' – – – 30 (23%) 2
1 Lucas Arcanjo G 6.9 94' – – – 28 (11%) –
44 Gabriel Baralhas M 6.9 94' – – 1 33 (27%) 4
33 Erick M 6.9 77' – – 1 29 (21%) –
8 Tomás Pochettino M 6.7 55' – – – 12 (6%) 3
2 Emanuel Brítez D 6.7 16' – – – 6 (3%) 1
23 Fabrício Santos F 6.7 16' – – 1 1 (1%) –
88 Zé Vitor M 6.5 39' – – – 20 (18%) –
12 Diego Tarzia M 6.3 78' – 1 3 16 (12%) 2
7 Marinho F 6.3 17' – – – 2 (2%) 1
91 Renê Sousa F 6.2 63' – – 2 9 (5%) –
Vasco DA Gama
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Léo Jardim G 7.5 94' – – – 14 (6%) –
2 Puma Rodríguez D 7.3 94' – – 2 41 (30%) 2
46 Carlos Cuesta D 6.9 94' – – – 32 (30%) 1
30 Robert Renan D 6.9 94' – – – 47 (38%) 1
88 Cauan Barros M 6.9 94' – – 1 47 (41%) 1
3 Tchê Tchê M 6.7 16' – – – 13 (12%) –
11 Andrés Gómez F 6.6 35' – – 1 4 (3%) –
23 Thiago Mendes M 6.6 78' – – – 42 (37%) 1
20 Brenner F 6.6 35' – – – 10 (9%) –
66 Cuiabano D 6.5 94' – – 2 30 (23%) 1
10 Johan Rojas M 6.3 59' – – – 30 (25%) 2
18 Marino Hinestroza F 6.3 21' – – – 3 (3%) 2
7 David F 6.3 16' – – 1 4 (3%) 2
28 Adson M 6.2 73' – – – 31 (25%) 2
17 Nuno Moreira M 6.2 78' – – 1 35 (30%) –
77 Claudio Spinelli F 6.0 59' – – 1 8 (8%) –
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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Vitoria
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Vitoria
LDWLL
Vasco DA Gama
WWWDL
Last 3 meetings Vitoria · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Vitoria faces Vasco DA Gama in a Serie A clash, both teams looking to secure vital points in the league. Vitoria's recent form has shown a tendency to struggle defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last five games. In contrast, Vasco DA Gama has been more consistent, with a solid defensive record, allowing only 1 goal per match in their last five encounters. The tactical battle will likely center around Vitoria's ability to break down a disciplined Vasco defense. Winning this match could be crucial for both teams' ambitions this season.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
59%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Vitoria
Rene 9 gls
Vasco DA Gama

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama

0 Vitoria Wins
0 Draws
3 Vasco DA Gama Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Sep 2026 Vitoria 0 - 2 Vasco DA Gama
27 Aug 2026 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Vitoria
05 Oct 2025 Vasco DA Gama 4 - 3 Vitoria
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Vitoria — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Cruzeiro L 1 - 3
13 Sep A Mirassol D 2 - 2
07 Sep H Gremio W 1 - 0
03 Sep H Vasco DA Gama L 0 - 2
29 Aug A Atletico-MG L 2 - 1

Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Coritiba W 5 - 0
15 Sep H Santa Fe W 2 - 0
12 Sep A Gremio W 1 - 2
08 Sep A Santa Fe D 0 - 0
06 Sep A Fluminense L 1 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Vasco DA Gama

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gaucho Renato
1 Jardim
66 Cuiabano
30 Renan
46 Cuesta
2 Rodríguez
23 Mendes
88 Barros
17 Moreira
10 Rojas
28 Adson
77 Spinelli

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Léo Jardim G
2 Puma Rodríguez D
46 Carlos Cuesta D
30 Robert Renan D
66 Cuiabano D
88 Cauan Barros M
23 Thiago Mendes M
28 Adson M
10 Johan Rojas M
17 Nuno Moreira M
77 Claudio Spinelli F

Substitutes

13 Daniel Fuzato G
96 Paulo Henrique D
6 Lucas Piton D
43 Lucas Freitas D
8 Jair M
98 JP M
11 Andrés Gómez F
18 Marino Hinestroza F
3 Tchê Tchê M
83 Ramon Rique M
20 Brenner F
7 David F

Vitoria

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Ventura Jair
1 Arcanjo
13 Ramon
36 Cândido
25 Cacá
83 Jamerson
44 Baralhas
12 Tarzia
6 Martínez
88 Vitor
33 Erick
91 Sousa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Lucas Arcanjo G
83 Jamerson D
25 Cacá D
36 Luan Cândido D
13 Ramon D
44 Gabriel Baralhas M
33 Erick M
88 Zé Vitor M
6 Emmanuel Martínez M
12 Diego Tarzia M
91 Renê Sousa F

Substitutes

8 Tomás Pochettino M
71 Yuri Sena G
98 Mateusinho D
2 Emanuel Brítez D
26 Edenilson M
15 Walace D
11 Osvaldo F
10 Matheuzinho M
23 Fabrício Santos F
41 Wendell dos Santos Sacramento M
7 Marinho F
79 Renato Kayzer F

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