FC Midtjylland vs Ajax Previsione
Pronostico FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: Sportiko assegna a FC Midtjylland una probabilità di vittoria del 32%, a Ajax del 42% e al pareggio del 25%. Ultimo aggiornamento 5 Nov 2026, 19:52.
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Match Report
FC Midtjylland suffered a heavy 6–1 defeat to Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League, despite a competitive opening half. The hosts took the lead through Tolu Arokodare in the ninth minute, only for Friday Etim to level matters before the break. The pivotal moment came in the 43rd minute when Midtjylland's Kjell Wätjen was shown a second yellow card and subsequently dismissed, leaving the home side to play the entire second half with ten men.
Ajax exploited the numerical advantage ruthlessly after the interval. Arokodare added a second for the hosts early in the second half, but Owen Wijndal, Davy Klaassen, Oscar Gloukh, and Marcos Leonardo all found the net to complete a commanding victory. The pre-match AI model had rated an Ajax win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that proved correct in emphatic fashion.
Midtjylland dominated possession at 71% and registered 23 total shots, yet their expected goals figure of 3.41 compared to Ajax's 1.68 tells only part of the story — the red card ultimately proved the decisive turning point in a night that unravelled dramatically for the Danish side.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
FC Midtjylland
Match Stats
FC Midtjylland
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sofus Johannesen M | 7.2 | 60' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 90 Friday Etim F | 7.2 | 45' | 1 | – | 2 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 21 Denil Castillo F | 7.0 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 10 Gue-sung Cho F | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | – |
| 5 Rasmus Kristensen M | 6.9 | 86' | – | – | – | 31 (20%) | 3 |
| 22 Mads Bech Sørensen D | 6.9 | 86' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 19 Pedro Bravo M | 6.5 | 41' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 2 |
| 55 Victor Bak Jensen D | 6.3 | 86' | – | – | – | 28 (27%) | 2 |
| 8 Philip Billing M | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | 2 |
| 18 Stanley Iheanacho F | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 20 Hong Hyun-Seok M | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 38 J. Emefile M | 6.0 | 41' | – | – | 1 | 12 (6%) | – |
| 15 Beni Junior D | 5.9 | 41' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 29 Kjell Wätjen M | 5.7 | 43' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 4 O. Diao D | 5.5 | 86' | – | – | – | 47 (43%) | – |
| 25 Nordin Bakker G | 4.6 | 86' | – | – | – | 42 (21%) | – |
Ajax
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oscar Gloukh M | 10.0 | 86' | 1 | 2 | 2 | 91 (84%) | – |
| 6 Thilo Kehrer D | 9.2 | 86' | – | – | – | 86 (81%) | 1 |
| 15 Youri Baas M | 8.6 | 70' | – | – | 2 | 92 (86%) | 1 |
| 5 Owen Wijndal D | 8.3 | 68' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 55 (52%) | 1 |
| 99 Tolu Arokodare F | 7.9 | 70' | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 2 Lucas Rosa D | 7.6 | 86' | – | – | – | 59 (54%) | 2 |
| 36 Dies Janse D | 7.6 | 86' | – | – | – | 76 (69%) | – |
| 68 Abdellah Ouazane M | 7.3 | 68' | – | 1 | – | 33 (32%) | 1 |
| 38 Marcos Leonardo F | 7.3 | 16' | 1 | – | 1 | – | – |
| 17 Daley Blind D | 7.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 30 (29%) | – |
| 18 Davy Klaassen M | 6.9 | 75' | 1 | – | 3 | 40 (34%) | – |
| 43 Rayane Bounida F | 6.9 | 18' | – | 1 | 1 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 1 Marc-André Ter Stegen G | 6.9 | 86' | – | – | – | 21 (17%) | – |
| 21 Jofre Torrents D | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 24 Jorthy Mokio M | 6.2 | 86' | – | – | 2 | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 67 Mohamed Abdalla M | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
Sblocca l'analisi completa dell'AI su FC Midtjylland vs Ajax
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Min 84: Ajax leads 1-6. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.
Ajax now leads 1-6 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 23.2%.
Min 76: Ajax leads 1-5. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.
Ajax now leads 1-5 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 38.9%.
Ajax now leads 1-4 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 51.1%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Cho Gue-Sung
3 gls
T. Arokodare
6 gls
D. Klaassen
6 gls
O. Gloukh
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Midtjylland vs Ajax
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2020 | Ajax | 3 - 1 | FC Midtjylland |
| 03 Nov 2020 | FC Midtjylland | 1 - 2 | Ajax |
FC Midtjylland — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Ajax | L | 1 - 6 |
| 01 Nov | A FC Nordsjaelland | W | 2 - 3 |
| 29 Oct | H Odense | W | 2 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Lyngby | W | 3 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | H St. Truiden | L | 0 - 1 |
Ajax — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A FC Midtjylland | W | 1 - 6 |
| 31 Oct | H AZ Alkmaar | W | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Sparta Rotterdam | W | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | H Atalanta | W | 2 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Groningen | W | 2 - 5 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
FC Copenhagen
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |
Universitatea Craiova
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |
Mjallby AIF
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |
St. Truiden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ajax
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |
Trabzonspor
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |
SC Freiburg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atalanta
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |
SC Braga
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Gent
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |
Riga
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |
FC Thun
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |
Borac Banja Luka
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |
FK Jablonec
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |
Aarhus
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |
FC Nordsjaelland
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |
Kairat Almaty
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |
CSKA Sofia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |
FC Iberia 1999
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |
Pafos
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |
Getafe
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |
KuPS
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Midtjylland
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
Ajax
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc-André ter Stegen | G |
| 2 | Lucas Rosa | D |
| 6 | Thilo Kehrer | D |
| 36 | Dies Janse | D |
| 5 | Owen Wijndal | D |
| 18 | Davy Klaassen | M |
| 15 | Youri Baas | M |
| 68 | Abdellah Ouazane | M |
| 24 | Jorthy Mokio | M |
| 10 | Oscar Gloukh | M |
| 99 | Tolu Arokodare | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Joeri Heerkens | G |
| 26 | Maarten Paes | G |
| 17 | Daley Blind | D |
| 21 | Jofre Torrents | D |
| 30 | Aaron Bouwman | D |
| 67 | Mohamed Abdalla | M |
| 23 | Steven Berghuis | F |
| 38 | Marcos Leonardo | F |
| 43 | Rayane Bounida | F |
| 49 | Diego Pugno | F |
FC Midtjylland
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nordin Bakker | G |
| 4 | Ousmane Diao | D |
| 22 | Mads Bech Sørensen | D |
| 55 | Victor Bak Jensen | D |
| 5 | Rasmus Kristensen | M |
| 29 | Kjell Wätjen | M |
| 8 | Philip Billing | M |
| 27 | Sofus Johannesen | M |
| 21 | Denil Castillo | F |
| 10 | Gue-sung Cho | F |
| 90 | Friday Etim | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | Beni Junior | D |
| 19 | Pedro Bravo | M |
| 38 | Julius Emefile | M |
| 18 | Stanley Iheanacho | F |
| 30 | Ovie Ejeheri | G |
| 60 | Mark Ugboh | G |
| 34 | Abdou Aziz Ndiaye | D |
| 20 | Hong Hyun-seok | M |
| 9 | Mileta Rajović | F |
| 17 | Mikael Uhre | F |