Paredes vs Maria da Fonte Previsione

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Paredes

Home

5 : 1

HT 3 - 1

Maria da Fonte

Away

Previsione AI Paredes vince o pareggia

73%

19%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Paredes vs Maria da Fonte: Sportiko assegna a Paredes una probabilità di vittoria del 73%, a Maria da Fonte del 8% e al pareggio del 19%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Sep 2026, 16:56.

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1st Half Over 0.5 76%

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Timeline

5' ⚽ 1–0

9' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 37'

44' ⚽ 3–1

HT 3–1

64' ⚽ 4–1

74' ⚽ 5–1

FT 5–1

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Value Edge — modello vs mercato
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Confidence High (73%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Paredes vince o pareggia

Most likely score

2:0 · 14%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Paredes

WWWWL

Maria da Fonte

LLLWL

Live insights

75' Goal 85% sure

Paredes now leads 5-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 38.9%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Paredes leads 5-1. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

65' Goal 85% sure

Paredes now leads 4-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 55.7%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 3-1. Paredes leads. Win probability: 98.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.4%.

44' Goal 85% sure

Paredes now leads 3-1 with 98.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 77.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Maria da Fonte goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	2	1
1	11	9	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	11	7	2	1
4	6	4	1
5	3	2	1

↑ Paredes goals · most likely 2–0 (14.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

73%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

50% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	2.4%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%
1	11.0%	9.1%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.0%	9.4%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%
3	10.8%	7.2%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	6.3%	4.2%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Paredes	Draw	Maria da Fonte
Paredes	54.9%	3.3%	0.8%
Draw	17.9%	11.7%	3.9%
Maria da Fonte	1.6%	2.0%	3.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

51%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Paredes vs Maria da Fonte

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Paredes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Maria da Fonte	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	H Fafe	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Varzim	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Ermesinde	W	1 - 3
23 Aug	H Leça	L	1 - 2

Maria da Fonte — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Paredes	L	5 - 1
13 Sep	H SC Braga B	L	0 - 4
06 Sep	A Brito	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Uniao Nogueirense	W	1 - 0
23 Aug	H Celoricense	L	0 - 1

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.