Nantes vs Marseille Previsione
Pronostico Nantes vs Marseille: Sportiko assegna a Nantes una probabilità di vittoria del 14%, a Marseille del 63% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Nantes produced a stunning second-half display to dismantle Marseille 3–0 at the Stade de la Beaujoire, despite a goalless first half that gave little indication of what was to come. The opening 45 minutes were relatively uneventful, though Quentin Timber picked up a yellow card before being forced off at the break alongside Aubameyang coming on for Marseille.
The match turned dramatically in the second half, with Nantes scoring three times in just eight minutes. Ignatius Ganago broke the deadlock on 50 minutes, Rémy Cabella doubled the advantage four minutes later, and Matthis Abline — who had been booked earlier in the game — completed the rout on 58 minutes. The result was particularly striking given that Marseille's expected goals figure of 3.42 significantly outpaced Nantes' 1.36, suggesting the visitors created the better opportunities but were ruthlessly punished on the counter. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Marseille win as the most likely outcome at 63%, a call that proved spectacularly wide of the mark.
Nantes' ball possession stood at 58%, and they ultimately converted their chances with clinical efficiency, leaving Marseille with nothing to show from a match they might otherwise have expected to control.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Nantes
Match Stats
Nantes
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Patrik Carlgren G | 9.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (16%) | – |
| 10 Matthis Abline M | 8.9 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 (20%) | – |
| 37 Ignatius Ganago F | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 (11%) | – |
| 24 Frédéric Guilbert D | 7.7 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 30 (26%) | 4 |
| 6 Chidozie Awaziem D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | 3 |
| 20 Rémy Cabella M | 7.5 | 69' | 1 | – | 3 | 31 (29%) | 3 |
| 3 Nicolas Cozza D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 3 |
| 66 Louis Leroux M | 7.2 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | 5 |
| 8 Johann Lepenant M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (25%) | 3 |
| 13 Francis Coquelin M | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 2 Ali Youssef D | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 28 Ibrahima Sissoko M | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 23 (20%) | – |
| 22 Mathieu Acapandié D | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | – |
| 27 Deiver Machado D | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 26 Uroš Radaković D | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | – | 1 |
| 21 Mohamed Kaba M | 6.5 | 69' | – | 1 | 1 | 25 (22%) | – |
Marseille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Facundo Medina D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 86 (80%) | 1 |
| 78 Ange Lago F | 7.2 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | 5 |
| 72 Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani D | 6.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 2 |
| 9 Amine Gouiri F | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 27 Q. Timber M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | 3 |
| 20 Hamed Junior Traorè M | 6.5 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 33 (27%) | 1 |
| 12 Jeffrey de Lange G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | – |
| 14 Igor Paixão F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 5 Leonardo Balerdi D | 6.3 | 88' | – | – | – | 52 (45%) | 3 |
| 10 Mason Greenwood M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 34 (24%) | 1 |
| 23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (46%) | – |
| 17 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 8 (4%) | – |
| 33 Emerson Palmieri D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (41%) | 2 |
| 18 Arthur Vermeeren M | 6.2 | 65' | – | – | – | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 6 Tochukwu Nnadi D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | 4 |
| 70 Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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A. Gouiri
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nantes vs Marseille
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan 2026 | Marseille | 0 - 2 | Nantes |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Marseille | 2 - 0 | Nantes |
| 03 Nov 2024 | Nantes | 1 - 2 | Marseille |
Nantes — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Boulogne | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Sochaux | L | 1 - 0 |
| 07 Sep | H Nancy | W | 1 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Guingamp | D | 3 - 3 |
| 22 Aug | H Rodez | L | 2 - 5 |
Marseille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Sep | A Beşiktaş | L | 4 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Rennes | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Paris FC | L | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | A Monaco | L | 2 - 0 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Marseille
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Habib Beye
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | J. De Lange | G |
| 6 | T. Nnadi | D |
| 5 | L. Balerdi | D |
| 32 | F. Medina | D |
| 33 | Emerson | D |
| 18 | A. Vermeeren | M |
| 23 | P. Hojbjerg | M |
| 10 | M. Greenwood | M |
| 27 | Q. Timber | M |
| 20 | H. J. Traore | M |
| 17 | P. Aubameyang | F |
Substitutes
| 92 | T. Vermot | G |
| 11 | E. Nwaneri | M |
| 72 | H. Hamzaoui | D |
| 78 | E. Lago | F |
| 35 | K. Bezahaf | D |
| 71 | N. Kamissoko | M |
| 70 | U. Lamare El Kadmiri | F |
| 9 | A. Gouiri | F |
| 14 | I. Paixao | F |
Nantes
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vahid Halilhodzic
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | P. Carlgren | G |
| 24 | F. Guilbert | D |
| 6 | C. Awaziem | D |
| 3 | N. Cozza | D |
| 27 | D. Machado | D |
| 8 | J. Lepenant | M |
| 28 | I. Sissoko | M |
| 10 | M. Abline | M |
| 21 | M. Kaba | M |
| 20 | R. Cabella | M |
| 37 | I. Ganago | F |
Substitutes
| 40 | L. Bonelli | G |
| 19 | Y. El Arabi | F |
| 13 | F. Coquelin | M |
| 31 | Mostafa Mohamed | F |
| 2 | Ali Youssef | D |
| 26 | U. Radakovic | D |
| 22 | M. Acapandie | D |
| 66 | L. Leroux | M |
| 11 | B. Guirassy | F |