Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Previsione

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

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RB Leipzig

Away

BayArena, Leverkusen

Previsione AI RB Leipzig o pareggio

25%

50%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig: Sportiko assegna a Bayer Leverkusen una probabilità di vittoria del 25%, a RB Leipzig del 50% e al pareggio del 25%. Ultimo aggiornamento 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Bayer Leverkusen delivered a dominant home performance to dismantle RB Leipzig 4–1 in Bundesliga Matchday 32, leading 2–0 at the break. Patrik Schick opened the scoring on 25 minutes, and Nathan Tella doubled the advantage with a goal right on half-time to put Leverkusen firmly in control.

Leipzig made double substitutions at the interval in an attempt to shift the momentum, but Leverkusen continued to press. Schick added his second on 76 minutes before Christoph Baumgartner made it 4–0 on 80 minutes — the Austrian picking up a yellow card just four minutes later. Leipzig's consolation came through Baumgartner's strike at 80', with the visitors' only response arriving amid a flurry of late changes. Schick completed his hat-trick on 89 minutes, confirmed by VAR, to seal an emphatic result. Our pre-match AI model had rated an RB Leipzig win as most likely at 50%, a call that proved well wide of the mark.

The underlying numbers told the full story: Leverkusen generated 4.42 expected goals to Leipzig's 1.17, with 55% possession and 23 total shots underlining their comprehensive control throughout.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 14'

Max Finkgräfe Yellow Card

Patrik Schick assist: Nathan Tella

25' ⚽ 1–0

Nathan Tella assist: Aleix García

45' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

El Chadaille Bitshiabu ⇄ Castello Lukeba

⇄ 46'

Antonio Nusa ⇄ Brajan Gruda

⇄ 65'

Nicolas Seiwald ⇄ Assan Ouédraogo

⇄ 65'

Rômulo ⇄ Conrad Harder

▮ 72'

Xaver Schlager Yellow Card

Patrik Schick assist: Ibrahim Maza

76' ⚽ 3–0

Nathan Tella ⇄ Ernest Poku

77' ⇄

Montrell Culbreath ⇄ Arthur

77' ⇄

⚽ 3–1 80'

Christoph Baumgartner assist: Brajan Gruda

▮ 84'

Christoph Baumgartner Yellow Card

⇄ 84'

Max Finkgräfe ⇄ Benjamin Henrichs

Aleix García ⇄ Ezequiel Fernández

85' ⇄

Ibrahim Maza ⇄ Malik Tillman

85' ⇄

Malik Tillman Yellow Card

86' ▮

Patrik Schick assist: Alejandro Grimaldo

89' ⚽ 4–1

Patrik Schick Goal confirmed

90' 🖵

Patrik Schick ⇄ Christian Kofane

90+3' ⇄

FT 4–1

Bayer Leverkusen

Match Stats

RB Leipzig

55% Ball Possession 45%

4.42 Expected Goals (xG) 1.17

23 Total Shots 14

8 Shots on Goal 5

8 Shots off Goal 5

7 Blocked Shots 4

21 Shots insidebox 9

2 Shots outsidebox 5

7 Corner Kicks 3

Offsides

7 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

504 Total passes 414

449 Passes accurate 356

89% Passes % 86%

-0.14 goals_prevented -0.14

Bayer Leverkusen

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Patrik Schick F	9.3	89'	3	–	7	19 (18%)	–
23 Nathan Tella F	9.3	77'	1	1	4	22 (19%)	3
20 Alejandro Grimaldo M	9.0	90'	–	1	2	58 (53%)	5
24 Aleix García M	8.9	85'	–	1	–	75 (72%)	1
30 Ibrahim Maza F	7.7	85'	–	1	–	31 (20%)	2
25 Exequiel Palacios M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	63 (59%)	2
12 Edmond Tapsoba D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	58 (56%)	2
8 Robert Andrich D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	57 (52%)	–
42 Montrell Culbreath M	7.0	77'	–	–	1	32 (29%)	2
1 M. Flekken G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	–
19 Ernest Poku F	6.7	13'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
6 Ezequiel Fernández M	6.7	10'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
10 Malik Tillman M	6.6	10'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
13 Arthur D	6.5	13'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	1
4 Jarell Quansah D	6.2	90'	–	–	2	45 (39%)	–
35 Christian Kofane F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

RB Leipzig

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 El Chadaille Bitshiabu D	7.5	45'	–	–	–	29 (29%)	1
14 Christoph Baumgartner M	7.2	90'	1	–	1	34 (28%)	1
13 Nicolas Seiwald M	6.9	65'	–	–	1	35 (34%)	3
10 Brajan Gruda F	6.9	45'	–	1	1	18 (13%)	–
4 Willi Orbán D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	56 (50%)	4
7 Antonio Nusa F	6.6	45'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	2
24 Xaver Schlager M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	49 (45%)	2
23 Castello Lukeba D	6.6	45'	–	–	–	34 (28%)	–
40 Rômulo F	6.5	65'	–	–	2	12 (10%)	1
11 Conrad Harder F	6.3	25'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	1
20 Assan Ouédraogo M	6.2	25'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–
39 Benjamin Henrichs D	6.2	11'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
49 Yan Diomande F	5.9	90'	–	–	1	32 (25%)	–
26 Maarten Vandevoordt G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	20 (13%)	–
35 Max Finkgräfe D	5.9	84'	–	–	2	30 (27%)	1
17 Ridle Baku D	5.5	90'	–	–	–	41 (35%)	2

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

RB Leipzig o pareggio

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Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL

RB Leipzig

LWLLW

Last 3 meetings Bayer Leverkusen · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Bayer Leverkusen hosts RB Leipzig in a crucial Bundesliga clash on May 2, 2026. Both teams are vying for top positions, with Leverkusen showcasing a potent attack, averaging 2.3 goals per game this season, thanks to standout performances from their forwards. Leipzig, however, counters with a robust defense, conceding only 0.9 goals per match, while also maintaining a strong away record. The tactical battle will likely center around Leverkusen's ability to break through Leipzig's organized backline. Expect a high-tempo match, with both teams keen to secure vital points in the title race.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

RB Leipzig goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	11	9	5	2	1
1	7	12	10	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Bayer Leverkusen goals · most likely 1–1 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick 4 gls

Christian Kofane 2 gls

RB Leipzig

A. Nusa 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

2 Bayer Leverkusen Wins

1 Draws

0 RB Leipzig Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	Bayer Leverkusen	2 - 0	RB Leipzig
20 Dec 2025	RB Leipzig	1 - 3	Bayer Leverkusen
25 Jan 2025	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Bayer Leverkusen

Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Celje	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Augsburg	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A SV Elversberg	L	3 - 2

RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Bayer Leverkusen

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Kasper Hjulmand

1 Flekken

12 Tapsoba

8 Andrich

4 Quansah

20 Grimaldo

25 Palacios

24 Garcia

42 Culbreath

23 Tella

30 Maza

14 Schick

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. Flekken	G
4	J. Quansah	D
8	R. Andrich	D
12	E. Tapsoba	D
42	M. Culbreath	M
24	A. Garcia	M
25	E. Palacios	M
20	A. Grimaldo	M
30	I. Maza	F
23	N. Tella	F
14	P. Schick	F

Substitutes

28	J. Blaswich	G
6	E. Fernandez	M
5	L. Bade	D
7	J. Hofmann	M
10	M. Tillman	M
19	E. Poku	F
17	E. Ben Seghir	F
13	Arthur	D
35	C. Kofane	F

RB Leipzig

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ole Werner

26 Vandevoordt

35 Finkgrafe

5 Bitshiabu

4 Orban

17 Baku

14 Baumgartner

13 Seiwald

24 Schlager

7 Nusa

40 Cardoso

49 Diomande

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
26	M. Vandevoordt	G
17	R. Baku	D
4	W. Orban	D
5	E. Bitshiabu	D
35	M. Finkgrafe	D
24	X. Schlager	M
13	N. Seiwald	M
14	C. Baumgartner	M
49	Y. Diomande	F
40	Romulo Cardoso	F
7	A. Nusa	F

Substitutes

1	P. Gulacsi	G
16	L. Klostermann	D
23	C. Lukeba	D
9	J. Bakayoko	F
10	B. Gruda	F
39	B. Henrichs	D
22	D. Raum	D
20	A. Ouedraogo	M
11	C. Harder	F