Aston Villa vs Viking Previsione

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
FT
Post on X
Villa Park, Birmingham
Previsione AI Aston Villa vince o pareggia
76%
15%
8%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Aston Villa vs Viking: Sportiko assegna a Aston Villa una probabilità di vittoria del 76%, a Viking del 8% e al pareggio del 15%. Ultimo aggiornamento 21 Oct 2026, 20:56.

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  • Oltre 2.5 Gol 73%
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Match Report

Aston Villa secured a comfortable 3–1 victory over Viking in their UEFA Champions League league stage clash at Villa Park, with the hosts largely in control throughout. Ross Barkley opened the scoring in the 23rd minute, and Emiliano Buendía doubled the advantage from the penalty spot on 37 minutes after a VAR review confirmed a foul by Alysson — sending Villa into the break with a commanding two-goal cushion.

The hosts extended their lead early in the second half when Henrik Heggheim turned the ball into his own net on 62 minutes, effectively ending the contest. Viking pulled one back through Peter Christiansen in the 84th minute, though a VAR check on an Askildsen effort moments later confirmed the goal stood for the visitors, making it 3–1 in the closing stages.

The statistics underlined Villa's dominance — 55% possession, 21 total shots and an expected goals figure of 2.78 compared to Viking's 0.63. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Aston Villa win as the most likely outcome at 76%, a call that proved well-founded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ross Barkley assist: Ibrahim Mbaye
23' ⚽ 1–0
Alysson Penalty confirmed
35' 🖵
Emiliano Buendía Penalty
37' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
Henrik Heggheim Own Goal
62' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 63'
Tobias Moi ⇄ Henrik Bjørdal
⇄ 63'
Erik Botheim ⇄ Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Ross Barkley ⇄ Leon Goretzka
70' ⇄
Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Tammy Abraham
70' ⇄
João Gomes ⇄ Matty Cash
70' ⇄
Ibrahim Mbaye ⇄ Alejandro Garnacho
72' ⇄
Alysson ⇄ George Hemmings
75' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Jesper Daland ⇄ A. Cosic
⇄ 75'
Zlatko Tripić ⇄ Vetle Auklend
⚽ 3–1 84'
Peter Christiansen assist: Kristoffer Askildsen
⇄ 86'
Herman Johan Haugen ⇄ Essien Bassey
🖵 86'
Kristoffer Askildsen Goal confirmed
FT 3–1
Aston Villa

Match Stats

Viking
55% Ball Possession 45%
2.78 Expected Goals (xG) 0.63
21 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 0
4 Blocked Shots 4
17 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 3
8 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 3
7 Fouls 14
0 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 8
520 Total passes 417
466 Passes accurate 363
14 Free Kicks 7
Aston Villa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Ross Barkley M 8.2 70' 1 – 1 40 (38%) –
19 Ibrahim Mbaye M 7.7 72' – 1 1 22 (20%) 1
14 Pau Torres D 7.3 90' – – 1 71 (67%) 1
3 Victor Lindelöf D 7.2 90' – – – 70 (68%) –
47 Alysson M 7.2 75' – – 3 36 (32%) –
7 John McGinn M 7.1 90' – – 1 72 (67%) 2
35 João Gomes D 7.0 70' – – – 70 (64%) 2
17 Alejandro Garnacho F 6.9 18' – – 3 4 (4%) –
5 Tyrone Mings D 6.9 90' – – – 39 (32%) –
1 Zion Suzuki G 6.7 90' – – – 25 (18%) –
27 Leon Goretzka M 6.6 20' – – – 11 (11%) –
2 Matty Cash D 6.6 20' – – – 3 (3%) –
18 Tammy Abraham F 6.5 20' – – – 6 (4%) –
53 George Hemmings M 6.5 15' – – – 2 (2%) –
11 Nicolas Jackson F 6.4 70' – – 4 12 (11%) –
10 Emiliano Buendía M 6.4 90' 1 – 7 37 (25%) –
Viking
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Peter Christiansen F 7.1 90' 1 – 1 9 (7%) 1
1 Arild Østbø G 7.0 90' – – – 33 (22%) –
7 Kristoffer Askildsen M 6.8 90' – 1 – 43 (36%) 1
2 Herman Johan Haugen D 6.5 86' – – – 28 (25%) 1
6 Gianni Stensness D 6.4 90' – – – 64 (61%) 2
27 Jesper Daland D 6.4 75' – – 1 41 (40%) 3
29 Tobias Moi M 6.3 63' – – 2 35 (31%) 1
19 A. Cosic F 6.3 15' – – – 8 (8%) –
22 Erik Botheim F 6.1 63' – – – 9 (7%) –
8 Joe Bell M 6.0 90' – – 1 55 (52%) 1
17 Essien Bassey D 5.9 4' – – – 3 (3%) –
24 Vetle Auklend D 5.9 15' – – – 10 (9%) –
16 Henrik Bjørdal M 5.8 27' – – – 14 (12%) –
26 Simen Kvia-Egeskog M 5.8 27' – – – 7 (6%) –
10 Zlatko Tripić F 5.6 75' – – 2 27 (17%) 1
5 Henrik Heggheim D 5.3 90' – – – 31 (27%) 2
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Confidence High (76%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Aston Villa vince o pareggia
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Aston Villa
LDLWW
Viking
WLWLW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
76%
45%
Draw
15%
45%
Away
8%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Aston Villa

No scorer data.

Viking
Z. Tripić 4 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Aston Villa vs Viking

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov A Barcelona L 3 - 0
31 Oct H Fulham D 1 - 1
28 Oct A Bournemouth L 3 - 0
24 Oct H Manchester City W 2 - 1
21 Oct H Viking W 3 - 1

Viking — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov H Sabah FA W 4 - 1
30 Oct A Bodo/Glimt L 3 - 2
25 Oct H Tromso W 3 - 1
21 Oct A Aston Villa L 3 - 1
17 Oct H Fredrikstad W 3 - 2

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

Aston Villa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Unai Emery
1 Suzuki
5 Mings
14 Torres
3 Lindelöf
35 Gomes
6 Barkley
7 McGinn
19 Mbaye
10 Buendía
47 Edward
11 Jackson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Z. Suzuki G
35 João Gomes D
3 V. Lindelöf D
14 Pau Torres D
5 T. Mings D
7 J. McGinn M
6 R. Barkley M
47 Alysson Edward M
10 E. Buendía M
19 I. Mbaye M
11 N. Jackson F

Substitutes

40 M. Bizot G
26 L. Bogarde M
2 M. Cash D
17 A. Garnacho F
27 L. Goretzka M
4 T. Harwood-Bellis D
53 George Hemmings M
8 B. Kamara M
22 I. Maatsen D
42 J. Wright G
18 T. Abraham F

Viking

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: B. Aarsheim
1 Østbø
5 Heggheim
27 Daland
6 Stensness
2 Haugen
7 Askildsen
8 Bell
29 Moi
10 Tripić
22 Botheim
20 Christiansen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 A. Østbø G
2 H. Haugen D
6 G. Stensness D
27 J. Daland D
5 H. Heggheim D
29 T. Moi M
8 J. Bell M
7 K. Askildsen M
20 P. Christiansen F
22 E. Botheim F
10 Z. Tripić F

Substitutes

24 Vetle Auklend D
17 E. Bassey D
30 Ľ. Belko G
16 H. Bjørdal M
19 A. Cosic F
28 K. Haugen D
3 V. Vevatne D
23 N. Fuglestad F
26 S. Kvia-Egeskog M
11 R. Postema F
33 J. Hansen M
25 H. Falchener D

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