Colchester vs Cheltenham Previsione

League Two League Two · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
Previsione AI Colchester o pareggio
45%
28%
28%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Colchester vs Cheltenham: Sportiko assegna a Colchester una probabilità di vittoria del 45%, a Cheltenham del 28% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 19 Sep 2026, 16:11.

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  • Ospite a Segno 71%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 70%
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Timeline

▮ 10'
Shaun McWilliams Yellow Card
▮ 18'
Jake Evans Yellow Card
Oscar Thorn Yellow Card
28' ▮
HT 0–0
Moses Sesay assist: Ellis Iandolo
66' ⚽ 1–0
Oscar Thorn ⇄ Jaden Williams
69' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Shaun McWilliams ⇄ Freddie Willcox
⇄ 74'
Jake Evans ⇄ Ryan Broom
Harry Anderson Yellow Card
76' ▮
⚽ 1–1 78'
Andreas Weimann Penalty
Jaden Williams Red Card
83' ▮
Ellis Iandolo Yellow Card
84' ▮
▮ 85'
Jonathan Tomkinson Yellow Card
⇄ 89'
Andreas Weimann ⇄ Kirsten Otchere
Harry Anderson ⇄ Leon Chiwome
89' ⇄
▮ 90+2'
Charlie McCann Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Colchester

Match Stats

Cheltenham
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 9
5 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Corner Kicks 9
0 Offsides 3
14 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
1 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
369 Total passes 443
285 Passes accurate 363
12 Free Kicks 13
Colchester
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Moses Sesay M 8.2 90' 1 – 4 36 (35%) 3
20 Sean Raggett D 6.9 90' – – – 44 (38%) –
3 Ellis Iandolo D 6.9 90' – 1 – 40 (30%) 3
5 Jack Tucker D 6.8 90' – – – 56 (39%) 1
10 Jack Payne M 6.7 90' – – 1 31 (24%) 4
2 Rob Hunt D 6.6 90' – – – 48 (37%) –
26 Jay Williams M 6.5 90' – – – 36 (31%) 3
11 Leon Chiwome F 6.5 1' – – – 1 –
22 Thimothee Lo-Tutala G 6.3 90' – – – 31 (17%) –
27 Oscar Thorn M 6.3 69' – – – 17 (15%) 3
7 Harry Anderson M 6.3 89' – – 1 15 (11%) 2
14 Kylian Kouassi F 6.1 90' – – 1 13 (8%) –
17 Jaden Williams F 5.9 14' – – 1 1 –
Cheltenham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Andreas Weimann F 7.5 89' 1 – 1 8 (8%) –
5 Robbie Cundy D 7.1 90' – – – 52 (49%) 2
25 Pierce Sweeney D 6.8 90' – – – 52 (46%) 2
4 Joseph Tomlinson D 6.7 90' – – 1 52 (41%) 2
8 Charlie McCann M 6.6 90' – – 3 29 (22%) 2
7 Ben Stevenson M 6.5 90' – – 1 53 (42%) 2
9 Kirsten Otchere F 6.5 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
3 Jonathan Tomkinson D 6.4 90' – – – 41 (35%) 2
33 Freddie Willcox M 6.4 16' – – – 10 (6%) 1
26 Jordan Shipley M 6.3 90' – – 2 33 (25%) 2
23 Wyll Stanway G 6.3 90' – – – 42 (27%) –
14 Ryan Broom M 6.2 16' – – 1 3 (2%) –
17 Shaun McWilliams M 6.0 74' – – – 45 (40%) 6
19 Jake Evans M 5.9 74' – – 3 22 (19%) 1
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Colchester o pareggio
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Colchester
LDDLL
Cheltenham
DDWDW

Live insights

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 79.2%. Late goal chance: 22.2%.

79' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 73.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Colchester leads 1-0. Win probability: 85.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.1%.

69' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Colchester win: 82.7%. BTTS: 24.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 74.4%. Over 1.5 remaining: 43.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
28%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Colchester

No scorer data.

Cheltenham
C. McCann 6 gls
J. Evans 3 gls
A. Weimann 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Colchester vs Cheltenham

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Colchester — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep A Peterborough L 3 - 1
19 Sep H Cheltenham D 1 - 1
12 Sep H Crewe D 1 - 1
05 Sep A Swindon Town L 3 - 1
01 Sep A Bristol Rovers L 2 - 0

Cheltenham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep H Exeter City D 2 - 2
19 Sep A Colchester D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Crawley Town W 1 - 3
05 Sep H Grimsby D 2 - 2
01 Sep H York W 3 - 2

League Two Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barnet
7 4 3 0 +7 15
2
Walsall
7 3 4 0 +6 13
3
Grimsby
7 3 4 0 +5 13
4
Gillingham
7 3 3 1 +5 12
5
Cheltenham
7 3 3 1 +3 12
6
Bristol Rovers
7 4 0 3 +1 12
7
York
7 3 2 2 +3 11
8
Chesterfield
7 3 2 2 +2 11
9
Crewe
7 2 5 0 +2 11
10
Tranmere
7 2 4 1 +2 10
11
Fleetwood Town
7 2 4 1 +1 10
12
Salford City
7 3 1 3 -1 10
13
Swindon Town
7 3 1 3 -3 10
14
Rotherham
7 2 3 2 0 9
15
Colchester
7 2 3 2 -2 9
16
Oldham
7 2 1 4 -1 7
17
Rochdale
7 2 1 4 -3 7
18
Shrewsbury
7 2 1 4 -6 7
19
Newport County
7 1 3 3 -1 6
20
Exeter City
7 1 3 3 -1 6
21
Accrington ST
7 1 3 3 -3 6
22
Northampton
7 1 3 3 -3 6
23
Port Vale
7 1 2 4 -6 5
24
Crawley Town
7 1 1 5 -7 4

Colchester

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: D. Cowley
22 Lo-Tutala
3 Iandolo
20 Raggett
5 Tucker
2 Hunt
26 Williams
12 Sesay
7 Anderson
10 Payne
27 Thorn
14 Kouassi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 T. Lo-Tutala G
2 R. Hunt D
5 J. Tucker D
20 S. Raggett D
3 E. Iandolo D
12 M. Sesay M
26 J. Williams M
27 O. Thorn M
10 J. Payne M
7 H. Anderson M
14 K. Kouassi F

Substitutes

11 L. Chiwome F
6 P. Digby M
9 B. Ihionvien F
44 S. Kuffour D
1 T. Smith G
24 F. Terry D
17 Jaden Williams F

Cheltenham

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Cotterill
23 Stanway
4 Tomlinson
25 Sweeney
5 Cundy
3 Tomkinson
7 Stevenson
17 McWilliams
26 Shipley
8 McCann
19 Evans
18 Weimann

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 W. Stanway G
3 J. Tomkinson D
5 R. Cundy D
25 P. Sweeney D
4 J. Tomlinson D
17 S. McWilliams M
7 B. Stevenson M
19 J. Evans M
8 C. McCann M
26 J. Shipley M
18 A. Weimann F

Substitutes

14 R. Broom M
1 J. Day G
10 G. Miller F
21 G. Nurse D
33 F. Willcox M
6 J. Wilson D
9 K. Otchere F

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