Accrington ST vs Crawley Town Previsione

League Two · Regular Season - 5

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Accrington ST

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3 : 2

HT 1 - 1

Crawley Town

Away

Previsione AI Accrington ST o pareggio

44%

28%

29%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Accrington ST vs Crawley Town: Sportiko assegna a Accrington ST una probabilità di vittoria del 44%, a Crawley Town del 29% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 5 Sep 2026, 15:59.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%
Ospite a Segno 72%

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Timeline

Charlie Caton

4' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 20'

Danilo Orsi-Dadomo

Donald Love ⇄ Aidan Borland

25' ⇄

Devon Matthews Yellow Card

30' ▮

Farrend Rawson Yellow Card

42' ▮

▮ 45+3'

Priestley Farquharson Yellow Card

HT 1–1

Shaun Whalley Yellow Card

53' ▮

Charlie Caton

55' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 58'

Akin Odimayo

⇄ 58'

Malcolm Ebiowei ⇄ D. Pereira

⇄ 59'

Louie Watson ⇄ Kellan Gordon

▮ 61'

Klaudio Krasniqi Yellow Card

Devon Matthews assist: Josh Woods

63' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 66'

Danilo Orsi-Dadomo ⇄ Pemi Aderoju

⇄ 72'

Klaudio Krasniqi ⇄ Gianmarco Di Biase

David Tutonda Yellow Card

73' ▮

Shaun Whalley ⇄ C. Grant

74' ⇄

⚽ 3–2 79'

Pemi Aderoju assist: Kellan Gordon

Charlie Caton ⇄ Cole Stockton

82' ⇄

T. Walton ⇄ Alex Henderson

83' ⇄

FT 3–2

Accrington ST

Match Stats

Crawley Town

36% Ball Possession 64%

10 Total Shots 15

4 Shots on Goal 5

5 Shots off Goal 7

1 Blocked Shots 3

8 Shots insidebox 9

2 Shots outsidebox 6

1 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 0

21 Fouls 8

4 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

250 Total passes 450

154 Passes accurate 368

8 Free Kicks 20

Accrington ST

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Charlie Caton F	9.2	82'	2	–	4	13 (9%)	1
13 Cole Stockton F	6.6	8'	–	–	–	–	–
17 Devon Matthews D	6.5	90'	1	–	1	21 (14%)	2
23 T. Walton F	6.5	83'	–	–	–	14 (9%)	1
1 Louie Moulden G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	29 (10%)	–
6 Liam Coyle M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	1
2 Donald Love M	6.2	25'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	1
33 David Tutonda M	6.2	90'	–	–	2	25 (20%)	3
5 Farrend Rawson D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	–
22 Joseph Anderson D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	30 (18%)	3
8 C. Grant M	6.0	16'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
16 Aidan Borland M	6.0	65'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	3
39 Josh Woods M	5.7	90'	–	1	1	25 (11%)	3
10 Alex Henderson M	5.6	7'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
7 Shaun Whalley M	5.4	74'	–	–	1	25 (15%)	2

Crawley Town

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Danilo Orsi-Dadomo F	7.5	66'	1	–	2	6 (4%)	–
11 Pemi Aderoju F	7.1	24'	1	–	3	3 (1%)	–
5 Charlie Barker D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	87 (75%)	–
22 Ade Adeyemo D	6.4	90'	–	–	3	53 (48%)	1
14 Gianmarco Di Biase F	6.4	18'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	–
8 Louie Watson F	6.3	59'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	–
20 Jude Arthurs M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	51 (44%)	2
2 Kellan Gordon M	6.2	31'	–	1	–	10 (6%)	–
19 D. Pereira M	6.2	32'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	1
17 Osman Kamara M	6.1	90'	–	–	1	26 (19%)	4
7 Malcolm Ebiowei M	6.0	58'	–	–	3	18 (13%)	–
24 Akin Odimayo D	6.0	58'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	2
25 Klaudio Krasniqi M	5.9	72'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	1
Seamus Maughan	5.8	32'	–	–	1	8 (4%)	1
31 J. Izquierdo G	5.8	90'	–	–	–	52 (37%)	–
6 Priestley Farquharson D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	36 (30%)	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Accrington ST o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Accrington ST

DDLWD

Crawley Town

LLLLD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Crawley Town goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Accrington ST goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Accrington ST

C. Caton 5 gls

Crawley Town

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	5.8%	4.6%	1.9%	0.6%
1	7.7%	13.2%	7.3%	3.1%	1.0%
2	7.4%	9.3%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.9%	5.0%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.6%	2.0%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Accrington ST	Draw	Crawley Town
Accrington ST	25.1%	3.6%	1.3%
Draw	16.5%	16.5%	8.9%
Crawley Town	3.2%	5.6%	19.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Accrington ST vs Crawley Town

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Accrington ST — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Sunderland U21	D	3 - 3
19 Sep	H Newport County	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	A Barnet	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Crawley Town	W	3 - 2
01 Sep	H Grimsby	D	2 - 2

Crawley Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Milton Keynes Dons	L	4 - 1
19 Sep	A Grimsby	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cheltenham	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Accrington ST	L	3 - 2
01 Sep	A Northampton	D	1 - 1

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17	10	+7	15
2	Walsall	7	3	4	0	10	4	+6	13
3	Grimsby	7	3	4	0	11	6	+5	13
4	Gillingham	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cheltenham	7	3	3	1	14	11	+3	12
6	Bristol Rovers	7	4	0	3	12	11	+1	12
7	York	7	3	2	2	13	10	+3	11
8	Chesterfield	7	3	2	2	10	8	+2	11
9	Crewe	7	2	5	0	7	5	+2	11
10	Tranmere	7	2	4	1	9	7	+2	10
11	Fleetwood Town	7	2	4	1	8	7	+1	10
12	Salford City	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
13	Swindon Town	7	3	1	3	8	11	-3	10
14	Rotherham	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
15	Colchester	7	2	3	2	8	10	-2	9
16	Oldham	7	2	1	4	8	9	-1	7
17	Rochdale	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3	7
18	Shrewsbury	7	2	1	4	5	11	-6	7
19	Newport County	7	1	3	3	10	11	-1	6
20	Exeter City	7	1	3	3	4	5	-1	6
21	Accrington ST	7	1	3	3	10	13	-3	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3	6	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3	9	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4