Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts Previsione

League Two · Regular Season - 3

Post on X

Elgin City

Home

4 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Kelty Hearts

Away

Borough Briggs, Elgin

Previsione AI Elgin City o pareggio

42%

29%

30%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts: Sportiko assegna a Elgin City una probabilità di vittoria del 42%, a Kelty Hearts del 30% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 15 Aug 2026, 15:52.

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Casa a Segno 76%

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Timeline

▮ 20'

Yellow Card

30' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

34' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

50' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 58'

68' ⇄

⇄ 69'

⚽ 2–1 71'

78' ⇄

81' ⚽ 3–1

85' ⚽ 4–1

85' ⇄

Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

FT 4–1

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Elgin City o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Elgin City

WLLWL

Kelty Hearts

LLLWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

30%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kelty Hearts goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	4	2
1	11	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Elgin City goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

30%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

30%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	7.2%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10.9%	14.3%	6.4%	2.2%	0.5%
2	9.0%	9.0%	4.6%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.3%	4.3%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Elgin City	Draw	Kelty Hearts
Elgin City	30.2%	4.7%	1.5%
Draw	14.4%	19.3%	10.0%
Kelty Hearts	1.6%	3.9%	14.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Elgin City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Dundee II	W	3 - 0
19 Sep	H Stranraer	L	1 - 5
12 Sep	A Annan Athletic	L	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Fraserburgh	W	7 - 0
05 Sep	A Dumbarton	L	2 - 1

Kelty Hearts — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Hearts U21	L	3 - 5
19 Sep	H Edinburgh City	L	1 - 3
12 Sep	A Clyde	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Cumbernauld Colts	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	H Annan Athletic	W	2 - 1

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Clyde	8	5	2	1	19	10	+9	17
2	Stranraer	8	5	1	2	17	8	+9	16
3	Spartans	8	3	3	2	19	15	+4	12
4	Elgin City	8	3	2	3	19	14	+5	11
5	Forfar Athletic	8	3	2	3	8	13	-5	11
6	Edinburgh City	8	4	2	2	19	15	+4	9
7	Annan Athletic	8	3	0	5	9	10	-1	9
8	Dumbarton	8	3	0	5	8	14	-6	9
9	Kelty Hearts	8	3	0	5	11	18	-7	9
10	Stirling Albion	8	1	2	5	10	22	-12	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.