Penafiel vs Academica Previsione

Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 5

Post on X

Penafiel

Home

4 : 1

HT 2 - 0

Academica

Away

Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel

Previsione AI Penafiel o pareggio

41%

31%

28%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Penafiel vs Academica: Sportiko assegna a Penafiel una probabilità di vittoria del 41%, a Academica del 28% e al pareggio del 31%. Ultimo aggiornamento 5 Sep 2026, 14:58.

Pronostici Premium

Premium

Casa a Segno 73%

Gli utenti Premium avevano questi pronostici prima del calcio d'inizio. Vedi le analisi Premium

Timeline

25' ⇄

36' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 40'

Yellow Card

42' ⚽ 2–0

Red Card

45+5' ▮

HT 2–0

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

53' ▮

57' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 61'

Yellow Card

62' ▮

71' ⚽ 4–0

⇄ 79'

79' ⇄

Yellow Card

80' ▮

83' ⇄

▮ 86'

Yellow Card

88' ▮

⚽ 4–1 90+2'

FT 4–1

Penafiel

Match Stats

Academica

45% Ball Possession 55%

10 Total Shots 20

6 Shots on Goal 9

4 Shots off Goal 11

0 Blocked Shots 0

2 Corner Kicks 4

5 Yellow Cards 2

2 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

Premium

Sblocca l'analisi completa dell'AI su Penafiel vs Academica

Tutti i 70+ mercati di probabilità
Report di analisi approfondita AI
Value Edge — modello vs mercato
Tipologie di esito che scegli

Passa a Premium

Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Penafiel o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Penafiel

WWWWW

Academica

WLLLW

Last 2 meetings Penafiel · 0W 2D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

28%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Academica goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	8	5	2
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	8	9	4	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Penafiel goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Perché questa scelta? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

31%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

31%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	8.3%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.7%	14.7%	6.8%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.1%	8.5%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%
3	3.6%	3.7%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.2%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Penafiel	Draw	Academica
Penafiel	27.0%	5.0%	1.7%
Draw	13.5%	20.2%	11.8%
Academica	1.4%	3.7%	15.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Penafiel vs Academica

0 Penafiel Wins

2 Draws

0 Academica Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2015	Penafiel	0 - 0	Academica
21 Dec 2014	Academica	0 - 0	Penafiel

Penafiel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Oliveirense	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Felgueiras 1932	W	1 - 2
05 Sep	H Academica	W	4 - 1
30 Aug	A FC Porto B	W	0 - 3
23 Aug	H Sporting CP B	W	2 - 0

Academica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Real	W	1 - 4
11 Sep	H Benfica B	L	0 - 3
05 Sep	A Penafiel	L	4 - 1
29 Aug	H Lusitânia Lourosa	L	0 - 2
21 Aug	A Tondela	W	0 - 2

Segunda Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	11	4	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13	5	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8	6	+2	12
4	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7	4	+3	11
5	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7	5	+2	10
6	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	10	7	+3	10
7	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8	6	+2	10
8	Academica	6	3	0	3	8	10	-2	9
9	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7	6	+1	9
10	Farense	5	2	2	1	7	5	+2	8
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4	6	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	6	6	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	5	6	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7	9	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3	5
16	Chaves	5	1	1	3	5	9	-4	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4	13	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1	8	-7	1

Penafiel

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: José Manuel Aira

1 Oliveira

3 Silva

6 Pica

5 Sánchez

75 Alloh

21 Sá

8 Carbonell

27 Negrão

10 Davo

9 Svensson

17 Pinto

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Miguel Oliveira	G
5	Jaime Sánchez	D
6	Adrián Pica	D
3	Cláudio Silva	D
27	Gonçalo Negrão	D
8	Alex Carbonell	M
21	Pedro Sá	M
75	T. Alloh	D
17	João Pinto	F
9	Max Svensson	F
10	Davo	F

Substitutes

13	Eric Puerto	G
4	João Miguel	D
2	Iano Imbene	D
11	J. Fuentes	F
38	M. Ramon	M
85	Carlinhos Augusto	M
7	Douglas Borel	D
50	francisco varela	M
99	Claudio	F
33	Ricardo Schutte	F
23	Duarte Oliveira	D
18	Konrad Sinyam	M

Academica

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: António Barbosa

98 Alves

22 Lopes

54 Ni

3 Teixeira

15 Kaka

20 Sinisterra

5 Silva

17 Paulo

7 Mané

10 Faure

19 Rodrigues

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
98	Carlos Alves	G
15	Kaka	D
3	Ricardo Teixeira	D
54	Ni	D
22	Hélder Lopes	D
17	Marcos Paulo	M
5	Leandro Silva	D
20	J. Sinisterra	M
19	Afonso Rodrigues	F
10	I. Faure	F
7	Alioune Mané	F

Substitutes

92	A. Coundoul	M
9	Martim Tavares	F
23	Rui Gomes	F
12	Victor Braga	G
60	João Oliveira	M
26	T. Soares	M
46	H. Nunes	M
4	Guilherme Willian da Silva	D
13	Kauan	D
1	Nuno Macedo	G