Derby vs Stoke City Previsione
FT
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Previsione AI
Stoke City o pareggio
29%
28%
42%
Vittoria Casa
Pareggio
Vittoria Ospite
Pronostico Derby vs Stoke City: Sportiko assegna a Derby una probabilità di vittoria del 29%, a Stoke City del 42% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 17 Oct 2026, 15:56.
Pronostici Premium
Premium- Oltre 1.5 Gol 75%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Gli utenti Premium avevano questi pronostici prima del calcio d'inizio.
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Timeline
⇄
38'
Eric Bocat
⇄ Luca Bombino
⇄
45'
Jack McGlynn
⇄ George Hirst
HT 0–0
⚽
0–1
49'
Luke Graham
assist: Ethan Galbraith
Lewis Travis
⇄ Rhian Brewster
52'
⇄
⇄
68'
B. Lawal
⇄ Maksym Talovierov
⇄
68'
Lamine Cissé
⇄ Róbert Boženík
Mohammed Fuseini
⇄ Henrik Wendel Meister
73'
⇄
D. Ozoh
Yellow Card
76'
▮
Bobby Clark
⇄ Corey Blackett-Taylor
87'
⇄
Ryan Hedges
⇄ Filip Bilbija
87'
⇄
Sammie Szmodics
⇄ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
87'
⇄
⇄
87'
Justin Devenny
⇄ J. Tchamadeu
FT 0–1
Derby
Match Stats
Stoke City
53%
Ball Possession
47%
0.97
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
17
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
5
10
Blocked Shots
3
14
Shots insidebox
3
3
Shots outsidebox
9
7
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
366
Total passes
324
295
Passes accurate
245
9
Free Kicks
12
Derby
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Joe Ward D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | 3 |
| 9 Carlton Morris F | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (15%) | 1 |
| 28 Dion Sanderson D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (44%) | 2 |
| 31 Josh Vickers G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (19%) | – |
| 4 D. Ozoh M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 23 (23%) | 5 |
| 27 Lewis Travis M | 6.6 | 52' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | 1 |
| 24 Ryan Nyambe D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | – |
| 8 Bobby Clark M | 6.5 | 87' | – | – | 3 | 32 (27%) | 3 |
| 10 Rhian Brewster F | 6.5 | 38' | – | – | 2 | 13 (8%) | 1 |
| 11 Sammie Szmodics M | 6.4 | 87' | – | – | 3 | 21 (14%) | 1 |
| 13 Filip Bilbija M | 6.4 | 3' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 16 Mohammed Fuseini M | 6.4 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 6 (3%) | 1 |
| 26 Ryan Hedges D | 6.4 | 87' | – | – | – | 40 (29%) | 2 |
| 15 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F | 6.2 | 3' | – | – | 1 | – | 1 |
| 19 Henrik Wendel Meister F | 6.1 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 33 Corey Blackett-Taylor F | 5.9 | 3' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
Stoke City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Luke Graham D | 8.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 33 (30%) | 2 |
| 21 Luca Bombino D | 7.5 | 52' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 8 |
| 8 Ethan Galbraith M | 7.4 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 45 (38%) | 2 |
| 18 B. Lawal D | 7.2 | 68' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | 2 |
| 40 Maksym Talovierov D | 7.1 | 22' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 2 Ben Johnson M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 7 Jack McGlynn F | 7.0 | 46' | – | – | 2 | 16 (14%) | 1 |
| 1 Viktor Johansson G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (6%) | – |
| 16 Ben Wilmot D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (24%) | 1 |
| 17 Eric Bocat M | 6.8 | 38' | – | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 15 George Hirst F | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 8 (4%) | 1 |
| 27 Djibril Soumaré M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (24%) | 5 |
| 22 J. Tchamadeu D | 6.6 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 9 Róbert Boženík F | 6.4 | 22' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 11 Lamine Cissé F | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 13 Justin Devenny F | 6.3 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 27 (20%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Il nostro approccio
Stoke City o pareggio
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Derby
WLLDL
Stoke City
WWWDW
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
29%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
42%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Derby
No scorer data.
Stoke City
J. McGlynn
4 gls
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Derby vs Stoke City
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Derby — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Bolton | W | 3 - 1 |
| 03 Nov | H Norwich | L | 0 - 4 |
| 31 Oct | A Millwall | L | 4 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Sheffield Utd | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Stoke City | L | 0 - 1 |
Stoke City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Portsmouth | W | 1 - 2 |
| 03 Nov | A Blackburn | W | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Preston | W | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Bristol City | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Derby | W | 0 - 1 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Stoke City
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |
Swansea
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |
QPR
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Utd
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Portsmouth
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |
Blackburn
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Wrexham
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |
Millwall
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |
Bristol City
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Bolton
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Charlton
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |
Lincoln
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |
Preston
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Derby
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Eustace
31
Vickers
26
Hedges
28
Sanderson
24
Nyambe
23
Ward
27
Travis
4
Ozoh
11
Szmodics
8
Clark
16
Fuseini
9
Morris
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | J. Vickers | G |
| 23 | J. Ward | D |
| 24 | R. Nyambe | D |
| 28 | D. Sanderson | D |
| 26 | R. Hedges | D |
| 4 | D. Ozoh | M |
| 27 | L. Travis | M |
| 16 | M. Fuseini | M |
| 8 | B. Clark | M |
| 11 | S. Szmodics | M |
| 9 | C. Morris | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | F. Bilbija | M |
| 33 | C. Blackett-Taylor | F |
| 10 | R. Brewster | F |
| 29 | O. Fraulo | M |
| 19 | H. Meister | F |
| 12 | R. O'Donnell | G |
| 15 | L. Salvesen | F |
| 42 | Raymond Offor | D |
| 43 | I. Gordon | D |
Stoke City
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: M. Robins
1
Johansson
5
Graham
16
Wilmot
18
Lawal
17
Bocat
8
Galbraith
27
Soumaré
2
Johnson
13
Devenny
11
Cissé
7
McGlynn
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Johansson | G |
| 18 | B. Lawal | D |
| 16 | B. Wilmot | D |
| 5 | L. Graham | D |
| 2 | B. Johnson | M |
| 27 | El Hadji Djibril Soumaré | M |
| 8 | E. Galbraith | M |
| 17 | E. Bocat | M |
| 7 | J. McGlynn | F |
| 11 | L. Cissé | F |
| 13 | J. Devenny | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | G. Hirst | F |
| 42 | M. Manhoef | F |
| 4 | B. Pearson | M |
| 40 | M. Talovierov | D |
| 22 | J. Tchamadeu | D |
| 9 | R. Boženík | F |
| 24 | J. Griffiths | G |
| 21 | L. Bombino | D |
| 10 | Bae Jun-Ho | M |