FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel Previsione

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

30 Jan 2027, 12:30

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Holstein Kiel

Away

Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per FC St. Pauli

60%

25%

15%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel: Sportiko assegna a FC St. Pauli una probabilità di vittoria del 60%, a Holstein Kiel del 15% e al pareggio del 25%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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FC St. Pauli

DWDLL

Holstein Kiel

DLDLW

Last 3 meetings FC St. Pauli · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga clash on January 30, FC St. Pauli will face Holstein Kiel. FC St. Pauli has shown a solid home record this season, often capitalizing on their attacking strength, averaging 1.5 goals per match. Meanwhile, Holstein Kiel has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. The match could hinge on St. Pauli's ability to exploit Kiel's defensive weaknesses, while Kiel will need to improve their backline to secure a result. Overall, this encounter promises to be competitive, with both teams aiming for crucial points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Holstein Kiel goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	12	5	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ FC St. Pauli goals · most likely 1–1 (12.0%)

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Players in form

FC St. Pauli

No scorer data.

Holstein Kiel

P. Harres 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

25%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

25%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	4.3%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
1	10.9%	12.0%	4.6%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.6%	9.9%	4.3%	1.2%	0.3%
3	7.2%	6.2%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.4%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC St. Pauli	Draw	Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli	38.7%	3.6%	1.0%
Draw	19.9%	15.6%	6.4%
Holstein Kiel	2.5%	3.7%	8.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel

2 FC St. Pauli Wins

1 Draws

0 Holstein Kiel Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Aug 2026	Holstein Kiel	2 - 2	FC St. Pauli
12 Apr 2025	Holstein Kiel	1 - 2	FC St. Pauli
29 Nov 2024	FC St. Pauli	3 - 1	Holstein Kiel

FC St. Pauli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Energie Cottbus	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H VfL Wolfsburg	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Arminia Bielefeld	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H 1. FC Kaiserslautern	L	1 - 2
23 Aug	A Rot-Weiß Essen	L	2 - 0

Holstein Kiel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H VfL Osnabrück	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A 1. FC Heidenheim	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H 1. FC Nürnberg	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A 1. FC Magdeburg	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	A TSV 1860 München	W	0 - 2

2. Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	6	0	0	17	7	+10	18
2	1. FC Nürnberg	6	5	1	0	16	6	+10	16
3	1. FC Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	14	12	+2	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	15	8	+7	11
5	1. FC Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	6	4	+2	11
6	1. FC Magdeburg	6	3	1	2	11	9	+2	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	2	2	2	14	13	+1	8
8	FC St. Pauli	6	1	4	1	8	8	0	7
9	VfL Bochum	6	2	1	3	5	6	-1	7
10	Hannover 96	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7
11	VfL Osnabrück	6	2	1	3	9	12	-3	7
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	1	3	2	9	11	-2	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10	12	-2	5
14	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6	12	-6	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	12	13	-1	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	7	10	-3	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	1	1	4	8	14	-6	4
18	SV Darmstadt 98	6	1	1	4	5	13	-8	4

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.