FC Serpa vs Louletano Previsione

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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FC Serpa

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Louletano

Away

Previsione AI Louletano o pareggio

24%

29%

47%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico FC Serpa vs Louletano: Sportiko assegna a FC Serpa una probabilità di vittoria del 24%, a Louletano del 47% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Sep 2026, 16:40.

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Oltre 1.5 Gol 73%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 26'

HT 0–1

54' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 106'

Red Card

120' ▮

FT 1–2

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Louletano o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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FC Serpa

LDDWW

Louletano

WLWWW

Last 1 meetings FC Serpa · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

112' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Louletano win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 70.7%. Late goal chance: 32.1%.

56' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 49.7%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Louletano leads. Win probability: 79.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.2%.

26' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Louletano win: 77.4%. BTTS: 51.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

24%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

47%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Louletano goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	9	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	2	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ FC Serpa goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

29%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

29%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

66% Away (No Draw) 34% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	10.6%	9.2%	4.6%	1.8%
1	6.6%	13.9%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.1%	6.2%	4.7%	2.4%	0.9%
3	1.4%	2.1%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Serpa	Draw	Louletano
FC Serpa	10.9%	3.3%	1.8%
Draw	11.7%	18.8%	17.3%
Louletano	2.0%	5.0%	29.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Serpa vs Louletano

0 FC Serpa Wins

0 Draws

1 Louletano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Louletano	2 - 1	FC Serpa

FC Serpa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Louletano	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Lagoa	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H 1º Dezembro	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H O Grandolense	W	2 - 0
16 Aug	H Vitoria Setubal	W	4 - 2

Louletano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Serpa	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H União Santarém	L	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Lusitano Évora 1911	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	A Castrense	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	A Caldas	W	2 - 4

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.