Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia Previsione

First League · Regular Season - 10

Post on X

CSKA Sofia

Away

Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per CSKA Sofia

15%

26%

59%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia: Sportiko assegna a Lokomotiv Plovdiv una probabilità di vittoria del 15%, a CSKA Sofia del 59% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Sep 2026, 16:42.

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Oltre 1.5 Gol 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
1st Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

10' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 18'

Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 1–1

46' ⇄

Yellow Card

67' ▮

Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 74'

75' ⇄

78' ⇄

⇄ 83'

⇄ Barry Cotter

▮ 85'

Barry Cotter Yellow Card

⇄ 88'

▮ 90+3'

Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Match Stats

CSKA Sofia

32% Ball Possession 68%

9 Total Shots 11

2 Shots on Goal 4

7 Shots off Goal 7

0 Blocked Shots 0

1 Corner Kicks 12

3 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per CSKA Sofia

Most likely score

0:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Lokomotiv Plovdiv

DLWLL

CSKA Sofia

DWWWD

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 68.8%. Late goal chance: 34%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 14.3%, Away win 2H: 44.4%.

20' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 31.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

12' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Lokomotiv Plovdiv win: 43.9%. BTTS: 78%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CSKA Sofia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	13	12	7	3	1
1	5	12	10	6	2	1
2	2	4	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Lokomotiv Plovdiv goals · most likely 0–1 (12.8%)

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

26%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

26%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	12.8%	12.4%	7.3%	3.2%
1	4.8%	12.4%	9.6%	5.6%	2.4%
2	2.4%	4.2%	3.7%	2.2%	0.9%
3	0.6%	1.1%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Draw	CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	9.8%	4.3%	2.6%
Draw	5.1%	16.9%	20.3%
CSKA Sofia	0.6%	2.9%	37.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H CSKA Sofia	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Botev Plovdiv	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Cherno More Varna	W	1 - 0
28 Aug	A CSKA 1948	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	H Arda Kardzhali	L	0 - 1

CSKA Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lokomotiv Plovdiv	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Lokomotiv Sofia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Arda Kardzhali	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Levski Sofia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	A Spartak Varna	D	1 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

CSKA Sofia

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Daniel Morales

21 Lapoukhov

4 Almeida

5 Gbamin

14 Ivanov

17 Martino

8 Sensi

7 Ebong

99 Eto'o

2 Pastor

28 Pittas

10 Zwarts

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
21	F. Lapoukhov	G
14	T. Ivanov	D
5	J. Gbamin	M
4	Dinis Almeida	D
2	Pastor	D
99	J. Eto'o	M
7	M. Ebong	M
8	S. Sensi	M
17	Á. Martino	D
10	J. Zwarts	F
28	I. Pittas	F

Substitutes

19	A. Yordanov	M
11	M. Brahimi	F
37	B. Cotter	D
25	D. Evtimov	G
9	S. Godoy	F
67	C. Itu	M
6	Bruno Jordão	M
38	Léo Pereira	F
30	P. Panayotov	M
32	Facundo Santiago Rodríguez	D
94	I. Solet Bomawoko	M