Gent vs IFK Goteborg Previsione

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Gent

Home

1 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Andata 1-0 · Aggregato 2-1

IFK Goteborg

Away

Previsione AI Gent vince o pareggia

66%

21%

12%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Gent vs IFK Goteborg: Sportiko assegna a Gent una probabilità di vittoria del 66%, a IFK Goteborg del 12% e al pareggio del 21%. Ultimo aggiornamento 13 Aug 2026, 20:30.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Under 3.5 Gol 74%

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Match Report

Gent took the lead in the first half through a 27th-minute goal and looked set to advance after a relatively controlled opening 45 minutes. The Belgian side held a narrow 1–0 advantage at the break, with the match appearing to be heading their way — a outcome our pre-match AI model had rated most likely at 66%.

IFK Göteborg, however, refused to capitulate. A flurry of substitutions from both sides reshaped the contest in the second half, and the Swedish visitors drew level in the 85th minute through Saidou Alioum Moubarak, stunning the home crowd with the late equaliser. Gent finished with a slight edge in possession and corners, registering four shots on target to Göteborg's two, but could not hold on for the win.

The 1–1 draw leaves the tie finely poised heading into the second leg. Late bookings for Tibe De Vlieger and August Erlingmark added a fractious edge to the closing stages, underlining how much both sides have at stake in this Conference League qualifying tie.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

assist: Tiago Araújo

27' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 35'

Alexander Jallow Yellow Card

⇄ 41'

Tobias Heintz ⇄ Tiago Coimbra

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Alexander Jallow ⇄ Felix Eriksson

⇄ 60'

Oliver Mansson

Hyllarion Goore ⇄ Momodou Sonko

65' ⇄

László Bénes ⇄ Abdelkahar Kadri

65' ⇄

Mathias Delorge ⇄ Leonardo Lopes

76' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Adam Bergmark Wiberg ⇄ Saidou Alioum Moubarak

⇄ 84'

Sam Larsson ⇄ Filip Ottosson

⚽ 1–1 85'

Saidou Alioum Moubarak assist: Filip Ottosson

Tibe De Vlieger Yellow Card

89' ▮

▮ 90+2'

August Erlingmark Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Gent

Match Stats

IFK Goteborg

51% Ball Possession 49%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

4 Shots on Goal 2

4 Shots off Goal 3

2 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

6 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 7

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Value Edge — modello vs mercato
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Confidence Medium (66%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Gent vince o pareggia

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.1%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Gent

WDWWW

IFK Goteborg

WWWWW

Last 1 meetings Gent · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

66%

45%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

IFK Goteborg goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	3	1
1	14	9	2
2	16	9	2
3	11	6	2
4	6	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Gent goals · most likely 2–0 (16.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

21%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

21%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

91% Home (No Draw) 9% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	2.9%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	14.2%	9.3%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
2	16.1%	8.7%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%
3	11.2%	6.1%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
4	5.9%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gent	Draw	IFK Goteborg
Gent	49.5%	2.6%	0.5%
Draw	22.4%	13.6%	3.5%
IFK Goteborg	1.9%	2.3%	3.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

58%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gent vs IFK Goteborg

1 Gent Wins

0 Draws

0 IFK Goteborg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	IFK Goteborg	0 - 1	Gent

Gent — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Standard Liege	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Genk	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Cercle Brugge	W	0 - 3
03 Sep	H OH Leuven	W	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 1

IFK Goteborg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A IF Brommapojkarna	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Halmstad	W	2 - 1
07 Sep	A Mjallby AIF	W	1 - 4
02 Sep	A Olympic	W	0 - 5
30 Aug	H Orgryte IS	W	1 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Gent

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Rik De Mil

33 Roef

20 Araújo

44 Heyden

16 Burgess

5 Ngom

17 Delorge

27 Vlieger

57 Volckaert

45 Goore

47 Vergara

8 Bénes

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Davy Roef	G
5	Mouhamed El Ngom	D
16	Christian Burgess	D
44	Siebe Van Der Heyden	D
20	Tiago Araújo	D
57	Matties Volckaert	D
27	Tibe De Vlieger	M
17	Mathias Delorge	M
8	László Bénes	M
47	Josué Vergara	F
45	Hyllarion Goore	F

Substitutes

30	Kjell Peersman	G
3	Maksim Paskotsi	D
56	Mamadou Diallo	D
10	Aimé Omgba	M
22	Leonardo Lopes	M
28	Mohammed El Âdfaoui	M
37	Abdelkahar Kadri	M
59	El Hadji Seck	M
61	Abubakar Abdullahi	M
11	Momodou Sonko	F
21	Max Dean	F
75	Ibrahima Cisse	F

IFK Goteborg

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Joachim Bjorklund

12 Andersson

22 Tolf

3 Erlingmark

6 Hermannsson

17 Jallow

8 Larsson

24 Månsson

15 Kruse

14 Heintz

29 Wiberg

7 Clemmensen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Viktor Andersson	G
17	Alexander Jallow	D
6	Hjörtur Hermannsson	D
3	August Erlingmark	D
22	Noah Tolf	D
15	David Kruse	M
24	Oliver Månsson	M
8	Sam Larsson	M
7	Sebastian Clemmensen	F
29	Adam Bergmark Wiberg	F
14	Tobias Heintz	M

Substitutes

30	Tiago Coimbra	F
1	Jonathan Rasheed	G
25	Elis Bishesari	G
5	Jonas Bager	D
18	Felix Eriksson	D
16	Filip Ottosson	M
23	Kolbeinn Thordarson	M
11	Saidou Alioum Moubarak	M