PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV Previsione

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
FT
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Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam
Previsione AI PSV Eindhoven o pareggio
48%
24%
28%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV: Sportiko assegna a PSV Eindhoven una probabilità di vittoria del 48%, a Club Brugge KV del 28% e al pareggio del 24%. Ultimo aggiornamento 4 Nov 2026, 21:55.

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Match Report

Club Brugge KV claimed a deserved 1–2 victory at PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League league stage, with the visitors dominant throughout. Nicolò Tresoldi broke the deadlock on 25 minutes to send Brugge into the interval ahead, and the Belgian side's control of the contest was reflected in their 62% possession and 27 total shots compared to PSV's ten.

PSV briefly threatened a turnaround when Kodai Sano levelled matters nine minutes into the second half, but Carlos Forbs — who had been booked in the first half — restored Brugge's advantage on 65 minutes to settle the tie. The home side could not find a second equaliser despite late pressure, finishing with just three shots on target against Brugge's nine.

The result underlined Brugge's superiority on the night, with an expected goals figure of 2.92 to PSV's 1.78 backing up the scoreline. Our pre-match AI model had rated a PSV win as the most likely outcome at 48%, a call that proved wide of the mark as Brugge took all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 25'
Nicolò Tresoldi assist: Joaquin Seys
▮ 28'
Carlos Forbs Yellow Card
⇄ 36'
Jan Virgili ⇄ Félix Lemaréchal
HT 0–1
Kodai Sano
54' ⚽ 1–1
⚽ 1–2 65'
Carlos Forbs assist: Joaquin Seys
Ruben van Bommel ⇄ Ricardo Pepi
69' ⇄
▮ 73'
Hugo Vetlesen Yellow Card
▮ 81'
Jorne Spileers Yellow Card
⇄ 81'
Nicolò Tresoldi ⇄ Romeo Vermant
⇄ 81'
Hugo Vetlesen ⇄ Mamadou Diakhon
Filip Kostić ⇄ Esmir Bajraktarević
84' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Carlos Forbs ⇄ Hugo Siquet
Sven Mijnans ⇄ Mikkel Bro Hansen
90' ⇄
FT 1–2
PSV Eindhoven

Match Stats

Club Brugge KV
62% Ball Possession 38%
2.92 Expected Goals (xG) 1.78
27 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 5
20 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 4
8 Corner Kicks 5
0 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
608 Total passes 370
516 Passes accurate 275
10 Free Kicks 7
PSV Eindhoven
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
24 Kodai Sano M 8.2 90' 1 – 1 77 (70%) 2
5 Ivan Perišić M 7.2 90' – – 2 49 (38%) 2
8 Sergiño Dest D 6.8 90' – – 5 52 (50%) 1
2 L. Geertruida D 6.8 90' – – – 75 (71%) 2
17 Mauro Júnior M 6.7 90' – – 2 76 (66%) 2
4 Armando Obispo D 6.6 90' – – 2 58 (47%) 3
19 Esmir Bajraktarević F 6.5 6' – – 1 2 (2%) –
21 Sven Mijnans M 6.5 90' – – 6 39 (32%) 2
32 Matěj Kovář G 6.4 90' – – – 52 (45%) –
9 Ricardo Pepi F 6.4 21' – – 2 4 (3%) –
20 G. Til F 6.3 90' – – 2 31 (27%) –
18 Filip Kostić D 6.0 84' – – 1 49 (37%) 1
7 Ruben van Bommel M 5.5 69' – – 2 36 (23%) 3
Club Brugge KV
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
65 Joaquin Seys D 8.1 90' – 2 – 42 (32%) –
7 Nicolò Tresoldi F 7.9 81' 1 – 2 22 (14%) 1
1 Yann Sommer G 7.5 90' – – – 49 (30%) –
9 Carlos Forbs M 7.3 87' 1 – 3 16 (11%) 4
44 Brandon Mechele D 7.1 90' – – 1 39 (34%) 3
20 Hans Vanaken M 6.9 90' – – – 51 (42%) 2
41 Hugo Siquet D 6.7 3' – – – 3 (1%) –
67 Mamadou Diakhon F 6.5 9' – – – – –
80 Félix Lemaréchal M 6.5 54' – – 2 17 (13%) 2
17 Romeo Vermant F 6.4 9' – – – 1 (1%) –
11 Jan Virgili M 6.3 36' – – – 7 (5%) –
58 Jorne Spileers D 6.3 90' – – 1 35 (27%) –
8 Freddie Potts M 6.2 90' – – – 31 (25%) 2
64 Kyriani Sabbe D 6.2 90' – – 1 27 (19%) –
10 Hugo Vetlesen M 6.1 81' – – – 26 (20%) 2
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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
PSV Eindhoven o pareggio
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PSV Eindhoven
LWDWL
Club Brugge KV
DWWWW

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Club Brugge KV leads 1-2. Win probability: 76.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 23.1%.

66' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Club Brugge KV win: 69.8%. BTTS: 100%.

55' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 40.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Club Brugge KV leads. Win probability: 60.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 82.5%.

26' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Club Brugge KV win: 55.9%. BTTS: 77.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
48%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
28%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

PSV Eindhoven

No scorer data.

Club Brugge KV
N. Tresoldi 5 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

PSV Eindhoven — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov H Club Brugge KV L 1 - 2
31 Oct H Willem II W 7 - 0
25 Oct H Feyenoord D 1 - 1
20 Oct A FC Porto W 0 - 1
17 Oct A ADO Den Haag L 2 - 1

Club Brugge KV — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Anderlecht D 1 - 1
04 Nov A PSV Eindhoven W 1 - 2
30 Oct A Zulte Waregem W 2 - 4
25 Oct H St. Truiden W 3 - 2
21 Oct H Lens W 3 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

Club Brugge KV

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: I. Leko
1 Sommer
65 Seys
44 Mechele
58 Spileers
64 Sabbe
8 Potts
11 Virgili
20 Vanaken
10 Vetlesen
9 Forbs
7 Tresoldi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Y. Sommer G
64 K. Sabbe D
58 J. Spileers D
44 B. Mechele D
65 J. Seys D
8 F. Potts M
9 Carlos Forbs M
10 H. Vetlesen M
20 H. Vanaken M
11 Jan Virgili M
7 N. Tresoldi F

Substitutes

62 L. Audoor M
32 M. Dams D
67 M. Diakhon F
29 N. Jackers G
3 Lee Han-Beom D
80 F. Lemaréchal M
39 M. Robberechts F
41 H. Siquet D
16 C. Tsawa M
81 Argus Vanden Driessche G
77 A. Vasovic F
17 R. Vermant F

PSV Eindhoven

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: P. Bosz
32 Kovář
18 Kostić
4 Obispo
2 Geertruida
8 Dest
17 Júnior
24 Sano
7 Bommel
21 Mijnans
5 Perišić
20 Til

Starting XI

# Player Pos
32 M. Kovář G
8 S. Dest D
2 L. Geertruida D
4 A. Obispo D
18 F. Kostić D
24 K. Sano M
17 Mauro Júnior M
5 I. Perišić M
21 S. Mijnans M
7 R. van Bommel M
20 G. Til F

Substitutes

23 M. Hansen F
31 N. Fernandez M
6 R. Flamingo D
3 Yarek Gasiorowski D
27 D. Man F
1 N. Olij G
9 R. Pepi F
35 A. Santos M
25 K. Sildillia D
51 T. Smolenaars G
19 E. Bajraktarevic F

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