Rapid Vienna vs Paide Previsione

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Rapid Vienna

Home

2 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Andata 4-1 · Aggregato 6-1

Paide

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria Rapid Vienna

83%

12%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Rapid Vienna vs Paide: Sportiko assegna a Rapid Vienna una probabilità di vittoria del 83%, a Paide del 5% e al pareggio del 12%. Ultimo aggiornamento 12 Aug 2026, 17:49.

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1st Half Over 0.5 75%

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Match Report

Rapid Vienna secured a comfortable 2–0 victory over Paide in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the Austrian side dominant throughout and fully in control of their European progression.

The opening goal arrived just before half-time, Marco Tilio breaking the deadlock in the 38th minute to give Rapid a deserved lead. The hosts had been the superior side from the outset, and the statistics underlined that dominance — 66% possession, 23 total shots to Paide's two, and seven shots on target compared to just one from the Estonian visitors. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rapid win most likely at 83%, a call that proved well-founded.

The result was put beyond doubt in the 82nd minute when Louis Schaub converted a penalty, sealing the win despite having received a yellow card just minutes earlier before being substituted off shortly after. Paide rarely threatened and managed only a single corner kick across the entire match, leaving Rapid to advance with minimal difficulty.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jakob Schöller Yellow Card

37' ▮

Marco Tilio assist: Nikolaus Wurmbrand

38' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Martin Miller ⇄ Ramon Smirnov

Marco Tilio ⇄ Tonni Adamsen

62' ⇄

Romeo Amane ⇄ Nicolas Bajlicz

62' ⇄

Moulaye Haïdara ⇄ Petter Nosakhare Dahl

62' ⇄

⇄ 68'

⇄ Henrik Ojamaa

⇄ 68'

Hindrek Ojamaa ⇄ Edgar Tur

Louis Schaub Yellow Card

74' ▮

Jakob Schöller ⇄ Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao

74' ⇄

▮ 81'

Henri Anier Yellow Card

Louis Schaub Penalty

82' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 84'

Daniel Luts ⇄ Pa Abdou Cham

⇄ 84'

Henri Anier ⇄ Kristofer Piht

Louis Schaub ⇄ Matthias Seidl

84' ⇄

FT 2–0

Rapid Vienna

Match Stats

Paide

66% Ball Possession 34%

Expected Goals (xG)

23 Total Shots 2

7 Shots on Goal 1

11 Shots off Goal 0

5 Blocked Shots 1

16 Shots insidebox 1

7 Shots outsidebox 1

5 Corner Kicks 1

4 Offsides 3

10 Fouls 3

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

673 Total passes 346

609 Passes accurate 279

90% Passes % 81%

goals_prevented

Rapid Vienna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
15 Nikolaus Wurmbrand M	7.9	91'	–	1	3	29 (25%)	1
21 Louis Schaub M	7.6	84'	1	–	3	81 (71%)	4
1 Niklas Hedl G	7.5	91'	–	–	–	31 (29%)	1
7 Marco Tilio F	7.5	63'	1	–	4	29 (27%)	–
4 Jakob Schöller D	7.3	74'	–	–	1	101 (95%)	–
55 Nenad Cvetković D	7.2	91'	–	–	–	87 (79%)	–
2 Eaden Roka D	7.2	91'	–	–	1	64 (62%)	1
23 Jonas Auer D	6.9	91'	–	–	–	67 (60%)	1
29 Romeo Amane M	6.9	63'	–	–	–	78 (72%)	1
43 Moulaye Haïdara M	6.9	63'	–	–	3	16 (13%)	1
6 Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao D	6.7	17'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–
8 Tonni Adamsen F	6.7	28'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	–
10 Petter Nosakhare Dahl F	6.7	28'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	–
30 Nicolas Bajlicz M	6.7	28'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	–
17 Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen F	6.3	91'	–	–	3	32 (27%)	3
18 Matthias Seidl M	—	7'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–

Paide

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
99 Ebrima Jarju G	7.9	91'	–	–	–	43 (36%)	–
3 Victor Hugo D	6.9	91'	–	–	–	45 (37%)	5
6 Daniel Cabral F	6.9	91'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	2
10 Martin Miller M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	1
21 Ramon Smirnov M	6.7	46'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	1
28 Oskar Hoim M	6.6	91'	–	–	–	34 (25%)	5
7 Edgar Tur D	6.5	23'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	–
11 Pa Modou Sohna M	6.5	68'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	1
15 Hindrek Ojamaa D	6.5	68'	–	–	–	31 (25%)	–
9 Henri Anier F	6.5	84'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	–
27 Nikita Baranov D	6.3	91'	–	–	–	47 (42%)	2
77 Daniel Luts F	6.3	84'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	1
8 Henrik Ojamaa M	6.3	23'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
2 Michael Lilander D	5.6	91'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	–
17 Pa Abdou Cham M	—	7'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
20 Kristofer Piht F	—	7'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1

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Confidence High (83%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria Rapid Vienna

Most likely score

2:0 · 12%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Rapid Vienna

WWWLW

Paide

WWLWL

Last 1 meetings Rapid Vienna · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

83%

45%

Draw

12%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paide goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	3	2
1	10	10	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	9	7	3	1
4	5	4	2
5	2	2	1

↑ Rapid Vienna goals · most likely 2–0 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Rapid Vienna

E. Kara 4 gls

Moulaye Haïdara 3 gls

P. Dahl 2 gls

Paide

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	2.9%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	9.7%	10.2%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.0%	10.0%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
3	8.8%	7.3%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	4.9%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rapid Vienna	Draw	Paide
Rapid Vienna	48.8%	3.8%	1.1%
Draw	17.8%	12.8%	5.2%
Paide	2.0%	2.7%	5.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rapid Vienna vs Paide

1 Rapid Vienna Wins

0 Draws

0 Paide Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	Paide	1 - 4	Rapid Vienna

Rapid Vienna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H WSG Wattens	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Wolfsberger AC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A Austria Klagenfurt	W	2 - 5
02 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	5 - 1
30 Aug	H Sturm Graz	W	3 - 1

Paide — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Nõmme United	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Vaprus	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Laagri	L	1 - 2
09 Sep	A Tammeka	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	H FC Levadia Tallinn	L	0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Rapid Vienna

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Johannes Thorup

1 Hedl

23 Auer

4 Schöller

55 Cvetković

2 Roka

43 Haïdara

21 Schaub

29 Amane

15 Wurmbrand

17 Gulliksen

7 Tilio

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Niklas Hedl	G
2	Eaden Roka	D
55	Nenad Cvetković	D
4	Jakob Schöller	D
23	Jonas Auer	D
15	Nikolaus Wurmbrand	M
29	Romeo Amane	M
21	Louis Schaub	M
43	Moulaye Haïdara	M
7	Marco Tilio	F
17	Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen	F

Substitutes

10	Petter Nosakhare Dahl	F
30	Nicolas Bajlicz	M
8	Tonni Adamsen	F
6	Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao	D
25	Paul Gartler	G
50	Laurenz Orgler	G
38	Jannes Horn	D
61	Furkan Demir	D
77	Bendegúz Bolla	D
18	Matthias Seidl	M
9	Ercan Kara	F
22	Yusuf Demir	F

Paide

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Tarmo Kink

99 Jarju

2 Lilander

3 Hugo

27 Baranov

15 Ojamaa

10 Miller

28 Hoim

11 Sohna

6 Cabral

9 Anier

77 Luts

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Ebrima Jarju	G
15	Hindrek Ojamaa	D
27	Nikita Baranov	D
3	Victor Hugo	D
2	Michael Lilander	D
11	Pa Modou Sohna	M
28	Oskar Hoim	M
10	Martin Miller	M
77	Daniel Luts	F
9	Henri Anier	F
6	Daniel Cabral	F

Substitutes

21	Ramon Smirnov	M
7	Edgar Tur	D
8	Henrik Ojamaa	M
12	Marko Meerits	G
4	Pedro Andrade Drozina	D
14	Momodou Jobarteh	M
16	Aleksandr Šurõgin	M
17	Pa Abdou Cham	M
19	Siim Luts	F
44	Kristofer Kait	D
20	Kristofer Piht	F
30	Abdourahman Badamosi	F