Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa Previsione

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 9

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Jagiellonia

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1 : 3

HT 1 - 2

Legia Warszawa

Away

Stadion Miejski, Białystok

Previsione AI Legia Warszawa o pareggio

34%

28%

38%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa: Sportiko assegna a Jagiellonia una probabilità di vittoria del 34%, a Legia Warszawa del 38% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Sep 2026, 17:29.

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Casa a Segno 75%
1st Half Draw or Away 73%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 15'

Rafał Augustyniak Penalty

⚽ 0–2 20'

Nik Prelec Own Goal

Jesús Imaz Penalty

35' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 45'

Rúben Vinagre ⇄ Arkadiusz Reca

HT 1–2

⇄ 57'

Jan Kuchta ⇄ Łukasz Zjawiński

⇄ 57'

Mateusz Szczepaniak ⇄ Jakub Żewłakow

⇄ 57'

Michal Ševčík ⇄ Rafał Adamski

Norbert Wojtuszek ⇄ Jeremy Agbonifo

65' ⇄

Ferslev Anders Klynge ⇄ Sergio Lozano

65' ⇄

⚽ 1–3 75'

Paweł Wszołek assist: Rafał Augustyniak

Jeremy Agbonifo Penalty cancelled

80' 🖵

K. Szmyt ⇄ Aleksandar Ćirković

84' ⇄

Nik Prelec ⇄ Dimitris Rallis

84' ⇄

▮ 86'

Rafał Adamski Yellow Card

⇄ 87'

Paweł Wszołek ⇄ Kacper Chodyna

Eryk Kozłowski ⇄ Dawid Drachal

90+1' ⇄

FT 1–3

Jagiellonia

Match Stats

Legia Warszawa

68% Ball Possession 32%

18 Total Shots 10

4 Shots on Goal 3

7 Shots off Goal 5

7 Blocked Shots 2

9 Shots insidebox 7

9 Shots outsidebox 3

4 Corner Kicks 4

3 Offsides 0

13 Fouls 10

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

513 Total passes 243

444 Passes accurate 172

10 Free Kicks 13

Jagiellonia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	63 (56%)	1
85 Eryk Kozłowski M	6.9	91'	–	–	–	45 (41%)	1
10 Jeremy Agbonifo F	6.8	25'	–	–	1	9 (8%)	–
5 Bernardo Vital D	6.7	90'	–	–	2	90 (83%)	1
44 A. Konstantopoulos D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	69 (63%)	1
32 Aleksandar Ćirković F	6.5	6'	–	–	1	7 (6%)	1
27 Rodrigo Conceição M	6.4	90'	–	–	–	34 (30%)	3
15 Norbert Wojtuszek D	6.3	65'	–	–	1	47 (44%)	3
7 K. Szmyt M	6.3	84'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	–
21 Sergio Lozano M	6.2	25'	–	–	4	21 (17%)	1
19 Ferslev Anders Klynge M	6.1	65'	–	–	1	21 (17%)	1
9 Dimitris Rallis F	6.0	6'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
11 Jesús Imaz M	5.7	90'	1	–	5	33 (22%)	1
50 Sławomir Abramowicz G	5.5	90'	–	–	–	25 (19%)	–
99 Nik Prelec F	5.4	84'	–	–	1	16 (11%)	–

Legia Warszawa

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Rafał Augustyniak D	7.3	90'	1	1	1	30 (23%)	–
22 Paweł Wszołek M	7.1	87'	1	–	4	22 (14%)	1
20 Jakub Żewłakow F	6.9	33'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
7 Jan Kuchta F	6.8	57'	–	–	1	13 (10%)	–
67 Bartosz Kapustka M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	29 (25%)	2
23 Michal Ševčík M	6.6	57'	–	–	–	9 (5%)	2
89 Ottó Hindrich G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	22 (13%)	–
53 Wojciech Urbański M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	26 (20%)	2
13 Arkadiusz Reca D	6.4	44'	–	–	–	8 (3%)	3
17 Mateusz Szczepaniak M	6.4	57'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	–
24 Zoran Arsenić D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	30 (21%)	1
9 Rafał Adamski F	6.3	33'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
19 Rúben Vinagre M	6.2	46'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	1
79 Łukasz Zjawiński F	6.1	33'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
5 Robert Deziel Jr. D	6.0	90'	–	–	1	24 (15%)	1
11 Kacper Chodyna M	5.9	3'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Legia Warszawa o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Jagiellonia

LLLWL

Legia Warszawa

WDWLD

Last 1 meetings Jagiellonia · 0W 1D 0L

Live insights

75' Goal 85% sure

Legia Warszawa now leads 1-3 with 98.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 37.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Legia Warszawa leads 1-3. Win probability: 98.2%. Comeback chance: 1.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-2. Legia Warszawa leads. Win probability: 71.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.5%.

36' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Legia Warszawa win: 70%. BTTS: 100%.

20' Goal 85% sure

Legia Warszawa now leads 0-2 with 86.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 87.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Legia Warszawa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	7	6	3	1
1	6	13	9	4	2
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Jagiellonia goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Players in form

Jagiellonia

N. Prelec 3 gls

Legia Warszawa

R. Augustyniak 4 gls

R. Adamski 3 gls

Ł. Zjawiński 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

34%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

34%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

52% Away (No Draw) 48% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 34% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	7.0%	6.2%	3.1%	1.1%
1	6.5%	13.3%	8.7%	4.2%	1.6%
2	5.6%	8.2%	6.0%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.6%	3.8%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.9%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Jagiellonia	Draw	Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia	20.4%	4.6%	2.3%
Draw	12.6%	16.9%	13.6%
Legia Warszawa	2.2%	4.7%	22.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa

0 Jagiellonia Wins

1 Draws

0 Legia Warszawa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Mar 2026	Jagiellonia	2 - 2	Legia Warszawa

Jagiellonia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Legia Warszawa	L	1 - 3
16 Sep	A Olympiakos Piraeus	L	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Wisla Krakow	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Slask Wroclaw	W	2 - 1
03 Sep	A Lech Poznan	L	2 - 1

Legia Warszawa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Jagiellonia	W	1 - 3
13 Sep	H Widzew Łódź	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Motor Lublin	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A Motor Lublin	L	3 - 0
28 Aug	H Slask Wroclaw	D	1 - 1

Ekstraklasa Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	16	8	+8	22
2	Legia Warszawa	9	5	4	0	19	8	+11	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	17	7	+10	19
4	Wisla Krakow	9	5	2	2	17	12	+5	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12	6	+6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	12	10	+2	15
7	Zaglebie Lubin	9	4	3	2	11	10	+1	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16	15	+1	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	16	13	+3	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	4	0	4	12	13	-1	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	9	12	-3	11
12	Widzew Łódź	9	1	6	2	13	13	0	9
13	Cracovia Krakow	9	2	2	5	9	14	-5	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7	20	-13	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	11	15	-4	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	9	15	-6	6
17	Wieczysta Kraków	8	1	2	5	11	17	-6	5
18	Raków Częstochowa	9	1	0	8	12	21	-9	3

Legia Warszawa

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: M. Papszun

89 Hindrich

5 Deziel

8 Augustyniak

24 Arsenić

19 Vinagre

67 Kapustka

53 Urbański

23 Ševčík

17 Szczepaniak

22 Wszołek

7 Kuchta

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
89	O. Hindrich	G
24	Z. Arsenić	D
8	R. Augustyniak	D
5	Robert Deziel	D
23	M. Ševčík	M
53	W. Urbański	M
67	B. Kapustka	M
19	Rúben Vinagre	M
22	P. Wszołek	M
17	M. Szczepaniak	M
7	J. Kuchta	F

Substitutes

79	Ł. Zjawiński	F
20	J. Żewłakow	F
27	Bogdan V'Yunnik	F
4	D. Szymański	M
13	A. Reca	D
11	K. Chodyna	M
1	I. Brkić	G
6	Henrique Arreiol	M
9	R. Adamski	F
91	K. Piątkowski	D

Jagiellonia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Siemieniec

50 Abramowicz

23 Montóia

44 Konstantopoulos

5 Vital

15 Wojtuszek

19 Klynge

85 Kozlowski

7 Szmyt

11 Imaz

27 Conceição

99 Prelec

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
50	S. Abramowicz	G
15	N. Wojtuszek	D
5	Bernardo Vital	D
44	A. Konstantopoulos	D
23	Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia	D
85	Eryk Kozlowski	M
19	A. Klynge	M
27	Rodrigo Conceição	M
11	Jesús Imaz	M
7	K. Szmyt	M
99	N. Prelec	F

Substitutes

20	B. Wdowik	D
32	A. Ćirković	F
8	D. Drachal	M
14	H. Finndell	M
72	K. Jóźwiak	M
21	Sergio Lozano	M
1	M. Perchel	G
2	C. Polak	D
9	Dimitris Rallis	F
3	D. Stojinović	D
17	Y. Sylla	F
10	J. Agbonifo	F