Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas Previsione

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 16
FT
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Previsione AI Guadalajara Chivas o pareggio
28%
27%
45%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas: Sportiko assegna a Leon una probabilità di vittoria del 28%, a Guadalajara Chivas del 45% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 9 Nov 2026, 21:00.

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Timeline

▮ 18'
Richard Ledezma Yellow Card
🖵 20'
Richard Ledezma Card upgrade cancelled
Juan Guevara Yellow Card
23' ▮
HT 0–0
Diber Cambindo Yellow Card
51' ▮
José Rodríguez Red Card
53' ▮
Fernando Beltrán ⇄ Jesús Lara
58' ⇄
⇄ 60'
Richard Ledezma ⇄ Ricardo Marín
⇄ 60'
Omar Govea ⇄ Brian Gutiérrez
Diber Cambindo ⇄ Paul Bellón
67' ⇄
Sebastián Vegas ⇄ C. Mora
67' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 69'
Ricardo Marín assist: Daniel Aguirre
Iván Moreno ⇄ Edgar Guerra
75' ⇄
Juan Guevara ⇄ Ismael Díaz
75' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Efrain Alvarez ⇄ Jordan Carrillo
⇄ 84'
Daniel Aguirre ⇄ José Castillo
⇄ 84'
Fernando González ⇄ Luis Gabriel Rey
Paul Bellón assist: Jhohan Romaña
87' ⚽ 1–1
FT 1–1
Leon

Match Stats

Guadalajara Chivas
33% Ball Possession 67%
0.4 Expected Goals (xG) 1.65
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Goal 6
1 Shots off Goal 8
2 Blocked Shots 4
3 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 10
2 Corner Kicks 6
3 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
339 Total passes 671
262 Passes accurate 598
9 Free Kicks 10
Leon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Paul Bellón D 8.2 23' 1 – 2 8 (5%) –
23 Oscar García G 7.3 90' – – – 39 (23%) –
14 Jhohan Romaña D 7.2 90' – 1 – 40 (37%) 3
27 Diber Cambindo F 6.9 67' – – 2 14 (11%) 2
13 Daniel Arcila M 6.8 90' – – 2 31 (27%) 1
19 José Alvarado F 6.7 90' – – 2 25 (11%) –
11 Ismael Díaz F 6.5 15' – – – 1 (1%) –
7 Iván Moreno D 6.5 75' – – – 21 (19%) 1
18 Edgar Guerra M 6.4 15' – – – 2 (2%) –
203 Jesús Lara M 6.4 32' – – – 5 (2%) 1
3 Juan Guevara D 6.3 75' – – – 43 (40%) 1
185 C. Mora D 6.3 23' – – – 3 (2%) –
5 Sebastián Vegas D 6.2 67' – – – 25 (18%) 2
6 Fernando Beltrán M 6.2 58' – – – 28 (22%) –
20 Rodrigo Echeverría M 6.1 90' – – – 24 (18%) 3
29 José Rodríguez M 5.6 53' – – – 30 (24%) 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Raúl Rangel G 7.5 90' – – – 21 (20%) –
17 Ricardo Marín F 7.4 30' 1 – 2 8 (5%) –
10 Efrain Alvarez M 7.3 76' – – 1 64 (55%) 2
11 Brian Gutiérrez M 7.2 30' – – 2 27 (24%) –
28 Fernando González M 7.2 84' – – – 83 (79%) 3
25 Roberto Alvarado M 6.9 90' – – 4 58 (53%) 1
6 Omar Govea M 6.9 60' – – 1 41 (41%) 1
7 Luis Romo D 6.8 90' – – 1 87 (75%) –
30 Santiago Sandoval F 6.7 90' – – 5 35 (28%) 1
23 Daniel Aguirre D 6.6 84' – 1 – 51 (42%) 1
3 Diego Campillo D 6.6 90' – – – 75 (71%) 1
5 Bryan González M 6.5 90' – – 2 59 (53%) 1
2 José Castillo D 6.3 6' – – – 11 (10%) –
33 Jordan Carrillo M 6.3 14' – – – 15 (13%) –
37 Richard Ledezma M 6.1 60' – – – 23 (19%) 2
16 Luis Gabriel Rey D 5.9 6' – – – 13 (10%) –
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Guadalajara Chivas o pareggio
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Leon
DLDWL
Guadalajara Chivas
DWWWD
Last 2 meetings Leon · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, León faces Guadalajara Chivas. León has shown a solid home performance this season, averaging 1.8 goals per game while maintaining a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.9 goals per match. On the other hand, Chivas has struggled on the road, with only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures and an average of 1.2 goals scored per game. The matchup will likely hinge on León's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against Chivas' defense, which has been inconsistent away from home. Expect a competitive encounter with León looking to secure vital points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
45%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Leon
J. Alvarado 6 gls
Guadalajara Chivas

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas

1 Leon Wins
0 Draws
1 Guadalajara Chivas Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Mar 2026 Guadalajara Chivas 5 - 0 Leon
19 Jul 2025 Leon 1 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas

Leon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
09 Nov H Guadalajara Chivas D 1 - 1
02 Nov A Cruz Azul L 2 - 1
24 Oct H Toluca D 1 - 1
21 Oct A Tigres UANL W 0 - 2
18 Oct H Club America L 3 - 5

Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
09 Nov A Leon D 1 - 1
01 Nov H Atlante FC W 4 - 2
25 Oct A Monterrey W 0 - 1
21 Oct H Necaxa W 1 - 0
17 Oct H Tigres UANL D 1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Cruz Azul
16 10 2 4 +11 32
2
Club America
16 8 6 2 +15 30
3
Guadalajara Chivas
16 8 6 2 +11 30
4
Toluca
16 7 6 3 +14 27
5
Atlas
16 8 3 5 -3 27
6
Santos Laguna
16 8 1 7 +3 25
7
Leon
16 6 5 5 +2 23
8
CF Pachuca
16 6 4 6 +9 22
9
Club Tijuana
16 5 7 4 +3 22
10
Monterrey
15 6 3 6 +1 21
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
16 5 6 5 -2 21
12
Club Queretaro
15 6 2 7 -5 20
13
Puebla
16 5 4 7 -4 19
14
Atletico San Luis
16 5 4 7 -5 19
15
Tigres UANL
16 3 6 7 -8 15
16
Atlante FC
16 3 5 8 -10 14
17
Necaxa
16 3 4 9 -11 13
18
FC Juarez
16 3 2 11 -21 11

Guadalajara Chivas

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: G. Milito
1 Rangel
7 Romo
3 Campillo
23 Aguirre
5 González
6 Govea
28 González
37 Ledezma
10 Álvarez
25 Alvarado
30 Sandoval

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Rangel G
23 D. Aguirre D
3 D. Campillo D
7 L. Romo D
37 R. Ledezma M
28 R. González M
6 O. Govea M
5 B. González M
25 R. Alvarado M
10 E. Álvarez M
30 Santiago Sandoval F

Substitutes

14 H. Camberos M
33 J. Carrillo M
19 K. Castañeda M
2 J. Castillo D
11 B. Gutiérrez M
24 M. Gómez D
17 R. Marín F
16 L. Rey D
9 Á. Sepúlveda F
13 Óscar Whalley G

Leon

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: J. Gandolfi
23 García
5 Vegas
3 Possu
14 Romaña
7 Moreno
13 Arcila
6 Beltrán
29 Rodríguez
20 Echeverría
19 Alvarado
27 Cambindo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Ó. García G
7 I. Moreno D
14 J. Romaña D
3 Juan José Guevara Possu D
5 S. Vegas D
20 R. Echeverría M
29 J. Rodríguez M
6 F. Beltrán M
13 D. Arcila M
27 D. Cambindo F
19 J. Alvarado F

Substitutes

25 P. Bellón D
4 B. Colula D
16 J. Cortizo M
8 J. Domínguez M
11 I. Díaz F
247 I. Espinosa M
18 E. Guerra M
203 J. Lara M
181 Irving Martínez G
185 C. Mora D

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