Shelbourne vs Derry City Previsione

Premier Division Premier Division · Regular Season - 31
FT
Post on X
Tolka Park, Dublin
Previsione AI Shelbourne o pareggio
41%
28%
31%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Shelbourne vs Derry City: Sportiko assegna a Shelbourne una probabilità di vittoria del 41%, a Derry City del 31% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 11 Sep 2026, 20:37.

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  • Ospite a Segno 73%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
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Timeline

Odhran Casey Yellow Card
27' ▮
HT 0–0
Jonathan Lunney Yellow Card
50' ▮
Ali Coote ⇄ Sean Moore
57' ⇄
Ademipo Odubeko ⇄ S. Boyd
57' ⇄
Jonathan Lunney ⇄ Jack Henry-Francis
58' ⇄
⇄ 59'
Darragh Burns ⇄ James Clarke
⇄ 59'
Tyler Smith ⇄ Liam Boyce
▮ 65'
Adam O'Reilly Yellow Card
▮ 69'
Liam Boyce Yellow Card
⇄ 72'
Ellis Chapman ⇄ Kévin Santos
Evan Caffrey ⇄ Rodrigo Freitas
76' ⇄
▮ 83'
Nick Twisk Yellow Card
Milan Mbeng ⇄ Sean Gannon
83' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 90+3'
Michael Duffy assist: James Clarke
FT 0–1
Shelbourne

Match Stats

Derry City
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 8
5 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 12
4 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
528 Total passes 460
429 Passes accurate 363
7 Free Kicks 10
Shelbourne
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Eddie Beach G 8.0 90' – – – 39 (26%) –
18 James Norris D 7.1 90' – – 1 41 (39%) –
4 Kameron Ledwidge D 7.0 90' – – – 82 (70%) 1
16 Odhran Casey D 7.0 90' – – 3 86 (77%) 2
25 Milan Mbeng D 6.9 83' – – 1 56 (46%) 1
27 Evan Caffrey M 6.8 76' – – 1 25 (20%) 1
6 Jonathan Lunney M 6.7 58' – – – 39 (33%) –
2 Sean Gannon D 6.6 7' – – – 8 (8%) –
20 Rodrigo Freitas F 6.5 14' – – – 5 (5%) –
21 Jack Henry-Francis M 6.5 32' – – – 24 (19%) –
23 K. McInroy M 6.4 90' – – 1 40 (31%) –
9 S. Boyd F 6.4 33' – – – 12 (7%) –
14 Ali Coote M 6.3 57' – – – 22 (15%) 2
22 Sean Moore D 6.3 33' – – 1 14 (10%) 1
17 Daniel Kelly M 6.1 90' – – 2 22 (16%) 1
11 Ademipo Odubeko F 6.0 57' – – 1 8 (4%) –
Derry City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Brandon Fleming M 7.3 90' – – – 44 (39%) 3
29 Tyler Smith F 7.2 59' – – 4 11 (8%) 1
13 Tom Norcott G 7.0 90' – – – 34 (26%) –
15 James Clarke M 6.9 31' – – 1 15 (11%) 1
7 Michael Duffy F 6.8 90' – – 2 50 (39%) 2
8 Adam O'Reilly M 6.7 90' – – 3 41 (31%) –
3 Patrick McClean D 6.6 90' – – – 65 (48%) 4
21 Kévin Santos M 6.6 18' – – 1 8 (5%) 1
4 Jamie Stott D 6.5 90' – – – 44 (35%) 1
17 Nick Twisk M 6.5 90' – – – 50 (46%) 3
14 Ellis Chapman M 6.4 72' – – 2 24 (18%) –
27 Liam Boyce F 6.3 31' – – 1 10 (8%) 1
12 Darragh Burns F 6.3 59' – – 1 13 (11%) –
23 Cameron Dummigan D 6.2 90' – – 2 45 (33%) 3
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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Shelbourne o pareggio
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Shelbourne
WLLDD
Derry City
WDWWD
Last 1 meetings Shelbourne · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
41%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
31%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Shelbourne
H. Wood 7 gls
J. Martin 6 gls
D. Kelly 6 gls
Derry City
M. Duffy 10 gls
J. Clarke 6 gls

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Head to Head: Shelbourne vs Derry City

1 Shelbourne Wins
0 Draws
0 Derry City Wins
Date Home Score Away
13 Mar 2026 Derry City 1 - 2 Shelbourne

Shelbourne — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Dundalk W 2 - 3
14 Sep H Drogheda United L 1 - 2
11 Sep H Derry City L 0 - 1
04 Sep A Shamrock Rovers D 0 - 0
28 Aug A Galway United D 1 - 1

Derry City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Galway United W 1 - 0
14 Sep A Waterford D 2 - 2
11 Sep A Shelbourne W 0 - 1
06 Sep H Dundalk W 4 - 2
30 Aug H Shamrock Rovers D 3 - 3

Premier Division Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
St Patrick's Athl.
32 17 8 7 +27 59
2
Shamrock Rovers
31 17 8 6 +18 59
3
Bohemians
31 16 8 7 +18 56
4
Derry City
32 9 14 9 +3 41
5
Dundalk
32 10 11 11 -4 41
6
Shelbourne
31 9 12 10 -3 39
7
Galway United
31 9 10 12 -6 37
8
Waterford
32 7 13 12 -10 34
9
Drogheda United
32 8 10 14 -13 34
10
Sligo Rovers
32 5 8 19 -30 23

Shelbourne

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Russell
19 Beach
18 Norris
4 Ledwidge
16 Casey
25 Mbeng
23 McInroy
6 Lunney
17 Kelly
14 Coote
27 Caffrey
11 Odubeko

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 E. Beach G
25 M. Mbeng D
16 O. Casey D
4 K. Ledwidge D
18 James Barry Norris D
6 J. Lunney M
23 K. McInroy M
27 E. Caffrey M
14 A. Coote M
17 D. Kelly M
11 M. Odubeko F

Substitutes

55 James Roche D
2 S. Gannon D
20 R. Freitas F
9 S. Boyd F
21 Jack Henry-Francis M
36 W. Jarvis M
13 M. Johnson G
22 S. Moore D
44 Daniel Ring F

Derry City

Formation: 4-5-1 Coach: Craig Bellamy
13 Norcott
8 O'Reilly
3 McClean
4 Stott
23 Dummigan
29 Smith
12 Burns
19 Fleming
14 Chapman
17 Twisk
7 Duffy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Tom Norcott G
23 C. Dummigan D
4 J. Stott D
3 Patrick McClean D
8 A. O'Reilly M
17 N. Twisk M
14 E. Chapman M
19 B. Fleming M
12 D. Burns F
29 T. Smith F
7 M. Duffy F

Substitutes

22 C. Barr D
27 L. Boyce F
15 J. Clarke M
25 Christy Grogan D
24 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster D
1 B. Maher G
21 Kévin Santos M
28 J. Olayinka M
11 G. Whyte M

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