Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Previsione
Pronostico Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Sportiko assegna a Atletico Madrid una probabilità di vittoria del 62%, a Celta Vigo del 18% e al pareggio del 21%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Atletico Madrid dominated possession and created the clearer chances throughout, but a resolute Celta Vigo side left the Metropolitano with all three points thanks to a single second-half strike. The first half ended goalless despite Atletico's early territorial control, with Ilaix Moriba picking up a yellow card in the 19th minute and José María Giménez forced off through what appeared to be an injury before the break.
The decisive moment came in the 62nd minute when Borja Iglesias broke the deadlock for Celta, almost immediately after Atletico had introduced Ademola Lookman and Antoine Griezmann in an attempt to inject more attacking threat. Celta's lead prompted a flurry of substitutions from both sides, with Iglesias himself withdrawn shortly after scoring, and Alex Baena departing following a yellow card.
The final statistics underlined the gulf in performance versus outcome — Atletico registered 20 total shots, 10 corners, and an expected goals figure of 2.18 compared to Celta's 0.13, yet converted none of it. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atletico win as most likely at 62%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Atletico Madrid
Match Stats
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Alex Baena M | 8.5 | 69' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | 1 |
| 6 Koke M | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 79 (75%) | 1 |
| 14 Marcos Llorente M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 69 (63%) | 4 |
| 2 José María Giménez D | 7.2 | 20' | – | – | – | 23 (23%) | 2 |
| 18 Marc Pubill D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (56%) | 2 |
| 11 Thiago Almada M | 6.9 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 16 (15%) | – |
| 22 Ademola Lookman M | 6.9 | 60' | – | – | 2 | 16 (13%) | – |
| 21 Obed Vargas M | 6.7 | 21' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 7 Antoine Griezmann F | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | 3 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 3 Matteo Ruggeri D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (51%) | – |
| 17 Dávid Hancko D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 62 (59%) | 1 |
| 61 Miguel Cubo F | 6.7 | 21' | – | – | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 Nahuel Molina D | 6.5 | 30' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 24 Robin Le Normand D | 6.5 | 49' | – | – | – | 37 (32%) | – |
| 13 Jan Oblak G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | – |
| 9 Alexander Sørloth F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 13 (13%) | – |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Javi Rodríguez D | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (54%) | 2 |
| 29 Yoel Lago D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (41%) | – |
| 13 Ionuț Radu G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (23%) | – |
| 7 Borja Iglesias F | 7.3 | 68' | 1 | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 20 Marcos Alonso D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (51%) | 3 |
| 3 Óscar Mingueza M | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 45 (40%) | 1 |
| 14 Alvaro Núñez M | 7.0 | 68' | – | – | – | 46 (43%) | 2 |
| 18 Pablo Durán F | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | 1 |
| 19 Williot Swedberg F | 6.9 | 77' | – | 1 | – | 23 (17%) | 2 |
| 10 Iago Aspas F | 6.7 | 22' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 6 Ilaix Moriba M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (39%) | 1 |
| 9 Ferran Jutglà F | 6.6 | 22' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 5 Sergio Carreira D | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 23 Hugo Álvarez M | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 8 Fer López M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (32%) | 1 |
| 21 Mihailo Ristic D | — | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Álex Baena
4 gls
J. David
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct 2025 | Celta Vigo | 1 - 1 | Atletico Madrid |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 1 | Celta Vigo |
| 26 Sep 2024 | Celta Vigo | 0 - 1 | Atletico Madrid |
Atletico Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Real Madrid | W | 2 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | H Osasuna | W | 4 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Real Sociedad | W | 0 - 3 |
| 09 Sep | A Liverpool | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Athletic Club | L | 3 - 0 |
Celta Vigo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Racing Santander | W | 5 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Omonia Nicosia | L | 1 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Malaga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 07 Sep | A Getafe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 03 Sep | A Real Sociedad | D | 0 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Atletico Madrid
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: D. Simeone
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | J. Oblak | G |
| 18 | M. Pubill | D |
| 2 | J. M. Gimenez | D |
| 17 | D. Hancko | D |
| 3 | M. Ruggeri | D |
| 14 | M. Llorente | M |
| 6 | Koke | M |
| 10 | A. Baena | M |
| 22 | A. Lookman | M |
| 7 | A. Griezmann | F |
| 9 | A. Sorloth | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | S. Esquivel | G |
| 1 | J. Musso | G |
| 16 | N. Molina | D |
| 21 | O. Vargas | M |
| 4 | R. Mendoza | M |
| 47 | J. Morcillo | M |
| 15 | C. Lenglet | D |
| 24 | R. Le Normand | D |
| 11 | T. Almada | M |
| 34 | J. Diaz | M |
| 37 | I. Luque | F |
| 61 | M. Cubo | F |
Celta Vigo
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Claudio Giraldez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | I. Radu | G |
| 32 | J. Rodriguez | D |
| 29 | Y. Lago | D |
| 20 | M. Alonso | D |
| 14 | A. Nunez | M |
| 8 | F. Lopez | M |
| 6 | I. Moriba | M |
| 3 | O. Mingueza | M |
| 18 | P. Duran | F |
| 19 | W. Swedberg | F |
| 7 | B. Iglesias | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | I. Villar | G |
| 39 | J. El Abdellaoui | F |
| 12 | M. Fernandez | D |
| 36 | A. Antanon | M |
| 10 | I. Aspas | F |
| 21 | M. Ristic | D |
| 4 | J. Aidoo | D |
| 9 | F. Jutgla | F |
| 5 | S. Carreira | D |
| 24 | C. Dominguez | D |
| 22 | H. Sotelo | M |
| 23 | H. Alvarez | M |