Baranovichi vs FC Gomel Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

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Baranovichi

Home

0 : 2

HT 0 - 1

FC Gomel

Away

Stadyen Lyakamatyu, Baranovichi

Previsione AI FC Gomel o pareggio

28%

30%

42%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Baranovichi vs FC Gomel: Sportiko assegna a Baranovichi una probabilità di vittoria del 28%, a FC Gomel del 42% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Sep 2026, 13:50.

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Ospite a Segno 76%
Under 3.5 Gol 75%
1st Half Draw or Away 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

14' ▮

⚽ 0–1 31'

Yellow Card

40' ▮

HT 0–1

▮ 47'

Yellow Card

▮ 54'

Yellow Card

57' ▮

61' ⇄

⇄ 62'

⇄ 68'

68' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Yellow Card

75' ▮

75' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Yellow Card

80' ▮

▮ 87'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 88'

FT 0–2

Baranovichi

Match Stats

FC Gomel

53% Ball Possession 47%

14 Total Shots 5

5 Shots on Goal 2

9 Shots off Goal 3

0 Blocked Shots 0

11 Corner Kicks 3

5 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

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Value Edge — modello vs mercato
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

FC Gomel o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Baranovichi

LDWWD

FC Gomel

WLWWD

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

FC Gomel now leads 0-2 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: FC Gomel leads 0-1. Win probability: 87.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.7%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. FC Gomel leads. Win probability: 76.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.3%.

33' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. FC Gomel win: 74.4%. BTTS: 50.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

42%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Gomel goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Baranovichi goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

30%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

30%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	9.6%	8.0%	3.7%	1.3%
1	7.3%	14.3%	8.9%	4.2%	1.5%
2	5.0%	7.1%	5.0%	2.3%	0.8%
3	1.9%	2.6%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Baranovichi	Draw	FC Gomel
Baranovichi	18.7%	5.1%	2.3%
Draw	9.4%	18.8%	15.3%
FC Gomel	1.2%	3.8%	25.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Baranovichi vs FC Gomel

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Baranovichi — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H FC Gomel	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Arsenal	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H FC Dnepr Mogilev	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Dinamo Minsk	W	0 - 1
23 Aug	H Dinamo Brest	D	1 - 1

FC Gomel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Baranovichi	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	A FC Isloch Minsk R.	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Torpedo Zhodino	W	1 - 2
28 Aug	H Belshina	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Slavia Mozyr	D	0 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Isloch Minsk R.	22	13	6	3	37	18	+19	45
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42	17	+25	44
3	Dinamo Minsk	21	13	4	4	37	16	+21	43
4	Dinamo Brest	23	12	4	7	38	23	+15	40
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33	18	+15	39
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	26	20	+6	37
7	FC Vitebsk	23	10	6	7	28	21	+7	36
8	FC Minsk	23	10	4	9	30	28	+2	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	22	7	6	9	28	29	-1	27
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	23	26	-3	25
11	Baranovichi	23	6	7	10	24	38	-14	25
12	Arsenal	23	5	8	10	24	41	-17	23
13	Belshina	22	5	6	11	22	36	-14	21
14	Bate Borisov	22	3	9	10	16	27	-11	18
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	20	36	-16	16
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	20	54	-34	14

FC Gomel

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: A. Gorovtsov

44 Kleshchuk

14 Pashevich

33 Sotnikov

90 Kukushkin

17 Martinkevich

7 Adeola

77 Lazarev

19 Silinskiy

23 Danilin

11 Simanenka

21 Kovalevich

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
44	S. Kleshchuk	G
17	V. Martinkevich	D
90	G. Kukushkin	D
33	V. Sotnikov	D
14	P. Pashevich	D
23	K. Danilin	M
19	D. Silinskiy	M
77	V. Lazarev	M
7	R. Adeola	M
21	D. Kovalevich	F
11	T. Simanenka	F

Substitutes

8	E. Barsukov	M
22	D. Emeljanov	F
4	A. Gavrilovich	D
49	A. Karatay	G
9	K. Leonovich	M
3	S. Matveychik	D
43	D. Shaykhtdinov	D
13	M. Mardas	F
5	H. Pratasenia	M

Baranovichi

Formation: 4-5-1

12 Shapko

97 Tkachev

33 Muzychenko

4 Karpenya

11 Ryabykh

22 Bondarenko

6 Tuzakbaev

10 Lebedev

9 Lapun

96 Potorocha

77 Artyukh

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	D. Shapko	G
11	N. Ryabykh	D
4	V. Karpenya	D
33	Kirill Muzychenko	D
97	T. Tkachev	D
96	V. Potorocha	M
9	E. Lapun	M
10	F. Lebedev	M
6	Alibi Tuzakbaev	M
22	M. Bondarenko	M
77	M. Artyukh	F

Substitutes

5	V. Fedotov	D
2	S. Kendysh	D
29	S. Penchuk	M
34	A. Petrenko	M
93	A. Dresmanis	G
7	T. Pukhov	M
17	M. Shevchenko	M
45	Ersultan Torekul	F