VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern München Previsione
Pronostico VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern München: Sportiko assegna a VfL Wolfsburg una probabilità di vittoria del 3%, a Bayern München del 87% e al pareggio del 10%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Bayern München claimed a narrow but deserved victory at the Volkswagen Arena, securing all three points through a single second-half goal. The first half was goalless despite Bayern generating the greater threat, with a VAR review confirming a penalty in the 35th minute that went unconverted or was not taken before the break. Michael Olise settled the contest shortly after the restart, slotting home in the 56th minute to give the visitors the lead they had been threatening throughout.
Wolfsburg struggled to impose themselves despite enjoying 69 percent of the ball, managing nine shots on goal to Bayern's five, though the visitors' expected goals figure of 3.04 significantly outweighed the hosts' 1.85, underlining Bayern's clinical edge. A late yellow card for Kento Shiogai summed up a frustrating evening for the home side.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bayern win as the most likely outcome at 87%, a call that proved correct. The result continues Bayern's momentum as the Bundesliga season approaches its conclusion.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
VfL Wolfsburg
Match Stats
VfL Wolfsburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Kamil Grabara G | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (14%) | – |
| 24 Christian Eriksen M | 7.5 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 25 (17%) | 2 |
| 3 Denis Vavro D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 29 (27%) | 1 |
| 6 Jeanuël Belocian D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | 5 |
| 5 Vinícius Souza M | 7.2 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 3 |
| 11 Adam Daghim F | 7.2 | 74' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | 1 |
| 26 Saël Kumbedi M | 7.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | 3 |
| 39 Patrick Wimmer M | 6.9 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 17 (15%) | 2 |
| 21 Joakim Mæhle M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (27%) | 3 |
| 32 Mattias Svanberg M | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 11 (8%) | – |
| 31 Yannick Gerhardt M | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 7 Kento Shiogai F | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 10 Lovro Majer M | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | 2 |
| 17 Dženan Pejčinović F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 30 (22%) | – |
| 4 Konstantinos Koulierakis D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | – |
| 19 Jesper Lindstrøm M | — | 1' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
Bayern München
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Kim Min-jae D | 8.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 55 (53%) | 1 |
| 17 Michael Olise M | 8.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 81 (69%) | – |
| 6 Joshua Kimmich M | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 114 (109%) | 2 |
| 40 Jonas Urbig G | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (27%) | – |
| 20 Tom Bischof D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 87 (82%) | 5 |
| 4 Jonathan Tah D | 7.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 21 Hiroki Itō D | 7.5 | 84' | – | – | – | 65 (61%) | 1 |
| 2 Dayot Upamecano D | 7.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 47 (44%) | 2 |
| 44 Josip Stanišić D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 73 (67%) | 2 |
| 27 Konrad Laimer M | 6.9 | 45' | – | 1 | – | 52 (44%) | 4 |
| 8 Leon Goretzka M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 36 (31%) | 2 |
| 11 Nicolas Jackson M | 6.7 | 60' | – | – | 2 | 25 (19%) | – |
| 42 Lennart Karl M | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 10 Jamal Musiala M | 6.3 | 76' | – | – | 3 | 32 (28%) | 1 |
| 14 Luis Díaz F | 6.2 | 30' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | – |
| 9 Harry Kane F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 26 (20%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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No scorer data.
M. Olise
4 gls
H. Kane
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern München
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Bayern München | 8 - 1 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Bayern München | 3 - 2 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 25 Aug 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 - 3 | Bayern München |
VfL Wolfsburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H SV Darmstadt 98 | W | 5 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A FC St. Pauli | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Energie Cottbus | D | 4 - 4 |
| 29 Aug | A Karlsruher SC | W | 2 - 5 |
| 24 Aug | A Altglienicke | D | 3 - 3 |
Bayern München — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Union Berlin | W | 7 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A SV Elversberg | W | 1 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | H Bodo/Glimt | W | 5 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A FC Schalke 04 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | A VfL Osnabrück | W | 1 - 4 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
Bayern München
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Kompany
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | J. Urbig | G |
| 44 | J. Stanisic | D |
| 3 | Kim Min-Jae | D |
| 21 | H. Ito | D |
| 20 | T. Bischof | D |
| 6 | J. Kimmich | M |
| 8 | L. Goretzka | M |
| 17 | M. Olise | M |
| 10 | J. Musiala | M |
| 11 | N. Jackson | M |
| 9 | H. Kane | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | M. Neuer | G |
| 14 | L. Diaz | F |
| 22 | R. Guerreiro | D |
| 4 | J. Tah | D |
| 27 | K. Laimer | M |
| 45 | A. Pavlovic | M |
| 42 | L. Karl | M |
| 2 | D. Upamecano | D |
| 39 | B. Ndiaye | F |
VfL Wolfsburg
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Dieter Hecking
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Grabara | G |
| 6 | J. Belocian | D |
| 3 | D. Vavro | D |
| 4 | K. Koulierakis | D |
| 26 | S. Kumbedi | M |
| 39 | P. Wimmer | M |
| 5 | Vini Souza | M |
| 24 | C. Eriksen | M |
| 21 | J. Maehle | M |
| 11 | A. Daghim | F |
| 17 | D. Pejcinovic | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | P. Pervan | G |
| 31 | Y. Gerhardt | M |
| 32 | M. Svanberg | M |
| 15 | M. Jenz | D |
| 19 | J. Lindstrom | M |
| 10 | L. Majer | M |
| 18 | J. Adjetey | D |
| 25 | A. Zehnter | D |
| 7 | K. Shiogai | F |