Derby vs Swansea Previsione
FT
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Previsione AI
Derby o pareggio
39%
31%
30%
Vittoria Casa
Pareggio
Vittoria Ospite
Pronostico Derby vs Swansea: Sportiko assegna a Derby una probabilità di vittoria del 39%, a Swansea del 30% e al pareggio del 31%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Aug 2026, 13:25.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
2'
Joseph Okopu
assist: Ji-sung Eom
⇄
24'
Joseph Okopu
⇄ Moussa Kounfolo Yeo
⚽
0–2
44'
Ji-sung Eom
Max Johnston
⇄ Joe Ward
45'
⇄
Corey Blackett-Taylor
⇄ Sammie Szmodics
45'
⇄
Ryan Hedges
⇄ Rhian Brewster
45'
⇄
HT 0–2
⇄
65'
Adam Idah
⇄ Žan Vipotnik
⇄
65'
Melker Widell
⇄ Elijah Just
⇄
65'
Jay Fulton
⇄ Stephen Eustaquio
Sondre Langås
Yellow Card
69'
▮
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
⇄ Filip Bilbija
69'
⇄
▮
73'
Marko Stamenić
Yellow Card
Alex Mowatt
78'
⇄
Dion Sanderson
Yellow Card
79'
▮
Lewis Travis
Yellow Card
81'
▮
▮
84'
Elijah Just
Yellow Card
⇄
85'
Ji-sung Eom
⇄ Ronald
⚽
0–3
90+1'
Ronald
assist: Stephen Eustaquio
FT 0–3
Derby
Match Stats
Swansea
47%
Ball Possession
53%
8
Total Shots
23
0
Shots on Goal
12
2
Shots off Goal
5
6
Blocked Shots
6
5
Shots insidebox
15
3
Shots outsidebox
8
5
Corner Kicks
6
5
Offsides
4
16
Fouls
7
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
9
Goalkeeper Saves
0
405
Total passes
475
309
Passes accurate
394
7
Free Kicks
16
Derby
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jacob Widell Zetterström G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (14%) | – |
| 20 Alex Mowatt M | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | – | 52 (48%) | 6 |
| 15 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F | 6.4 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 13 (8%) | – |
| 10 Rhian Brewster F | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 11 Sammie Szmodics F | 6.3 | 44' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 1 |
| 18 Charlie Taylor D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (38%) | 1 |
| 28 Dion Sanderson D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (44%) | – |
| 26 Ryan Hedges M | 5.8 | 46' | – | – | – | 11 (6%) | 2 |
| 27 Lewis Travis M | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (43%) | 4 |
| 6 Sondre Langås D | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (39%) | – |
| 8 Bobby Clark M | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (16%) | 3 |
| 23 Joe Ward M | 5.4 | 44' | – | – | – | 28 (19%) | – |
| 13 Filip Bilbija M | 5.4 | 21' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 22 Max Johnston D | 5.2 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 22 (14%) | – |
| 33 Corey Blackett-Taylor M | 5.1 | 46' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
Swansea
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Ji-sung Eom F | 8.7 | 85' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 (22%) | 1 |
| 2 Josh Key D | 8.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (33%) | 6 |
| 23 Stephen Welsh D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 57 (50%) | 1 |
| 26 Filip Lissah D | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (46%) | 1 |
| 30 Joseph Okopu F | 7.8 | 24' | 1 | – | 2 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 46 Stephen Eustaquio M | 7.7 | 25' | – | 1 | – | 26 (24%) | 1 |
| 35 Ronald F | 7.5 | 5' | 1 | – | 2 | 8 (8%) | 1 |
| 49 Moussa Kounfolo Yeo M | 7.2 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 23 (19%) | 3 |
| 9 Žan Vipotnik F | 7.0 | 25' | – | – | 4 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 14 Josh Tymon D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (33%) | 1 |
| 6 Marko Stamenić M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (47%) | 1 |
| 4 Jay Fulton M | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | – | 44 (37%) | 5 |
| 8 Elijah Just F | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | 2 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 7 Melker Widell M | 6.6 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 17 (13%) | 3 |
| 33 Adam Idah F | 6.4 | 65' | – | – | 4 | 15 (14%) | – |
| 22 Lawrence Vigouroux G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (23%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (39%)
At a glance
Il nostro approccio
Derby o pareggio
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Derby
DLLLW
Swansea
WWLDW
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
30%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Derby
No scorer data.
Swansea
A. Idah
3 gls
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Derby vs Swansea
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Derby — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Burnley | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Birmingham | L | 1 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | H West Brom | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A West Ham | L | 3 - 0 |
| 01 Sep | A Portsmouth | W | 0 - 2 |
Swansea — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Lincoln | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Burnley | W | 3 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A Southampton | L | 3 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Wrexham | D | 0 - 0 |
| 01 Sep | H Watford | W | 2 - 0 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |
West Ham
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
QPR
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Stoke City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Charlton
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Birmingham
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Millwall
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |
Lincoln
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Wrexham
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Bolton
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |
Norwich
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Utd
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |
Derby
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |
Preston
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |
Burnley
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
Derby
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: David Pagou
1
Zetterström
18
Taylor
28
Sanderson
6
Langås
22
Johnston
27
Travis
20
Mowatt
33
Blackett-Taylor
8
Clark
26
Hedges
15
Salvesen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Widell Zetterström | G |
| 22 | M. Johnston | D |
| 6 | S. Langås | D |
| 28 | D. Sanderson | D |
| 18 | C. Taylor | D |
| 20 | A. Mowatt | M |
| 27 | L. Travis | M |
| 26 | R. Hedges | M |
| 8 | B. Clark | M |
| 33 | C. Blackett-Taylor | M |
| 15 | L. Salvesen | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | J. Ward | M |
| 31 | J. Vickers | G |
| 11 | S. Szmodics | F |
| 24 | R. Nyambe | D |
| 29 | O. Fraulo | M |
| 3 | C. Forsyth | D |
| 10 | R. Brewster | F |
| 13 | F. Bilbija | M |
Swansea
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: David Pagou
22
Vigouroux
14
Tymon
23
Welsh
26
Lissah
2
Key
6
Stamenić
4
Fulton
7
Widell
10
Ji-Sung
33
Idah
30
Okopu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | L. Vigouroux | G |
| 2 | J. Key | D |
| 26 | F. Lissah | D |
| 23 | S. Welsh | D |
| 14 | J. Tymon | D |
| 7 | M. Widell | M |
| 4 | J. Fulton | M |
| 6 | M. Stamenić | M |
| 30 | Joseph Okopu | F |
| 33 | A. Idah | F |
| 10 | Eom Ji-Sung | F |
Substitutes
| 49 | M. Yeo | M |
| 9 | Z. Vipotnik | F |
| 3 | J. Seelt | D |
| 35 | Ronald | F |
| 20 | Tiago Parente | D |
| 8 | E. Just | F |
| 1 | A. Fisher | G |
| 46 | S. Eustáquio | M |