Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg Previsione

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

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Strasbourg

Away

Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest

Previsione AI Troppo equilibrato per una previsione

38%

27%

36%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg: Sportiko assegna a Stade Brestois 29 una probabilità di vittoria del 38%, a Strasbourg del 36% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Stade Brestois 29 fell to a 2–1 home defeat against Strasbourg in a match that was effectively decided inside the opening 20 minutes. Valentín Barco gave the visitors the lead in the ninth minute, but Brest responded swiftly through Ludovic Ajorque four minutes later. The momentum quickly swung back to Strasbourg, however, as Sebastian Nanasi restored their advantage in the 20th minute — a lead they would not relinquish.

The second half was a far quieter affair in terms of scoring, with both sides making multiple substitutions as the game opened up. Strasbourg's expected goals figure of 3.06 against Brest's 2.02 reflected their overall dominance in attacking intent, and their 21 total shots to Brest's 10 underlined how thoroughly they controlled the contest despite the hosts edging possession at 52 percent.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brest win as the most likely outcome at 38 percent, a call that proved unsettled as Strasbourg's early double strike set the tone for the afternoon. The result leaves questions over Brest's defensive resilience in the early stages of matches.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 9'

Valentín Barco assist: Sebastian Nanasi

Ludovic Ajorque assist: Kenny Lala

13' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 20'

Sebastian Nanasi assist: Julio Enciso

HT 1–2

Junior Dina Ebimbe ⇄ Remy Labeau Lascary

64' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Diego Moreira ⇄ Samuel Amo-Ameyaw

⇄ Hamidou Makalou

77' ⇄

Romain Del Castillo ⇄ Pathé Mboup

78' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Martial Godo

Joris Chotard ⇄ Lucas Tousart

83' ⇄

Hugo Magnetti

84' ⇄

▮ 85'

Yellow Card

⇄ 90+2'

Valentín Barco

FT 1–2

Stade Brestois 29

Match Stats

Strasbourg

48% Ball Possession 52%

3.06 Expected Goals (xG) 2.02

21 Total Shots 10

6 Shots on Goal 5

7 Shots off Goal 2

8 Blocked Shots 3

16 Shots insidebox 7

5 Shots outsidebox 3

5 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 4

10 Fouls 11

0 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

468 Total passes 524

389 Passes accurate 444

83% Passes % 85%

1.39 goals_prevented 1.39

Stade Brestois 29

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Ludovic Ajorque F	7.9	90'	1	–	5	21 (17%)	2
4 Michel Diaz D	7.7	90'	–	–	2	48 (46%)	3
30 Grégoire Coudert G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	43 (27%)	–
10 Romain Del Castillo M	7.2	78'	–	–	1	37 (33%)	–
8 Hugo Magnetti M	7.0	84'	–	–	1	47 (46%)	3
71 Raphaël Le Guen D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	54 (47%)	3
13 Joris Chotard M	6.9	83'	–	–	–	46 (39%)	1
14 Remy Labeau Lascary F	6.9	26'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
99 Pathé Mboup F	6.9	12'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
33 Hamidou Makalou M	6.9	13'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	1
7 Junior Dina Ebimbe M	6.7	64'	–	–	1	19 (13%)	4
77 Kenny Lala D	6.6	90'	–	1	–	51 (40%)	–
24 Lucas Tousart M	6.6	12'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
17 Mama Baldé F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
27 Daouda Guindo D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	48 (38%)	1
23 Kamory Doumbia M	5.9	77'	–	–	2	24 (17%)	3

Strasbourg

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
39 Mike Penders G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	55 (43%)	–
11 Sebastian Nanasi M	7.7	90'	1	1	1	39 (30%)	1
24 Lucas Høgsberg D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	47 (45%)	1
19 Julio Enciso F	7.2	90'	–	1	1	30 (24%)	–
29 Samir El Mourabet M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	50 (46%)	4
7 Diego Moreira M	7.0	72'	–	–	1	43 (31%)	2
32 Valentín Barco M	6.9	89'	1	–	3	64 (52%)	2
42 Abdoul Ouattara D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	56 (51%)	1
22 Guéla Doué D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	39 (29%)	1
34 Yaya Diémé F	6.5	8'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
2 Andrew Omobamidele D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	66 (61%)	–
20 Martial Godo M	6.3	82'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	–
27 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw F	6.3	18'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	1
28 Tyrese Noubissie M	—	1'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Troppo equilibrato per una previsione

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Stade Brestois 29

LLWDD

Strasbourg

LDWWL

Last 3 meetings Stade Brestois 29 · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Stade Brestois 29 hosts Strasbourg on April 12, 2026. Brestois, known for their solid home form, will aim to leverage their attacking prowess, having averaged 1.5 goals per match at home this season. Conversely, Strasbourg has struggled on the road, with only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams will be keen to secure points; Brestois will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Strasbourg needs to improve their away performance to avoid relegation concerns. The match promises to be competitive, with crucial implications for both sides' season trajectories.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Strasbourg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	10	6	3	1
1	10	13	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Stade Brestois 29 goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Stade Brestois 29

K. Doumbia 4 gls

Strasbourg

Gessime Yassine 2 gls

S. Amo-Ameyaw 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg

2 Stade Brestois 29 Wins

1 Draws

0 Strasbourg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Nov 2025	Strasbourg	1 - 2	Stade Brestois 29
23 Feb 2025	Strasbourg	0 - 0	Stade Brestois 29
30 Nov 2024	Stade Brestois 29	3 - 1	Strasbourg

Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Auxerre	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Le Havre	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2

Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Paris FC	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Monaco	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Estac Troyes	W	2 - 6
29 Aug	H Lens	W	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Marseille	L	4 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2