St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford Previsione

Premier Division · Regular Season - 29

Post on X

Waterford

Away

Richmond Park, Dublin

Previsione AI St Patrick's Athl. vince o pareggia

70%

19%

12%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: Sportiko assegna a St Patrick's Athl. una probabilità di vittoria del 70%, a Waterford del 12% e al pareggio del 19%. Ultimo aggiornamento 28 Aug 2026, 20:36.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 74%
1st Half Over 0.5 75%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 55'

Jørgen Voilås assist: Tom Lonergan

Darragh Nugent ⇄ Ryan Sheridan

59' ⇄

Anto Breslin ⇄ James Brown

60' ⇄

Aidan Keena ⇄ Ryan Edmondson

66' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 76'

John Mahon assist: Benny Couto

Chris Forrester ⇄ Sam Rooney

78' ⇄

Luke Turner ⇄ Jason McClelland

78' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Jordan Houston ⇄ Hayden Cann

⇄ 88'

Noah Mawene ⇄ Dean McMenamy

⇄ 88'

E. McLaughlin ⇄ Luke Heeney

FT 0–2

St Patrick's Athl.

Match Stats

Waterford

71% Ball Possession 29%

0.71 Expected Goals (xG) 1.67

11 Total Shots 16

5 Shots on Goal 4

4 Shots off Goal 6

2 Blocked Shots 6

6 Shots insidebox 12

5 Shots outsidebox 4

6 Corner Kicks 8

Offsides

3 Fouls 8

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

472 Total passes 193

387 Passes accurate 111

82% Passes % 58%

0.66 goals_prevented 0.66

St Patrick's Athl.

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
4 Joe Redmond D	8.0	77'	–	–	1	73 (62%)	–
2 Sean Hoare D	7.2	77'	–	–	1	65 (57%)	–
6 Jamie Lennon M	6.9	77'	–	–	–	59 (51%)	3
3 Anto Breslin M	6.9	59'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	–
16 Darragh Nugent M	6.9	59'	–	–	1	25 (21%)	–
94 Joseph Anang G	6.7	77'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	–
24 Luke Turner D	6.6	77'	–	–	2	69 (51%)	1
9 Aidan Keena F	6.6	66'	–	–	1	23 (15%)	–
7 Zac Elbouzedi M	6.6	77'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	2
8 Chris Forrester M	6.6	77'	–	–	–	47 (43%)	1
23 James Brown D	6.5	18'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
21 Anthony Olusanya F	6.5	77'	–	–	2	18 (14%)	1
48 Ryan Sheridan M	6.5	18'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
27 Ryan Edmondson F	6.3	11'	–	–	1	3 (1%)	–

Waterford

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Stephen McMullan G	7.7	77'	–	–	–	30 (9%)	–
5 John Mahon D	7.7	77'	1	–	3	13 (7%)	–
2 Jordan Houston D	7.7	77'	–	–	–	21 (13%)	2
3 Benny Couto M	7.6	77'	–	1	–	19 (11%)	2
20 Jørgen Voilås M	7.6	77'	1	–	2	17 (13%)	–
7 Noah Mawene M	7.2	77'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	2
13 Kevin Long D	6.5	77'	–	–	–	9 (5%)	–
9 Pádraig Amond F	6.3	77'	–	–	1	12 (7%)	1
18 Tom Lonergan F	6.2	77'	–	1	2	23 (13%)	1
10 Conan Noonan M	6.2	77'	–	–	1	10 (6%)	1
8 E. McLaughlin M	6.2	77'	–	–	1	21 (14%)	2

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Confidence Medium (70%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

St Patrick's Athl. vince o pareggia

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.4%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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St Patrick's Athl.

WWWDL

Waterford

LDDWW

Last 2 meetings St Patrick's Athl. · 1W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

70%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

12%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Waterford goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	3	2
1	10	10	3	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	9	7	3	1
4	5	4	2
5	2	2	1

↑ St Patrick's Athl. goals · most likely 2–0 (12.4%)

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Players in form

St Patrick's Athl.

R. Edmondson 10 gls

A. Keena 10 gls

K. Leavy 6 gls

Waterford

T. Lonergan 14 gls

P. Amond 9 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

19%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

19%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	2.7%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
1	9.8%	9.8%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%
2	12.4%	9.8%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%
3	9.4%	7.4%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
4	5.3%	4.2%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	St Patrick's Athl.	Draw	Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.	48.2%	3.1%	0.8%
Draw	19.9%	12.3%	4.3%
Waterford	2.6%	3.1%	5.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford

1 St Patrick's Athl. Wins

1 Draws

0 Waterford Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 Jul 2026	Waterford	1 - 1	St Patrick's Athl.
20 Mar 2026	Waterford	0 - 2	St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl. — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sligo Rovers	W	0 - 1
14 Sep	A Dundalk	W	0 - 4
11 Sep	H Shamrock Rovers	W	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Bohemians	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Waterford	L	0 - 2

Waterford — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Shamrock Rovers	L	3 - 2
14 Sep	H Derry City	D	2 - 2
11 Sep	H Dundalk	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Sligo Rovers	W	3 - 0
28 Aug	A St Patrick's Athl.	W	0 - 2

Premier Division Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	St Patrick's Athl.	32	17	8	7	52	25	+27	59
2	Shamrock Rovers	31	17	8	6	49	31	+18	59
3	Bohemians	31	16	8	7	55	37	+18	56
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	45	42	+3	41
5	Dundalk	32	10	11	11	49	53	-4	41
6	Shelbourne	31	9	12	10	41	44	-3	39
7	Galway United	31	9	10	12	41	47	-6	37
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	44	54	-10	34
9	Drogheda United	32	8	10	14	38	51	-13	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	24	54	-30	23

St Patrick's Athl.

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Stephen Kenny

94 Anang

24 Turner

2 Hoare

4 Redmond

3 Breslin

16 Nugent

6 Lennon

8 Forrester

7 Elbouzedi

9 Keena

21 Olusanya

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
94	Joseph Anang	G
4	Joe Redmond	D
2	Sean Hoare	D
24	Luke Turner	D
7	Zac Elbouzedi	M
8	Chris Forrester	M
6	Jamie Lennon	M
16	Darragh Nugent	M
3	Anto Breslin	M
21	Anthony Olusanya	F
9	Aidan Keena	F

Substitutes

1	Danny Rogers	G
23	James Brown	D
33	Sean McHale	D
11	Jason McClelland	F
48	Ryan Sheridan	M
19	Barry Baggley	M
17	Romal Palmer	M
35	Sam Rooney	F
27	Ryan Edmondson	F

Waterford

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Graham Coughlan

1 McMullan

13 Long

5 Mahon

2 Houston

3 Couto

8 McLaughlin

7 Mawene

10 Noonan

20 Voilås

18 Lonergan

9 Amond

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Stephen McMullan	G
2	Jordan Houston	D
5	John Mahon	D
13	Kevin Long	D
20	Jørgen Voilås	M
10	Conan Noonan	M
7	Noah Mawene	M
8	Evan McLaughlin	M
3	Benny Couto	M
9	Pádraig Amond	F
18	Tom Lonergan	F

Substitutes

21	Arlo Doherty	G
16	Hayden Cann	D
6	Joe Ashton	D
56	Aaron Brennan	D
27	Dean McMenamy	M
15	Luke Heeney	M
12	Blair McKenzie	D
17	Jordan Faria	M
11	Trae Coyle	F