Eldense vs Eibar Previsione

Segunda División · Regular Season - 6

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Eldense

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Eibar

Away

Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda

Previsione AI Eibar o pareggio

30%

31%

39%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Eldense vs Eibar: Sportiko assegna a Eldense una probabilità di vittoria del 30%, a Eibar del 39% e al pareggio del 31%. Ultimo aggiornamento 19 Sep 2026, 18:24.

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1st Half Draw or Away 76%
Ospite a Segno 73%
Oltre 1.5 Gol 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 29'

Jon Magunazelaia assist: Aleix Garrido

Manu Nieto Yellow Card

30' ▮

⇄ 45'

Juan Bernat ⇄ Markel Arana

HT 0–1

▮ 52'

Jon Bautista Yellow Card

▮ 54'

Malcom Ares Yellow Card

⇄ 59'

Jon Bautista ⇄ Javier Martón

⇄ 59'

Malcom Ares ⇄ Jon Guruzeta

⚽ 0–2 63'

Iván Gil assist: Ander Madariaga

🖵 64'

Álvaro Rodríguez Goal confirmed

David Ruiz Montero ⇄ Juan Larios

66' ⇄

Roberto López ⇄ Guillermo Macho

66' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Iván Gil ⇄ Lucas Núñez

Manu Nieto ⇄ Jorge Rastrojo

73' ⇄

Carlos Guirao ⇄ Javi Martínez

73' ⇄

Fidel ⇄ Waldo Rubio

75' ⇄

Justin Smith

76' ⚽ 1–2

Justin Smith Yellow Card

77' ▮

⇄ 86'

Jon Magunazelaia ⇄ Jair Amador

▮ 90'

Jon Guruzeta Yellow Card

▮ 90+3'

Lucas Núñez Yellow Card

FT 1–2

Eldense

Match Stats

Eibar

64% Ball Possession 36%

24 Total Shots 8

6 Shots on Goal 4

15 Shots off Goal 3

3 Blocked Shots 1

9 Shots insidebox 3

15 Shots outsidebox 5

9 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 0

8 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

602 Total passes 351

526 Passes accurate 267

12 Free Kicks 8

Eldense

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Justin Smith M	8.2	90'	1	–	1	88 (75%)	3
21 David Ruiz Montero D	6.8	66'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	1
5 Álex Serradell D	6.7	90'	–	–	2	80 (72%)	1
19 A. Ibarrondo D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	37 (32%)	–
12 Roberto López M	6.6	66'	–	–	4	32 (30%)	2
10 Fidel M	6.5	75'	–	–	2	56 (43%)	–
4 Floris Smand D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	72 (70%)	–
15 Carlos Guirao M	6.4	73'	–	–	2	56 (50%)	–
33 Aingeru Olabarrieta M	6.4	90'	–	–	2	32 (28%)	1
20 Waldo Rubio F	6.4	15'	–	–	1	14 (14%)	–
3 Juan Larios D	6.3	24'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	1
1 Ramon Vila G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	37 (30%)	–
18 Guillermo Macho M	6.2	24'	–	–	3	31 (26%)	–
7 Jorge Rastrojo F	6.1	17'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
11 Manu Nieto F	6.0	73'	–	–	3	9 (8%)	1
24 Javi Martínez M	5.9	17'	–	–	3	12 (10%)	–

Eibar

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Iván Gil M	8.2	72'	1	–	3	17 (14%)	–
11 Jon Magunazelaia M	7.8	86'	1	–	1	26 (22%)	–
30 Aleix Garrido M	7.6	90'	–	1	–	45 (40%)	3
8 Ander Madariaga M	7.3	90'	–	1	–	39 (32%)	3
13 Jon Mikel Magunagoitia G	7.1	90'	–	–	–	39 (17%)	–
24 Juan Bernat D	7.0	46'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	1
4 Unai Elgezabal D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	2
7 Malcom Ares M	6.9	59'	–	–	2	11 (10%)	1
18 Markel Arana D	6.8	44'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	1
23 Anaitz Arbilla D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	52 (44%)	–
15 Jair Amador D	6.6	4'	–	–	–	–	–
20 Javier Martón F	6.5	31'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
10 Jon Guruzeta M	6.4	31'	–	–	1	10 (5%)	–
28 Lucas Núñez M	6.3	18'	–	–	1	4 (2%)	–
9 Jon Bautista F	6.1	59'	–	–	–	10 (5%)	–
22 Álvaro Rodríguez D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	27 (17%)	–

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Eibar o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Eldense

LWDLD

Eibar

WWWWW

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Eibar leads 1-2. Win probability: 92.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 7.5%.

77' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Eibar win probability: 87.6%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 29.4%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Eibar leads 0-2. Win probability: 98.7%. Comeback chance: 1.3%.

65' Goal 85% sure

Eibar now leads 0-2 with 97.1% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 48.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Eibar leads. Win probability: 75%. Over 0.5 more goals: 69.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Eibar goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	8	3	1
1	8	15	8	4	1
2	6	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Eldense goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Players in form

Eldense

No scorer data.

Eibar

Jon Guruzeta 3 gls

Iván Gil 2 gls

Malcom Adu 2 gls

Jon Magunazelaia 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Draw

31%

Home Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Draw

31%

Home Win

30%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 30% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	9.8%	7.5%	3.3%	1.1%
1	8.2%	14.6%	8.5%	3.7%	1.2%
2	5.6%	7.3%	4.8%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.1%	2.8%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Eldense	Draw	Eibar
Eldense	18.8%	4.1%	1.4%
Draw	11.0%	19.7%	12.1%
Eibar	1.6%	4.8%	26.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Eldense vs Eibar

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Eldense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Eibar	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Sporting Gijon	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Mallorca	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Leganes	L	1 - 0
22 Aug	H Cadiz	D	2 - 2

Eibar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eldense	W	1 - 2
14 Sep	A Celta de Vigo II	W	0 - 4
06 Sep	H Granada CF	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A FC Andorra	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	H Valladolid	W	1 - 0

Segunda División Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Castellón	6	5	1	0	12	2	+10	16
2	Eibar	6	5	0	1	12	4	+8	15
3	Mallorca	6	4	1	1	8	2	+6	13
4	Almeria	6	4	0	2	10	4	+6	12
5	Burgos	6	3	2	1	10	7	+3	11
6	Sabadell	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Leganes	6	3	2	1	6	5	+1	11
8	Girona	6	3	1	2	12	8	+4	10
9	Sporting Gijon	6	3	1	2	5	4	+1	10
10	Las Palmas	6	3	1	2	8	8	0	10
11	Tenerife	6	3	1	2	7	8	-1	10
12	Real Sociedad II	6	2	2	2	8	7	+1	8
13	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	5	4	+1	8
14	Granada CF	6	2	2	2	8	8	0	8
15	Celta de Vigo II	6	2	1	3	7	10	-3	7
16	Cordoba	6	2	0	4	9	13	-4	6
17	Eldense	6	1	2	3	4	8	-4	5
18	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	3	8	-5	5
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	6	9	-3	3
20	FC Andorra	6	1	0	5	9	13	-4	3
21	Albacete	6	0	1	5	4	10	-6	1
22	AD Ceuta FC	6	0	1	5	3	16	-13	1

Eibar

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Jokin Arambarri

13 Mikel

24 Bernat

23 Arbilla

4 Elgezabal

22 Rodríguez

8 Madariaga

30 Garrido

7 Adu

21 Gil

11 Magunazelaia

9 Bautista

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Jon Mikel	G
22	Álvaro Rodríguez	D
4	Unai Elgezabal	D
23	Anaitz Arbilla	D
24	Juan Bernat	D
30	Aleix Garrido	M
8	Ander Madariaga	M
11	Jon Magunazelaia	M
21	Iván Gil	M
7	Malcom Adu	M
9	Jon Bautista	F

Substitutes

27	Elijah Gift Izobodo John	F
10	Jon Guruzeta	M
20	Javi Martón	F
17	Pejiño	F
3	Imanol García de Albéniz	D
2	Sergio Cubero	D
18	M. Arana	D
15	Jair Amador	D
28	Lucas Nuñez	M
1	Luis López	G

Eldense

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Javi Calleja

1 Vila

21 Ruiz

4 Smand

5 Serradell

19 Ibarrondo

15 Guirao

14 Smith

33 Olabarrieta

12 López

10 Fidel

11 Nieto

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ramón Vila	G
19	A. Ibarrondo	D
5	Alex Serradell	D
4	F. Smand	D
21	D. Ruiz	D
14	J. Smith	M
15	Carlos Guirao	M
10	Fidel	M
12	Roberto López	M
33	Aingeru Olabarrieta	M
11	Manu Nieto	F

Substitutes

22	J. Yanda	D
36	D. Bernabeu	G
17	Jesús Clemente	D
13	Juanpa	G
3	Juan Larios	D
18	Guillermo Macho	M
24	Javi Martínez	M
7	Jorge Rastrojo	F
2	Iker Recio	D
20	Waldo Rubio	F
29	Dinis Rodrigues	F