1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen Previsione

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Post on X

Werder Bremen

Away

Previsione AI Werder Bremen o pareggio

27%

29%

43%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen: Sportiko assegna a 1. FC Köln una probabilità di vittoria del 27%, a Werder Bremen del 43% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Köln claimed a 3–1 home victory over Werder Bremen in Bundesliga Matchday 29, despite being outplayed for long stretches of the contest. Said El Mala converted a seventh-minute penalty to give the hosts an early lead, and the match shifted decisively when Bremen defender Marco Friedl was shown a red card in the 24th minute, leaving the visitors to battle with ten men for the remainder of the game.

Bremen responded with attacking intent after the break — a VAR review cancelled an Alessio Castro-Montes goal just after half-time — but Köln doubled their advantage through Ragnar Ache on 65 minutes. Bremen pulled one back via a Romano Schmid penalty on 75 minutes after VAR confirmed a spot-kick, briefly threatening a comeback. However, any hope of a Bremen recovery was extinguished when Mio Backhaus turned the ball into his own net in stoppage time to seal the result.

The underlying numbers told a different story: Bremen registered 25 total shots and an xG of 3.33 compared to Köln's 0.99, though the red card proved the defining factor. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bremen win most likely at 43%, a call that ultimately did not materialise.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Said El Mala Penalty

7' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 24'

Marco Friedl Red Card

HT 1–0

Kristoffer Lund ⇄ Alessio Castro-Montes

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Yukinari Sugawara

⇄ 46'

Marco Grüll ⇄ Salim Musah

Alessio Castro-Montes Goal cancelled

49' 🖵

Ragnar Ache

65' ⚽ 2–0

Said El Mala ⇄ Linton Maina

67' ⇄

Jan Thielmann ⇄ Marius Bülter

67' ⇄

Ragnar Ache Yellow Card

70' ▮

🖵 74'

Olivier Deman Penalty confirmed

⚽ 2–1 75'

Romano Schmid Penalty

Ragnar Ache ⇄ Luca Waldschmidt

76' ⇄

▮ 78'

Leonardo Bittencourt Yellow Card

⇄ 79'

Felix Agu ⇄ Isaac Schmidt

Yellow Card

83' ▮

⇄ 84'

Leonardo Bittencourt ⇄ Jovan Milošević

Sebastian Sebulonsen ⇄ Tom Krauß

86' ⇄

▮ 90'

Amos Pieper Yellow Card

Mio Backhaus Own Goal

90' ⚽ 3–1

Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

FT 3–1

1. FC Köln

Match Stats

Werder Bremen

58% Ball Possession 42%

3.33 Expected Goals (xG) 0.99

25 Total Shots 6

8 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 3

11 Blocked Shots 1

16 Shots insidebox 2

9 Shots outsidebox 4

8 Corner Kicks 5

3 Offsides 3

16 Fouls 7

3 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 6

493 Total passes 352

437 Passes accurate 280

89% Passes % 80%

0.24 goals_prevented 0.24

1. FC Köln

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Jakub Kamiński M	7.3	90'	–	–	1	51 (42%)	–
37 Linton Maina M	7.3	23'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	67 (63%)	–
32 Kristoffer Lund D	7.2	45'	–	–	–	30 (27%)	–
29 Jan Thielmann M	7.0	67'	–	–	–	26 (23%)	1
39 Cenk Özkaçar D	7.0	90'	–	–	2	78 (75%)	–
6 Eric Martel M	7.0	90'	–	–	1	61 (58%)	1
1 Marvin Schwäbe G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	–
18 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson M	6.9	90'	–	–	2	48 (38%)	–
7 Luca Waldschmidt F	6.9	14'	–	–	2	6 (6%)	–
30 Marius Bülter F	6.9	23'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	–
28 Sebastian Sebulonsen D	6.7	86'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	1
5 Tom Krauß M	6.7	13'	–	–	–	–	1
13 Said El Mala F	6.6	67'	1	–	1	13 (10%)	–
9 Ragnar Ache F	6.3	76'	1	–	4	7 (6%)	–
17 Alessio Castro-Montes M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	–

Werder Bremen

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
30 Mio Backhaus G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	33 (22%)	–
20 Romano Schmid M	7.2	90'	1	–	1	46 (34%)	–
5 Amos Pieper D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	47 (37%)	1
11 Justin Njinmah F	7.2	90'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	2
27 Felix Agu M	6.9	79'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	2
2 Olivier Deman D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	1
14 Senne Lynen M	6.9	90'	–	–	2	40 (35%)	2
17 Marco Grüll M	6.5	45'	–	–	1	11 (7%)	1
29 Salim Musah F	6.5	45'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	1
3 Yukinari Sugawara D	6.3	45'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	1
10 Leonardo Bittencourt M	6.3	84'	–	–	–	40 (31%)	3
19 Jovan Milošević F	6.3	15'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	–
23 Isaac Schmidt D	6.2	11'	–	–	–	8 (4%)	–
31 Karim Coulibaly D	6.2	45'	–	–	–	20 (20%)	1
32 Marco Friedl D	4.2	24'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	1

Premium

Sblocca l'analisi completa dell'AI su 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen

Tutti i 70+ mercati di probabilità
Report di analisi approfondita AI
Value Edge — modello vs mercato
Tipologie di esito che scegli

Passa a Premium

Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Werder Bremen o pareggio

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

1. FC Köln

LDLWW

Werder Bremen

WDWLW

Last 3 meetings 1. FC Köln · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash on April 11, 2026, 1. FC Köln will host Werder Bremen at their home ground. Köln has demonstrated a solid home record, typically showcasing strong defensive organization and an ability to capitalize on set-pieces. Conversely, Werder Bremen has struggled with consistency on the road, often conceding goals in critical moments. Key players like Köln's forward, who has been prolific this season, could exploit Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities. Overall, this match presents Köln with a favorable opportunity to secure crucial points in their quest for a mid-table finish.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Werder Bremen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	15	9	4	1
1	11	13	8	3	1
2	5	6	4	1
3	1	2	1
4
5

↑ 1. FC Köln goals · most likely 0–1 (14.8%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

1. FC Köln

No scorer data.

Werder Bremen

N. Füllkrug 3 gls

M. Grüll 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Perché questa scelta? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen

0 1. FC Köln Wins

2 Draws

1 Werder Bremen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Sep 2026	1. FC Köln	1 - 1	Werder Bremen
29 Nov 2025	Werder Bremen	1 - 1	1. FC Köln
16 Feb 2024	1. FC Köln	0 - 1	Werder Bremen

Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

1. FC Köln — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Hamburger SV	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Werder Bremen	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	L	4 - 1
29 Aug	H 1899 Hoffenheim	W	3 - 2
24 Aug	A Würzburger Kickers	W	1 - 2

Werder Bremen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FC Augsburg	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A 1. FC Köln	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	A SC Freiburg	L	4 - 1
22 Aug	A Lüneburger SK Hansa	W	0 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0