Notts County vs Burton Albion Previsione

League One · Regular Season - 3

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Notts County

Home

2 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Burton Albion

Away

Previsione AI Notts County o pareggio

37%

29%

34%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Notts County vs Burton Albion: Sportiko assegna a Notts County una probabilità di vittoria del 37%, a Burton Albion del 34% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Aug 2026, 15:56.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Ospite a Segno 73%
Oltre 1.5 Gol 73%
1st Half Home or Draw 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 22'

Finn Delap assist: Jack Armer

▮ 34'

Curtis Tilt Yellow Card

R. Finneran Yellow Card

36' ▮

Jack Evans ⇄ L. Smyth

45' ⇄

HT 0–1

▮ 51'

Jack Armer Yellow Card

▮ 52'

Sulyman Krubally Yellow Card

⇄ 62'

Sulyman Krubally ⇄ Will Collar

⇄ 62'

Zac Scutt ⇄ T. Shade

▮ 65'

George Evans Yellow Card

Darius Lipsiuc ⇄ Qamaruddin Kouhyar

66' ⇄

Callum Roberts ⇄ Conor Grant

66' ⇄

L. Smyth assist: Nick Tsaroulla

78' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 83'

Curtis Tilt Red Card

L. Smyth Penalty

84' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 87'

George Evans

Nick Tsaroulla ⇄ Ishé Samuels-Smith

90' ⇄

FT 2–1

Notts County

Match Stats

Burton Albion

60% Ball Possession 40%

20 Total Shots 2

8 Shots on Goal 1

9 Shots off Goal 0

3 Blocked Shots 1

16 Shots insidebox 1

4 Shots outsidebox 1

7 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 2

13 Fouls 22

1 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 1

0 Goalkeeper Saves 6

485 Total passes 326

388 Passes accurate 227

22 Free Kicks 13

Notts County

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 L. Smyth F	8.2	44'	2	–	5	8 (5%)	–
25 Nick Tsaroulla M	7.7	90'	–	1	1	37 (30%)	2
15 Jack Evans M	6.8	46'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	1
12 Lucas Ness D	6.7	90'	–	–	2	85 (74%)	–
4 Jacob Bedeau D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	65 (56%)	–
27 R. Finneran M	6.6	90'	–	–	2	42 (36%)	3
2 James Gibbons D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	62 (47%)	2
14 Darius Lipsiuc M	6.5	66'	–	–	2	19 (12%)	1
8 Oliver Cooper F	6.4	90'	–	–	1	24 (21%)	6
7 Callum Roberts M	6.4	66'	–	–	2	16 (11%)	–
11 Conor Grant M	6.3	24'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	1
42 Hindolo Mustapha M	6.2	90'	–	–	3	24 (18%)	1
1 James Belshaw G	6.1	90'	–	–	–	42 (29%)	–
17 Qamaruddin Kouhyar M	6.1	24'	–	–	1	17 (15%)	–

Burton Albion

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
26 Finn Delap D	7.0	90'	1	–	1	53 (36%)	2
3 Jack Armer M	6.7	90'	–	1	–	23 (17%)	2
34 Corey Addai G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	48 (22%)	–
6 Toby Sibbick D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	29 (19%)	2
4 Kgagelo Chauke M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	1
40 Zac Scutt F	6.1	62'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
12 George Evans M	6.0	87'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	1
10 T. Shade F	5.9	28'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
14 Will Collar M	5.8	28'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
15 Kyran Lofthouse M	5.7	90'	–	–	–	25 (14%)	1
41 Sulyman Krubally M	5.7	62'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	–
8 Charlie Webster M	5.6	90'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	1
16 Curtis Tilt D	5.1	83'	–	–	–	35 (27%)	1

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Notts County o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Notts County

WLLDD

Burton Albion

DDLDW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

34%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Burton Albion goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	9	7	3	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	6	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Notts County goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Notts County

O. Cooper 3 gls

Burton Albion

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

34%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

34%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	9.4%	7.4%	3.3%	1.1%
1	8.0%	14.5%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%
2	5.6%	7.5%	5.0%	2.2%	0.7%
3	2.2%	2.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Notts County	Draw	Burton Albion
Notts County	17.0%	4.3%	2.1%
Draw	13.0%	19.5%	15.5%
Burton Albion	1.8%	4.4%	22.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Notts County vs Burton Albion

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Notts County — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Grimsby	W	2 - 1
19 Sep	A Reading	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Bradford	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Huddersfield	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Doncaster	D	1 - 1

Burton Albion — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Nottingham Forest U21	D	1 - 1
19 Sep	H Mansfield Town	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Oxford United	L	3 - 0
05 Sep	H Cambridge United	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H AFC Wimbledon	W	4 - 1

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	7	5	0	2	7	4	+3	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday	7	4	2	1	13	6	+7	14
3	Plymouth	7	4	1	2	14	10	+4	13
4	Huddersfield	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cambridge United	7	3	3	1	12	10	+2	12
6	Oxford United	6	3	2	1	13	7	+6	11
7	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
8	Reading	6	3	1	2	14	7	+7	10
9	Stockport County	7	3	1	3	16	10	+6	10
10	Leyton Orient	7	3	1	3	13	9	+4	10
11	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11	8	+3	9
12	Burton Albion	7	2	3	2	12	12	0	9
13	Leicester	7	2	3	2	9	11	-2	9
14	Wycombe	7	2	3	2	11	14	-3	9
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	13	13	0	8
16	Luton	7	2	2	3	12	14	-2	8
17	Mansfield Town	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7	12	-5	8
19	Bromley	7	2	2	3	8	18	-10	8
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	8	9	-1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
23	Peterborough	7	1	2	4	4	12	-8	5
24	Wigan	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7	4