Marseille vs Auxerre Previsione

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

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Auxerre

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Marseille

62%

24%

14%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Marseille vs Auxerre: Sportiko assegna a Marseille una probabilità di vittoria del 62%, a Auxerre del 14% e al pareggio del 24%. Ultimo aggiornamento 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Marseille

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Marseille

LLLLL

Auxerre

WWLLL

Last 3 meetings Marseille · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match on March 13, 2026, Marseille will host Auxerre at the Stade Vélodrome. Marseille, traditionally a strong side, will look to leverage their home advantage, where they typically secure a high percentage of points. As of the latest data, Marseille has shown solid form, particularly in their attacking play, averaging 2.1 goals per game in their last five fixtures. Conversely, Auxerre has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in recent outings. This matchup appears favorable for Marseille, who are likely to maintain pressure and capitalize on Auxerre's defensive vulnerabilities.

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Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

62%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

14%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Auxerre goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	2
1	17	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Marseille goals · most likely 1–0 (16.8%)

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Players in form

Marseille

M. Greenwood 16 gls

P. Aubameyang 10 gls

Auxerre

L. Sinayoko 12 gls

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Head to Head: Marseille vs Auxerre

1 Marseille Wins

0 Draws

2 Auxerre Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Nov 2025	Auxerre	0 - 1	Marseille
22 Feb 2025	Auxerre	3 - 0	Marseille
08 Nov 2024	Marseille	1 - 3	Auxerre

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Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Nice	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Lyon	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Angers	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Lens	L	5 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74	29	+45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66	35	+31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52	37	+15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53	40	+13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	+18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59	50	+9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60	54	+6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58	47	+11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47	46	+1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.