Birmingham vs Millwall Previsione

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 14
FT
Post on X
St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Previsione AI Birmingham o pareggio
47%
27%
25%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Birmingham vs Millwall: Sportiko assegna a Birmingham una probabilità di vittoria del 47%, a Millwall del 25% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 3 Nov 2026, 21:53.

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  • Casa o Pareggio 75%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline

Alex Cochrane
1' ⚽ 1–0
Max Bird assist: Jhon Solís
16' ⚽ 2–0
Jay Stansfield assist: Max Bird
29' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 45'
Mihailo Ivanović ⇄ Mark Sykes
⇄ 45'
Zak Sturge ⇄ Daniel Kelly
HT 3–0
▮ 55'
Jordi Osei-Tutu Yellow Card
Alex Cochrane Yellow Card
56' ▮
⇄ 71'
Lyndon Dykes ⇄ Josh Coburn
⇄ 71'
Kyrell Lisbie ⇄ Romain Esse
Liam Millar ⇄ Demarai Gray
73' ⇄
Ethan Laird ⇄ Bright Osayi-Samuel
73' ⇄
Patrick Roberts ⇄ Carlos Vicente
73' ⇄
Max Bird ⇄ T. Gardner-Hickman
80' ⇄
Jay Stansfield ⇄ Luis Vázquez
86' ⇄
⇄ 86'
Derek Mazou-Sacko ⇄ Yanis Issoufou
FT 3–0
Birmingham

Match Stats

Millwall
55% Ball Possession 45%
1.23 Expected Goals (xG) 0.93
19 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 8
7 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 13
10 Shots outsidebox 2
6 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
479 Total passes 379
374 Passes accurate 278
9 Free Kicks 12
Birmingham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Max Bird F 8.5 80' 1 1 2 26 (19%) –
28 Jay Stansfield M 8.2 86' 1 – 5 11 (7%) 1
14 Jhon Solís M 7.7 90' – 1 3 65 (60%) 1
4 Christoph Klarer D 7.6 90' – – – 65 (48%) 1
20 Alex Cochrane D 7.5 90' 1 – 1 45 (35%) –
5 Phil Neumann D 7.4 90' – – 2 46 (37%) 3
26 Bright Osayi-Samuel D 7.2 17' – – – 12 (11%) 2
2 Ethan Laird D 7.2 73' – – 1 29 (24%) –
19 T. Gardner-Hickman M 6.9 10' – – – 5 (5%) –
10 Demarai Gray F 6.8 17' – – – 7 (7%) –
16 Patrick Roberts M 6.7 73' – – 2 39 (32%) –
24 Tomoki Iwata M 6.6 90' – – 1 44 (37%) 1
7 Carlos Vicente F 6.6 17' – – 1 11 (10%) 2
32 Luis Vázquez F 6.5 4' – – – 2 (1%) –
17 Liam Millar M 6.4 73' – – 1 29 (21%) –
21 Ryan Allsop G 6.4 90' – – – 43 (20%) –
Millwall
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Camiel Neghli M 7.2 90' – – 1 53 (49%) –
5 Jake Cooper D 6.6 90' – – 2 49 (36%) –
9 Mihailo Ivanović F 6.6 46' – – 2 6 (1%) –
19 Josh Coburn F 6.5 19' – – – 3 (3%) –
13 Lyndon Dykes F 6.4 71' – – 2 18 (7%) –
15 Max Crocombe G 6.4 90' – – – 28 (8%) –
49 Derek Mazou-Sacko M 6.3 86' – – 1 38 (34%) 1
35 Yanis Issoufou F 6.3 4' – – – – –
6 Caleb Taylor D 6.1 90' – – 1 43 (33%) 2
3 Zak Sturge D 6.0 46' – – – 18 (14%) 1
11 Romain Esse M 5.9 19' – – 2 3 (3%) –
16 Daniel Kelly M 5.9 44' – – 2 17 (13%) 1
17 Mark Sykes M 5.8 44' – – – 16 (11%) 3
22 Kyrell Lisbie M 5.7 71' – – 1 9 (6%) 1
2 Jordi Osei-Tutu D 5.6 90' – – 1 35 (27%) 1
25 Luke Cundle M 5.5 90' – – – 43 (33%) 1
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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Birmingham o pareggio
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Birmingham
WWWLW
Millwall
LLWLD
Last 1 meetings Birmingham · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Birmingham leads 3-0. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 3-0. Birmingham leads. Win probability: 99%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.2%.

30' Goal 85% sure

Birmingham now leads 3-0 with 98.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 83.1%.

16' Goal 85% sure

Birmingham now leads 2-0 with 90.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 88.5%.

2' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Birmingham win: 75%. BTTS: 67.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
25%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Birmingham
A. Priske 6 gls
L. Millar 4 gls
Millwall

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Birmingham vs Millwall

0 Birmingham Wins
0 Draws
1 Millwall Wins
Date Home Score Away
25 Feb 2026 Millwall 3 - 0 Birmingham

Birmingham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Swansea W 2 - 1
03 Nov H Millwall W 3 - 0
31 Oct A Lincoln W 1 - 3
24 Oct A Cardiff L 1 - 0
17 Oct H QPR W 3 - 0

Millwall — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A West Brom L 3 - 0
03 Nov A Birmingham L 3 - 0
31 Oct H Derby W 4 - 1
24 Oct A Portsmouth L 2 - 1
17 Oct H Lincoln D 2 - 2

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Birmingham
15 8 5 2 +14 29
2
Middlesbrough
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Stoke City
15 9 2 4 +6 29
4
Wolves
15 8 4 3 +8 28
5
West Brom
15 8 4 3 +8 28
6
Swansea
15 8 2 5 +4 26
7
Southampton
15 8 4 3 +14 24
8
QPR
15 6 6 3 +6 24
9
West Ham
15 6 5 4 +14 23
10
Sheffield Utd
15 6 4 5 +2 22
11
Portsmouth
15 6 4 5 +2 22
12
Norwich
15 7 0 8 +8 21
13
Blackburn
15 6 3 6 -1 21
14
Cardiff
15 4 6 5 0 18
15
Wrexham
15 4 6 5 -2 18
16
Millwall
15 5 3 7 -4 18
17
Bristol City
15 5 3 7 -8 18
18
Bolton
15 5 2 8 -9 17
19
Charlton
15 4 5 6 -10 17
20
Watford
15 4 3 8 -10 15
21
Lincoln
15 4 3 8 -11 15
22
Burnley
15 1 7 7 -9 10
23
Derby
15 2 4 9 -16 10
24
Preston
15 2 2 11 -17 8

Birmingham

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: C. Davies
21 Allsop
20 Cochrane
4 Klarer
5 Neumann
2 Laird
14 Solis
24 Iwata
17 Millar
28 Stansfield
16 Roberts
18 Bird

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 R. Allsop G
2 E. Laird D
5 P. Neumann D
4 C. Klarer D
20 A. Cochrane D
24 T. Iwata M
14 J. Solis M
16 P. Roberts M
28 J. Stansfield M
17 L. Millar M
18 M. Bird F

Substitutes

3 L. Buchanan D
33 M. Ducksch F
19 T. Gardner-Hickman M
10 D. Gray F
30 Bradley Mayo G
26 B. Osayi-Samuel D
32 L. Vázquez F
7 Carlos Vicente F
11 S. Wright F

Millwall

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: A. Neil
15 Crocombe
3 Sturge
5 Cooper
6 Taylor
2 Osei-Tutu
25 Cundle
49 Mazou-Sacko
10 Neghli
22 Lisbie
9 Ivanović
13 Dykes

Starting XI

# Player Pos
15 M. Crocombe G
2 J. Osei-Tutu D
6 C. Taylor D
5 J. Cooper D
3 Zak Norton Sturge D
22 K. Lisbie M
10 C. Neghli M
49 D. Mazou-Sacko M
25 L. Cundle M
13 L. Dykes F
9 M. Ivanović F

Substitutes

7 T. Arconte F
12 E. Baggott D
23 D. Batth D
19 J. Coburn F
11 R. Esse M
35 Y. Issoufou F
16 D. Kelly M
17 M. Sykes M
41 G. Evans G

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