AC Oulu vs KuPS Previsione

Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 31

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AC Oulu

Home

2 : 0

HT 1 - 0

KuPS

Away

Raatin stadion, Oulu

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per KuPS

23%

26%

51%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico AC Oulu vs KuPS: Sportiko assegna a AC Oulu una probabilità di vittoria del 23%, a KuPS del 51% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 1 Nov 2026, 14:52.

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Timeline

C. Triana

9' ⚽ 1–0

E. Kallio ⇄ L. Ghezali

45' ⇄

⇄ 45'

S. Savolainen ⇄ A. Puukko

⇄ 45'

T. Jyry ⇄ Julius Eskesen

HT 1–0

I. Mendolin Yellow Card

62' ▮

⇄ 66'

G. Engvall ⇄ A. Aiki

⇄ 69'

S. Pasanen ⇄ S. Heiskanen

R. Karjalainen assist: L. Ghezali

71' ⚽ 2–0

R. Karjalainen ⇄ R. Riski

77' ⇄

⇄ 82'

P. Parzyszek ⇄ J. Luyeye-Lutumba

R. Riski Yellow Card

85' ▮

J. Makelainen ⇄ M. Ojala

89' ⇄

FT 2–0

AC Oulu

Match Stats

KuPS

37% Ball Possession 63%

1.1 Expected Goals (xG) 0.9

11 Total Shots 19

4 Shots on Goal 5

4 Shots off Goal 10

3 Blocked Shots 4

6 Shots insidebox 11

5 Shots outsidebox 7

1 Corner Kicks 10

3 Offsides 0

12 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

329 Total passes 525

246 Passes accurate 452

11 Free Kicks 11

AC Oulu

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 C. Triana F	8.2	90'	1	–	1	28 (23%)	2
7 R. Karjalainen F	8.0	77'	1	–	2	14 (8%)	–
13 Miguel Santos G	7.8	90'	–	–	–	29 (12%)	–
66 J. Pirinen D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	48 (43%)	1
11 L. Ghezali F	7.3	44'	–	1	2	14 (10%)	1
5 M. Pitkänen D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	31 (25%)	1
27 E. Kallio M	6.9	46'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	2
8 M. Ojala M	6.8	1'	–	–	–	–	–
21 I. Mendolin M	6.8	90'	–	–	3	31 (28%)	–
22 T. Kaukua D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	34 (23%)	1
25 M. Arsalo M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	27 (21%)	–
16 O. Kemppainen D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	24 (16%)	4
30 J. Makelainen M	6.4	89'	–	–	1	21 (15%)	–
9 R. Riski F	6.3	13'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

KuPS

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
34 Julius Eskesen M	6.9	44'	–	–	3	20 (18%)	–
3 S. Heiskanen M	6.8	21'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	2
8 P. Pennanen M	6.7	90'	–	–	2	43 (40%)	2
14 S. Pasanen M	6.7	69'	–	–	2	54 (47%)	–
23 A. Lötjönen D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	86 (79%)	–
33 T. Hämäläinen D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	78 (70%)	1
15 A. Aiki F	6.5	24'	–	–	2	9 (9%)	–
24 B. Armah M	6.4	90'	–	–	4	33 (28%)	5
16 T. Jyry M	6.4	46'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	2
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	–	–
25 C. Antwi D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	49 (42%)	–
1 J. Kreidl G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	32 (25%)	–
29 A. Puukko D	6.1	44'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
9 G. Engvall M	6.1	66'	–	–	1	16 (12%)	1
6 S. Savolainen D	6.0	46'	–	–	–	27 (20%)	1
20 P. Parzyszek F	5.9	82'	–	–	3	20 (12%)	–

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per KuPS

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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AC Oulu

WDWWL

KuPS

DLDDL

Last 2 meetings AC Oulu · 2W 0D 0L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: AC Oulu leads 2-0. Win probability: 96.7%. Comeback chance: 3.3%.

72' Goal 85% sure

AC Oulu now leads 2-0 with 95.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 44.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. AC Oulu leads. Win probability: 59.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.6%.

10' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. AC Oulu win: 50.3%. BTTS: 80.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

23%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

51%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

AC Oulu

R. Karjalainen 4 gls

KuPS

J. Moreno 7 gls

B. Armah 4 gls

P. Pennanen 3 gls

J. Luyeye-Lutumba 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: AC Oulu vs KuPS

2 AC Oulu Wins

0 Draws

0 KuPS Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Oct 2026	KuPS	0 - 1	AC Oulu
28 Feb 2026	AC Oulu	5 - 0	KuPS

AC Oulu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Nov	H KuPS	W	2 - 0
28 Oct	H VPS	D	0 - 0
24 Oct	A Gnistan	W	3 - 4
17 Oct	A Inter Turku	W	1 - 2
12 Oct	H HJK Helsinki	L	3 - 4

KuPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Nov	H Gent	D	0 - 0
01 Nov	A AC Oulu	L	2 - 0
29 Oct	H Gnistan	D	1 - 1
25 Oct	A HJK Helsinki	D	2 - 2
22 Oct	A Borac Banja Luka	L	2 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	HJK Helsinki	31	17	7	7	63	36	+27	58
2	Inter Turku	31	16	10	5	41	27	+14	58
3	KuPS	31	14	11	6	46	31	+15	53
4	AC Oulu	31	14	5	12	38	37	+1	47
5	Gnistan	31	11	10	10	47	46	+1	43
6	VPS	31	11	7	13	31	38	-7	40

Relegration Group

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	27	11	6	10	35	26	+9	39
2	Ilves	27	11	5	11	45	39	+6	38
3	Turku PS	27	8	8	11	29	33	-4	32
4	SJK	27	6	9	12	29	37	-8	27
5	FF Jaro	27	4	9	14	22	49	-27	21
6	Mariehamn	27	4	7	16	22	49	-27	19

KuPS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Nuutinen

1 Kreidl

25 Antwi

23 Lötjönen

33 Hämäläinen

6 Savolainen

8 Pennanen

14 Pasanen

24 Armah

16 Jyry

9 Engvall

20 Parzyszek

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Kreidl	G
6	S. Savolainen	D
33	T. Hämäläinen	D
23	A. Lötjönen	D
25	C. Antwi	D
14	S. Pasanen	M
8	P. Pennanen	M
9	G. Engvall	M
16	T. Jyry	M
24	B. Armah	M
20	P. Parzyszek	F

Substitutes

4	K. Adams	D
21	J. Luyeye-Lutumba	F
12	H. Riihimäki	G
13	N. Kujasalo	M
3	S. Heiskanen	M
29	A. Puukko	D
22	S. Touray	M
34	J. Eskesen	M
15	A. Aiki	F

AC Oulu

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: M. Isokangas

13 Santos

22 Kaukua

66 Pirinen

5 Pitkänen

16 Kemppainen

27 Kallio

21 Mendolin

25 Arsalo

30 Makelainen

7 Karjalainen

10 Triana

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Miguel Santos	G
16	O. Kemppainen	D
5	M. Pitkänen	D
66	J. Pirinen	D
22	T. Kaukua	D
30	J. Makelainen	M
25	M. Arsalo	M
21	I. Mendolin	M
27	E. Kallio	M
10	C. Triana	F
7	R. Karjalainen	F

Substitutes

11	L. Ghezali	F
2	S. Sipola	D
3	J. Lietsa	D
18	Adramane Cassamá	D
8	M. Ojala	M
14	N. Jokelainen	M
36	J. Lotvonen	M
9	R. Riski	F
62	Tobias Backman	G