Crewe vs Northampton Previsione

League Two · Regular Season - 2

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Crewe

Home

1 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Northampton

Away

Previsione AI Crewe o pareggio

50%

27%

23%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Crewe vs Northampton: Sportiko assegna a Crewe una probabilità di vittoria del 50%, a Northampton del 23% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 22 Aug 2026, 15:59.

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Timeline

Josh March Yellow Card

37' ▮

HT 0–0

Josh March

54' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 66'

Logan Briggs ⇄ Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh

⇄ 67'

Harvey Saunders ⇄ Elliot List

Jack Lankester ⇄ Charlie McNeill

75' ⇄

Joel Tabiner

75' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Matty Warhurst ⇄ Sam Hoskins

▮ 87'

Lee Evans Yellow Card

Jordan Gibson ⇄ Adrien Thibaut

90' ⇄

FT 1–0

Crewe

Match Stats

Northampton

54% Ball Possession 46%

Expected Goals (xG)

6 Total Shots 5

3 Shots on Goal 2

2 Shots off Goal 3

1 Blocked Shots 0

3 Shots insidebox 4

3 Shots outsidebox 1

6 Corner Kicks 0

1 Offsides 0

13 Fouls 9

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

383 Total passes 328

317 Passes accurate 271

83% Passes % 83%

goals_prevented

Crewe

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Matúš Holíček M	7.3	69'	–	–	–	40 (37%)	6
9 Josh March F	7.3	69'	1	–	1	12 (6%)	–
1 Tom Booth G	7.0	69'	–	–	–	34 (28%)	–
12 Joshua Stephenson D	6.9	69'	–	–	–	74 (64%)	–
3 Reece Hutchinson D	6.9	69'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	3
11 Joel Tabiner M	6.9	69'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	1
2 Lewis Billington D	6.5	69'	–	–	1	41 (31%)	–
6 Luke Offord D	6.3	69'	–	–	–	81 (69%)	1
14 Jordan Gibson M	6.3	69'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	1
7 Jack Lankester M	6.3	69'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	–
20 Calum Agius M	6.0	69'	–	–	3	15 (11%)	–

Northampton

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Tyrese Fornah M	7.2	69'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	4
44 Janoi Donacien D	6.9	69'	–	–	–	42 (32%)	4
8 Lee Evans M	6.7	69'	–	–	–	42 (35%)	1
6 Elliott Moore D	6.6	69'	–	–	–	48 (47%)	–
5 Jon Guthrie D	6.6	69'	–	–	–	45 (40%)	3
3 James Maxwell D	6.6	69'	–	–	1	32 (25%)	–
24 Connor Lemonheigh-Evans F	6.6	69'	–	–	1	17 (15%)	3
9 Matty Warhurst F	6.6	69'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	1
20 Logan Briggs M	6.5	66'	–	–	2	17 (13%)	1
32 Harvey Saunders M	6.3	67'	–	–	1	6	–
1 Zach Jeacock G	6.2	69'	–	–	–	28 (20%)	–
10 Elliot List F	—	2'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
4 Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh M	—	3'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Crewe o pareggio

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Crewe

WDDDD

Northampton

LLWDD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

50%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

23%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Northampton goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	5	2	1
1	14	12	4	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Crewe goals · most likely 1–0 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Crewe

J. March 3 gls

Northampton

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

81% Home (No Draw) 19% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.9%	5.1%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
1	14.5%	12.4%	3.8%	0.9%	0.2%
2	13.3%	9.2%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
3	7.4%	5.1%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.1%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Crewe	Draw	Northampton
Crewe	40.5%	3.8%	0.8%
Draw	18.6%	18.1%	6.3%
Northampton	1.6%	3.0%	7.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Crewe vs Northampton

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Crewe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Aston Villa U21	W	4 - 1
19 Sep	H Shrewsbury	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Colchester	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H York	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	H Walsall	D	2 - 2

Northampton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rotherham	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Shrewsbury	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Newport County	W	1 - 0
01 Sep	H Crawley Town	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Gillingham	D	1 - 1

League Two Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17	10	+7	15
2	Walsall	7	3	4	0	10	4	+6	13
3	Grimsby	7	3	4	0	11	6	+5	13
4	Gillingham	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cheltenham	7	3	3	1	14	11	+3	12
6	Bristol Rovers	7	4	0	3	12	11	+1	12
7	York	7	3	2	2	13	10	+3	11
8	Chesterfield	7	3	2	2	10	8	+2	11
9	Crewe	7	2	5	0	7	5	+2	11
10	Tranmere	7	2	4	1	9	7	+2	10
11	Fleetwood Town	7	2	4	1	8	7	+1	10
12	Salford City	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
13	Swindon Town	7	3	1	3	8	11	-3	10
14	Rotherham	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
15	Colchester	7	2	3	2	8	10	-2	9
16	Oldham	7	2	1	4	8	9	-1	7
17	Rochdale	7	2	1	4	7	10	-3	7
18	Shrewsbury	7	2	1	4	5	11	-6	7
19	Newport County	7	1	3	3	10	11	-1	6
20	Exeter City	7	1	3	3	4	5	-1	6
21	Accrington ST	7	1	3	3	10	13	-3	6
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3	6	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3	9	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4

Northampton

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Chris Hogg

1 Jeacock

3 Maxwell

5 Guthrie

6 Moore

44 Donacien

20 Briggs

14 Fornah

8 Evans

32 Saunders

9 Warhurst

24 Lemonheigh-Evans

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Zach Jeacock	G
44	Janoi Donacien	D
6	Elliott Moore	D
5	Jon Guthrie	D
3	James Maxwell	D
32	Harvey Saunders	M
8	Lee Evans	M
14	Tyrese Fornah	M
20	Logan Briggs	M
24	Connor Lemonheigh-Evans	F
9	Matty Warhurst	F

Substitutes

34	Ross Fitzsimons	G
35	Max Dyche	D
16	Joe Wormleighton	D
4	Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh	M
21	Jack Perkins	M
7	Sam Hoskins	F
10	Elliot List	F

Crewe

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Lee Bell

1 Booth

3 Hutchinson

12 Stephenson

6 Offord

2 Billington

11 Tabiner

17 Holíček

14 Gibson

20 Agius

7 Lankester

9 March

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Tom Booth	G
2	Lewis Billington	D
6	Luke Offord	D
12	Joshua Stephenson	D
3	Reece Hutchinson	D
17	Matúš Holíček	M
11	Joel Tabiner	M
7	Jack Lankester	M
20	Calum Agius	M
14	Jordan Gibson	M
9	Josh March	F

Substitutes

22	Phil Croker	D
30	Stan Dancey	D
4	Kyle Ure	M
32	Luca Moore	M
23	Charlie McNeill	F
29	Adrien Thibaut	F
31	Luke Thomas	G