FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Previsione

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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Maccabi Tel Aviv

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per FC Lugano

60%

22%

18%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: Sportiko assegna a FC Lugano una probabilità di vittoria del 60%, a Maccabi Tel Aviv del 18% e al pareggio del 22%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Aug 2026, 20:24.

Match Report

FC Lugano secured a 2–1 victory over Maccabi Tel Aviv in their UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round clash, with the Swiss side edging a tight encounter. Kevin Behrens broke the deadlock on 31 minutes to give Lugano a deserved half-time lead, and the home side controlled possession throughout, finishing with 54% of the ball.

The match briefly swung in Maccabi's favour just two minutes into the second half when Ido Shahar levelled, but Lugano responded swiftly. Anto Grgić restored the home advantage from the penalty spot on 54 minutes, and that proved to be the decisive moment of the game. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lugano win as the most likely outcome at 60%, a call that proved correct.

Despite Maccabi registering seven total shots to Lugano's four, the Israeli side managed only two on target and were unable to find a second equaliser. Lugano's clinical finishing and resilience in the closing stages saw them hold on for a result that keeps their European ambitions firmly on track.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Kevin Behrens assist: Yanis Cimignani

31' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⚽ 1–1 47'

Ido Shahar assist: Roy Revivo

Anto Grgić Penalty

54' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 57'

Tyrese Asante ⇄ Noam Ben Harosh

⇄ 57'

Ester Sokler ⇄ Saied Abu Farchi

Daniel Dos Santos ⇄ Martim Marques

71' ⇄

Kevin Behrens ⇄ Dereck Moncada

71' ⇄

Renato Steffen ⇄ Elias Pihlström

81' ⇄

Yanis Cimignani ⇄ Ahmed Kendouci

89' ⇄

FT 2–1

FC Lugano

Match Stats

Maccabi Tel Aviv

46% Ball Possession 54%

Expected Goals (xG)

7 Total Shots 4

2 Shots on Goal 1

5 Shots off Goal 2

0 Blocked Shots 1

5 Shots insidebox 4

2 Shots outsidebox 0

0 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 6

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

266 Total passes 312

229 Passes accurate 265

86% Passes % 85%

goals_prevented

FC Lugano

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Anto Grgić M	7.5	54'	1	–	1	48 (36%)	2
21 Yanis Cimignani M	7.5	54'	–	1	2	17 (16%)	–
91 Kevin Behrens F	7.3	54'	1	–	1	17 (14%)	1
46 Mattia Zanotti M	6.9	54'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	2
25 Uran Bislimi M	6.6	54'	–	–	–	43 (40%)	–
16 David von Ballmoos G	6.5	54'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	–
17 Lars Lukas Mai D	6.5	54'	–	–	–	31 (28%)	–
11 Renato Steffen F	6.5	54'	–	–	1	11 (7%)	–
3 Hannes Delcroix D	6.3	54'	–	–	–	28 (27%)	1
6 Antonios Papadopoulos D	6.3	54'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	–
27 Daniel Dos Santos F	6.2	54'	–	–	2	20 (18%)	–

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
36 Ido Shahar M	7.3	54'	1	–	1	13 (11%)	–
77 Osher Davida F	7.3	54'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	–
29 Hélio Varela F	6.9	54'	–	–	1	18 (16%)	1
13 Raz Shlomo D	6.7	54'	–	–	1	47 (44%)	–
28 Issouf Sissokho M	6.7	54'	–	–	–	29 (29%)	1
9 Ester Sokler F	6.6	54'	–	–	–	14 (9%)	2
5 Mohamed Camara D	6.3	54'	–	–	–	47 (45%)	–
3 Roy Revivo D	6.3	54'	–	1	–	34 (28%)	–
42 Dor Peretz M	6.2	54'	–	–	–	16 (10%)	–
22 Ofek Melika G	5.9	54'	–	–	–	37 (25%)	–
6 Tyrese Asante D	5.9	54'	–	–	–	41 (35%)	1

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per FC Lugano

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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FC Lugano

WWDWW

Maccabi Tel Aviv

WWWWD

Last 1 meetings FC Lugano · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Maccabi Tel Aviv goals →

	0	1	2
0	5	2	1
1	11	7	2
2	15	8	2
3	13	7	2
4	9	5	1
5	5	3	1

↑ FC Lugano goals · most likely 2–0 (15.1%)

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Players in form

FC Lugano

K. Behrens 6 gls

Maccabi Tel Aviv

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

22%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

22%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

59% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

24%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	1.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	10.6%	7.1%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
2	15.1%	8.3%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%
3	13.4%	7.3%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
4	8.8%	4.9%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

32%

26%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

29%

27%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Lugano	Draw	Maccabi Tel Aviv
FC Lugano	59.2%	1.9%	0.3%
Draw	20.6%	9.2%	2.1%
Maccabi Tel Aviv	2.1%	2.0%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

77%

3.5

23%

Home Exact Goals

20%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

58%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

0 FC Lugano Wins

1 Draws

0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 - 1	FC Lugano

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Maccabi Netanya	W	1 - 2
14 Sep	H Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	4 - 1
07 Sep	A Hapoel Beer Sheva	W	1 - 4
31 Aug	H Maccabi Haifa	W	3 - 1
27 Aug	H FC Lugano	D	1 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Kenny Miller

22 Melika

3 Revivo

13 Shlomo

5 Camara

6 Asante

36 Shahar

28 Sissokho

42 Peretz

29 Varela

9 Sokler

77 Davida

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Ofek Melika	G
6	Tyrese Asante	D
5	Mohamed Camara	D
13	Raz Shlomo	D
3	Roy Revivo	D
42	Dor Peretz	M
28	Issouf Sissokho	M
36	Ido Shahar	M
77	Osher Davida	F
9	Ester Sokler	F
29	Hélio Varela	F

Substitutes

90	Roi Mishpati	G
51	Shalev Saadia	G
41	Itai Ben Hamo	D
21	Noam Ben Harosh	D
25	Shahar Rosen	D
33	Hisham Layous	F
18	Dan Glazer	M
30	Itamar Noy	M
60	Ilay Ben Simon	F
34	Saied Abu Farchi	F
19	Elad Madmon	F
23	Ori Azo	F

FC Lugano

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

16 Ballmoos

3 Delcroix

17 Mai

6 Papadopoulos

21 Cimignani

8 Grgić

25 Bislimi

46 Zanotti

27 Santos

11 Steffen

91 Behrens

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	David von Ballmoos	G
6	Antonios Papadopoulos	D
17	Lars Lukas Mai	D
3	Hannes Delcroix	D
46	Mattia Zanotti	M
25	Uran Bislimi	M
8	Anto Grgić	M
21	Yanis Cimignani	M
11	Renato Steffen	F
27	Daniel Dos Santos	F
91	Kevin Behrens	F

Substitutes

39	Ahmadou Ndiaye	G
28	Felix Gebhardt	G
4	Damian Kelvin	D
26	Martim Marques	D
18	Joel Bichsel	D
30	Dereck Moncada	F
23	Gjan Ajdin	M
24	Elias Pihlström	F
22	Beckham Castro	F
14	Ahmed Kendouci	M