Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers Previsione

League Two · Regular Season - 3

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Bristol Rovers

Away

Previsione AI Bristol Rovers o pareggio

30%

29%

41%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers: Sportiko assegna a Crawley Town una probabilità di vittoria del 30%, a Bristol Rovers del 41% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Aug 2026, 15:56.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 23'

Tom James

▮ 29'

T. Leigh Yellow Card

Louie Watson Yellow Card

31' ▮

⚽ 0–2 41'

Bobby Kamwa assist: Kofi Balmer

▮ 43'

Kofi Balmer Yellow Card

45' ⇄

HT 0–2

Klaudio Krasniqi Yellow Card

48' ▮

Ade Adeyemo

57' ⇄

Klaudio Krasniqi ⇄ Danilo Orsi-Dadomo

57' ⇄

▮ 68'

Tom James Yellow Card

⇄ Lewis Richards

80' ⇄

Johnny Russell ⇄ Gianmarco Di Biase

80' ⇄

▮ 81'

Riley Harbottle Yellow Card

Yellow Card

89' ▮

⇄ 90+1'

Fabrizio Cavegn ⇄ Ellis Harrison

⇄ 90+4'

T. Leigh ⇄ Jack Aitchison

FT 0–2

Crawley Town

Match Stats

Bristol Rovers

59% Ball Possession 41%

8 Total Shots 27

1 Shots on Goal 5

5 Shots off Goal 9

2 Blocked Shots 13

4 Shots insidebox 18

4 Shots outsidebox 9

2 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 5

6 Fouls 16

3 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 0

419 Total passes 266

322 Passes accurate 169

16 Free Kicks 6

Crawley Town

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Johnny Russell D	6.6	80'	–	–	2	15 (13%)	1
6 Priestley Farquharson D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	63 (48%)	3
9 Danilo Orsi-Dadomo F	6.4	33'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
14 Gianmarco Di Biase F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
11 Pemi Aderoju F	6.3	90'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	2
5 Charlie Barker D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	76 (62%)	1
13 Nicholas Michalski G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	51 (37%)	–
8 Louie Watson F	6.1	90'	–	–	–	28 (23%)	–
25 Klaudio Krasniqi M	6.1	57'	–	–	2	33 (27%)	1
12 Lewis Richards D	6.1	10'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
20 Jude Arthurs M	5.9	90'	–	–	1	65 (53%)	1
22 Ade Adeyemo M	5.8	57'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	1

Bristol Rovers

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Bobby Kamwa M	8.2	90'	1	–	3	17 (14%)	1
21 Richard Smallwood M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	27 (22%)	6
2 Tom James D	7.2	90'	1	–	1	33 (20%)	1
14 Ben Purrington D	7.1	90'	–	–	1	19 (11%)	3
26 Riley Harbottle D	7.1	90'	–	–	2	12 (8%)	1
4 Kofi Balmer D	6.9	90'	–	1	1	24 (15%)	2
11 Jack Aitchison M	6.8	1'	–	–	–	–	–
19 Ellis Harrison F	6.7	1'	–	–	1	–	–
29 Fabrizio Cavegn F	6.5	89'	–	–	3	13 (12%)	–
1 Brad Young G	6.4	90'	–	–	–	18 (5%)	–
7 Shaqai Forde M	6.4	90'	–	–	5	32 (20%)	3
6 Clinton Mola M	6.3	90'	–	–	5	35 (22%)	4
24 T. Leigh M	6.2	89'	–	–	4	36 (20%)	1

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Bristol Rovers o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 15%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Crawley Town

LLLLD

Bristol Rovers

LLWWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

41%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bristol Rovers goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	10	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Crawley Town goals · most likely 1–1 (15.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 32% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.9%	10.4%	7.2%	2.9%	0.9%
1	9.4%	15.0%	7.9%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.1%	7.3%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%
3	2.3%	2.7%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Crawley Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town	17.2%	4.5%	2.1%
Draw	14.1%	21.5%	16.9%
Bristol Rovers	1.6%	3.9%	18.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Crawley Town — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Milton Keynes Dons	L	4 - 1
19 Sep	A Grimsby	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cheltenham	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Accrington ST	L	3 - 2
01 Sep	A Northampton	D	1 - 1

Bristol Rovers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Gillingham	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Grimsby	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Rotherham	W	1 - 0
01 Sep	H Colchester	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A Crawley Town	W	0 - 2

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17	10	+7	15
2	Walsall	7	3	4	0	10	4	+6	13
3	Grimsby	7	3	4	0	11	6	+5	13
4	Gillingham	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cheltenham	7	3	3	1	14	11	+3	12
6	Bristol Rovers	7	4	0	3	12	11	+1	12
7	York	7	3	2	2	13	10	+3	11
8	Chesterfield	7	3	2	2	10	8	+2	11
9	Crewe	7	2	5	0	7	5	+2	11
10	Tranmere	7	2	4	1	9	7	+2	10
11	Fleetwood Town	7	2	4	1	8	7	+1	10
12	Salford City	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
13	Swindon Town	7	3	1	3	8	11	-3	10
14	Rotherham	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
15	Colchester	7	2	3	2	8	10	-2	9
16	Oldham	7	2	1	4	8	9	-1	7
17	Rochdale	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3	7
18	Shrewsbury	7	2	1	4	5	11	-6	7
19	Newport County	7	1	3	3	10	11	-1	6
20	Exeter City	7	1	3	3	4	5	-1	6
21	Accrington ST	7	1	3	3	10	13	-3	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3	6	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3	9	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4