Nice vs Metz Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Post on X

Metz

Away

Allianz Riviera, Nice

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Nice

51%

31%

18%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Nice vs Metz prediction: Sportiko gives Nice a 51% chance of winning, Metz 18% and the draw 31%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Nice and Metz played out a goalless draw in Ligue 1 matchday 34, a result that belied the home side's dominance in terms of attacking intent. Nice generated 1.64 expected goals from 22 total shots, including 10 corner kicks, yet were unable to convert their pressure into a winning goal despite the superior opportunities created throughout the contest.

The match was largely uneventful in the opening half, with Elye Wahi picking up a yellow card on 35 minutes the main talking point before the break. Both managers turned to their benches after half-time, with a combined eight substitutions made across the second period as each side sought a breakthrough. Kojo Peprah Oppong was cautioned on 75 minutes as the game grew more fractious in its closing stages, though neither goalkeeper was seriously tested, with both sides managing just four shots on target.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Nice win as the most likely outcome at 51%, though ultimately the points were shared. Metz, despite enjoying marginally more possession, offered little going forward and will settle for a hard-earned point on the road.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Elye Wahi Yellow Card

35' ▮

HT 0–0

Charles Vanhoutte ⇄ Hicham Boudaoui

46' ⇄

Kaïl Boudache ⇄ Mohamed-Ali Cho

46' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Believe Munongo ⇄ Jean-Philippe Gbamin

⇄ 65'

Benjamin Stambouli

Sofiane Diop ⇄ Isak Jansson

72' ⇄

▮ 73'

Yellow Card

Kojo Peprah Oppong Yellow Card

75' ▮

⇄ 75'

Giorgi Abuashvili ⇄ Jahyann Pandore

Jonathan Clauss ⇄ Kevin Carlos Omoruyi

78' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Alpha Touré ⇄ Urie-Michel Mboula

Morgan Sanson ⇄ Tom Louchet

87' ⇄

FT 0–0

Nice

Match Stats

Metz

49% Ball Possession 51%

1.64 Expected Goals (xG) 0.85

22 Total Shots 16

4 Shots on Goal 4

11 Shots off Goal 6

7 Blocked Shots 6

14 Shots insidebox 10

8 Shots outsidebox 6

10 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 2

11 Fouls 15

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

481 Total passes 509

417 Passes accurate 442

87% Passes % 87%

0.20 goals_prevented 0.20

Nice

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
80 Yehvann Diouf G	8.2	90'	–	–	–	26 (25%)	–
37 Kojo Peprah Oppong D	8.0	90'	–	–	–	65 (63%)	3
33 Antoine Mendy D	7.6	90'	–	–	1	65 (58%)	2
4 Dante D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	66 (59%)	1
8 Morgan Sanson M	7.3	87'	–	–	–	39 (31%)	5
92 Jonathan Clauss M	7.2	78'	–	–	–	32 (27%)	1
6 Hicham Boudaoui M	7.0	45'	–	–	2	34 (31%)	1
25 Mohamed-Ali Cho F	7.0	45'	–	–	2	16 (15%)	–
20 Tom Louchet M	6.7	8'	–	–	–	7 (3%)	–
90 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F	6.7	12'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
10 Sofiane Diop F	6.6	72'	–	–	3	33 (27%)	–
21 Isak Jansson F	6.6	18'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	1
24 Charles Vanhoutte M	6.6	45'	–	–	1	27 (23%)	2
32 Kaïl Boudache F	6.6	45'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	–
2 Ali Abdi M	6.3	90'	–	–	5	33 (27%)	1
11 Elye Wahi F	6.2	90'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–

Metz

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
38 Sadibou Sané D	8.3	90'	–	–	–	47 (43%)	2
70 Bouna Sarr D	7.7	90'	–	–	2	55 (51%)	5
15 Terry Yegbe D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	56 (53%)	–
2 Maxime Colin D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	48 (43%)	2
10 Gauthier Hein F	7.2	90'	–	–	1	68 (57%)	–
9 Giorgi Abuashvili F	7.2	75'	–	–	3	23 (22%)	1
1 Jonathan Fischer G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	35 (21%)	–
21 Benjamin Stambouli M	7.0	65'	–	–	–	48 (45%)	–
12 Alpha Touré M	6.9	85'	–	–	1	39 (37%)	6
33 Believe Munongo M	6.7	65'	–	–	1	27 (22%)	3
4 Urie-Michel Mboula D	6.6	10'	–	–	–	2	–
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin M	6.3	25'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
11 Giorgi Kvilitaia F	6.3	90'	–	–	1	26 (20%)	1
35 Jahyann Pandore F	6.3	15'	–	–	–	9 (5%)	2
8 Boubacar Traoré M	6.2	25'	–	–	1	10 (9%)	–

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Nice

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Nice

LDLDD

Metz

LWWDL

Last 3 meetings Nice · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on May 16, 2026, Nice will host Metz at the Allianz Riviera. Nice has shown strong form at home, boasting a solid win percentage of approximately 65% in their last 10 home matches, while Metz struggles on the road, with only 25% of their away games resulting in points this season. Key players for Nice, including their top scorer, will likely leverage Metz's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly as Metz has conceded an average of 2 goals per game in away fixtures. The match could be pivotal for Nice's European qualification hopes, making it crucial for them to secure three points against a Metz side fighting to avoid relegation. Expect a tactical battle with Nice aiming to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Metz goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	16	10	3	1
1	20	12	4	1
2	12	7	2
3	5	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Nice goals · most likely 1–0 (19.8%)

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Head to Head: Nice vs Metz

2 Nice Wins

0 Draws

1 Metz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Nov 2025	Metz	2 - 1	Nice
27 Jan 2024	Nice	1 - 0	Metz
07 Oct 2023	Metz	0 - 1	Nice

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
17 May	H Metz	D	0 - 0
10 May	A Auxerre	L	2 - 1
02 May	H Lens	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	A Marseille	D	1 - 1

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H 1. FC Kaiserslautern	L	1 - 3
25 Jul	H Fortuna Sittard	W	3 - 1
17 Jul	H Seraing United	W	5 - 0
17 May	A Nice	D	0 - 0
10 May	H Lorient	L	0 - 4

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0