Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne Previsione

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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Larne

Away

Previsione AI Lincoln Red Imps FC o pareggio

46%

30%

24%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne: Sportiko assegna a Lincoln Red Imps FC una probabilità di vittoria del 46%, a Larne del 24% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Aug 2026, 17:56.

Match Report

Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 Larne

A tense and fractious first half at Victoria Stadium ended goalless, though the tone was set early as both sides collected yellow cards and Lincoln Red Imps were reduced to ten men following a red card in the 29th minute. Despite the numerical advantage, Larne were unable to find a breakthrough before the interval, with the match remaining level heading into the second half.

The second period saw a flurry of substitutions and further bookings as the game grew increasingly scrappy. Larne eventually made their superiority count when P. O'Neill broke the deadlock in the 85th minute, and a second goal deep into stoppage time sealed a 2–0 victory for the Northern Irish side, securing their place in the next round of the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lincoln Red Imps win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved well wide of the mark. Larne's composure in the closing stages ultimately proved the difference, as the red card proved a decisive turning point in the tie.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card

20' ▮

▮ 27'

S. Graham Yellow Card

Red Card

29' ▮

▮ 43'

M. Lusty Yellow Card

HT 0–0

56' ⇄

▮ 57'

Yellow Card

⇄ 59'

68' ⇄

⇄ 69'

C. Gallagher ⇄ J. McEneff

⇄ 69'

S. Graham ⇄ J. Simpson

Yellow Card

72' ▮

▮ 73'

J. McEneff Yellow Card

⇄ 76'

⇄ C. McKendry

⇄ 77'

M. Lusty ⇄ P. O'Neill

⇄ A. Coulibaly

83' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 85'

P. O'Neill

⚽ 0–2 90+3'

assist: P. O'Neill

FT 0–2

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Lincoln Red Imps FC o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Lincoln Red Imps FC

WLLDD

Larne

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Lincoln Red Imps FC · 2W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Larne goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	9	4	1
1	14	15	5	1
2	10	8	3	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Lincoln Red Imps FC goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.3%	8.7%	4.3%	1.2%	0.2%
1	14.1%	14.7%	5.3%	1.5%	0.3%
2	9.9%	8.1%	3.3%	0.9%	0.2%
3	4.1%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.3%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lincoln Red Imps FC	Draw	Larne
Lincoln Red Imps FC	25.3%	3.5%	0.9%
Draw	18.6%	22.7%	9.5%
Larne	1.9%	4.3%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne

2 Lincoln Red Imps FC Wins

0 Draws

1 Larne Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	Larne	0 - 3	Lincoln Red Imps FC
29 Aug 2024	Larne	3 - 1	Lincoln Red Imps FC
22 Aug 2024	Lincoln Red Imps FC	2 - 1	Larne

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Aug	A Larne	W	0 - 3
20 Aug	H Larne	L	0 - 2
13 Aug	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
06 Aug	H Omonia Nicosia	D	1 - 1
28 Jul	H Mjallby AIF	D	0 - 0

Larne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Carrick Rangers	W	2 - 5
15 Sep	H Cliftonville FC	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Portadown	W	0 - 2
08 Sep	H Bangor	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	H Glentoran	W	2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lincoln Red Imps FC

Coach: Juan Bezares

Larne

Coach: Gary Haveron