Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 15
FT
Post on X
Previsione AI Sao Paulo o pareggio
29%
29%
42%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Corinthians vs Sao Paulo: Sportiko assegna a Corinthians una probabilità di vittoria del 29%, a Sao Paulo del 42% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Timeline

Raniele assist: Rodrigo Garro
17' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 41'
Luciano assist: Damián Bobadilla
Gabriel Paulista Yellow Card
45+1' ▮
Matheus Bidu Yellow Card
45+1' ▮
▮ 45+1'
Sabino Yellow Card
▮ 45+1'
Jonathan Calleri Yellow Card
🖵 45+6'
Damián Bobadilla Card reviewed
HT 1–1
Matheuzinho assist: André Carrillo
52' ⚽ 2–1
Breno Bidon assist: Rodrigo Garro
57' ⚽ 3–1
⇄ 69'
Ferreirinha ⇄ Cauly
⇄ 69'
Danielzinho ⇄ Luan Santos
▮ 73'
Enzo Díaz Yellow Card
André Carrillo ⇄ Dieguinho
83' ⇄
⇄ 83'
Enzo Díaz ⇄ Wendell
Rodrigo Garro ⇄ Zakaria Labyad
88' ⇄
Yuri Alberto ⇄ Pedro Raul
88' ⇄
⚽ 3–2 89'
Matheuzinho Own Goal
⇄ 90+2'
Damián Bobadilla ⇄ André Silva
Zakaria Labyad Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
▮ 90+4'
Luan Santos Yellow Card
Pedro Raul Yellow Card
90+5' ▮
FT 3–2
Corinthians

Match Stats

Sao Paulo
50% Ball Possession 50%
1.37 Expected Goals (xG) 1.05
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 0
4 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 5
7 Corner Kicks 7
1 Offsides 3
12 Fouls 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
379 Total passes 401
309 Passes accurate 325
82% Passes % 81%
-0.65 goals_prevented -0.65
Corinthians
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Rodrigo Garro M 8.2 88' – 2 – 41 (31%) 1
7 Breno Bidon M 7.9 90' 1 – 1 33 (28%) 3
19 André Carrillo M 7.5 83' – 1 – 50 (49%) –
2 Matheuzinho D 7.3 90' 1 – 1 36 (30%) 2
14 Raniele M 6.9 90' 1 – 2 26 (20%) 1
3 Gabriel Paulista D 6.6 90' – – – 34 (28%) 2
52 Zakaria Labyad F 6.6 8' – – – 2 (2%) –
18 Pedro Raul F 6.6 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
77 Jesse Lingard M 6.6 90' – – 2 35 (30%) –
1 Hugo Souza G 6.2 90' – – – 22 (12%) –
13 Gustavo Henrique D 6.2 90' – – – 34 (27%) –
21 Matheus Bidu D 6.2 90' – – – 38 (31%) 2
9 Yuri Alberto F 6.2 88' – – 5 27 (20%) –
61 Dieguinho M 6.2 13' – – – – –
Sao Paulo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Damián Bobadilla M 7.2 89' – 1 – 42 (37%) 3
10 Luciano M 7.2 90' 1 – 1 22 (20%) 1
94 Danielzinho M 7.0 69' – – – 52 (48%) 2
18 Wendell D 6.7 13' – – – 10 (8%) –
80 Cauly M 6.6 21' – – – 9 (6%) 1
9 Jonathan Calleri F 6.5 90' – – – 16 (14%) –
33 Luan Santos M 6.5 21' – – – 13 (9%) 1
37 Artur M 6.3 90' – – – 35 (27%) 1
11 Ferreirinha M 6.3 69' – – 1 18 (12%) 1
4 Dória D 6.3 90' – – – 40 (36%) 1
23 Rafael G 6.2 90' – – – 24 (15%) –
35 Sabino D 6.2 90' – – – 45 (34%) 2
21 Cédric Soares D 6.0 90' – – – 38 (26%) 2
13 Enzo Díaz D 5.9 83' – – 1 37 (33%) 1
17 André Silva F — 1' – – 1 – –
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Sao Paulo o pareggio
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Corinthians
LLLDL
Sao Paulo
WDLLW
Last 3 meetings Corinthians · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Corinthians will host Sao Paulo in a highly anticipated derby. Historically, Corinthians have a slight edge with a 44% win rate in their last 35 encounters, while Sao Paulo stands at 31%. Corinthians have displayed strong defensive capabilities this season, conceding only 0.9 goals per game, compared to Sao Paulo’s 1.2. However, Sao Paulo’s attacking prowess, averaging 1.5 goals per match, could challenge the home side’s backline. Given the significance of this rivalry and the current form of both teams, expect a tightly contested match with potential playoff implications.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Players in form

Corinthians

No scorer data.

Sao Paulo
Luciano 8 gls
J. Calleri 8 gls

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Head to Head: Corinthians vs Sao Paulo

1 Corinthians Wins
0 Draws
2 Sao Paulo Wins
Date Home Score Away
20 Nov 2025 Corinthians 3 - 1 Sao Paulo
19 Jul 2025 Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Corinthians
29 Sep 2024 Sao Paulo 3 - 1 Corinthians
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Corinthians — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Fluminense L 1 - 3
17 Sep H Estudiantes L.P. L 0 - 1
13 Sep A Flamengo L 2 - 1
10 Sep A Estudiantes L.P. D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Chapecoense-sc L 1 - 2

Sao Paulo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Internacional W 1 - 0
16 Sep H Boca Juniors D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Palmeiras L 2 - 0
09 Sep A Boca Juniors L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Atletico-MG W 2 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Sao Paulo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Machado Roger
23 Rafael
13 Diaz
35 Sabino
4 Doria
21 Soares
94 Danielzinho
16 Bobadilla
11 Ferreira
10 Luciano
37 Artur
9 Calleri

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Rafael G
21 C. Soares D
4 Matheus Doria D
35 Sabino D
13 E. Diaz D
16 D. Bobadilla M
94 Danielzinho M
37 Artur M
10 Luciano M
11 Ferreira M
9 Jonathan Calleri F

Substitutes

31 Carlos Coronel G
80 Cauly M
17 Andre Silva F
33 Luan Silva M
30 Felipe Negrucci M
40 Igor Felisberto -
54 Luis Osorio D
46 Pedro Ferreira M
45 Lucca Marques F
18 Wendell D
14 G. Tapia F
48 Djhordney M

Corinthians

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Fernando Diniz
1 Souza
21 Bidu
13 Henrique
3 Paulista
2 Matheuzinho
14 Raniele
19 Carrillo
77 Lingard
8 Garro
7 Bidon
9 Alberto

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Hugo Souza G
2 Matheuzinho D
3 Gabriel Paulista D
13 Gustavo Henrique D
21 Matheus Bidu D
19 A. Carrillo M
14 Raniele M
7 Breno Bidon M
8 R. Garro M
77 J. Lingard M
9 Yuri Alberto F

Substitutes

51 Kaue G
52 Z. Labyad F
5 Andre Ramalho D
26 F. Angileri D
23 M. Pereira M
20 P. Milans D
37 Kaio Cesar F
56 Gui Negao F
80 Alex Santana M
18 Pedro Raul F
61 Dieguinho M
55 I. Machado D

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