Club America vs Toluca Previsione

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 15
FT
Post on X
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Previsione AI Club America o pareggio
40%
26%
33%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Club America vs Toluca: Sportiko assegna a Club America una probabilità di vittoria del 40%, a Toluca del 33% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 1 Nov 2026, 05:20.

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Timeline

▮ 19'
Federico Pereira Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 42'
Federico Viñas assist: Helinho
HT 0–1
▮ 54'
Jesús Gallardo Yellow Card
Franco Rossano ⇄ Cristián Borja
55' ⇄
Isaías Violante ⇄ M. Borja
55' ⇄
⇄ 59'
Jorge Díaz ⇄ Everardo López
Henry Martín
62' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 65'
Helinho ⇄ Alexis Vega
⇄ 66'
Fernando Arce Juárez ⇄ Érick Gutiérrez
⇄ 69'
Nicolás Castro ⇄ Jesús Ricardo Angulo
⇄ 70'
Bruno Méndez ⇄ Paulinho
Carlos Álvarez ⇄ Alexis Gutiérrez
78' ⇄
Santiago Bueno Red Card
85' ▮
Santiago Bueno Card upgrade confirmed
85' 🖵
✗ 87'
Alexis Vega Missed Penalty
⚽ 1–2 87'
Alexis Vega
▮ 90+1'
Federico Pereira Red Card
Henry Martín Penalty
90+2' ⚽ 2–2
Israel Reyes Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
Henry Martín ⇄ Alan Cervantes
90+5' ⇄
M. Borja Yellow Card
90+6' ▮
Erick Sánchez Yellow Card
90+10' ▮
FT 2–2
Club America

Match Stats

Toluca
54% Ball Possession 46%
2.03 Expected Goals (xG) 1.91
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 6
11 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 9
6 Corner Kicks 5
0 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 1
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
412 Total passes 361
317 Passes accurate 262
14 Free Kicks 14
Club America
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Henry Martín F 8.1 95' 2 – 3 31 (18%) –
1 Luis Malagón G 7.2 90' – – – 26 (18%) –
12 Isaías Violante M 6.8 55' – – 1 22 (20%) –
15 Santiago Ramos Mingo D 6.6 90' – – – 53 (43%) 2
8 Carlos Álvarez M 6.4 78' – – 1 17 (15%) –
28 Erick Sánchez M 6.3 90' – – 2 62 (52%) 3
93 M. Borja F 6.3 35' – – 1 3 (2%) –
24 Franco Rossano D 6.2 55' – – – 29 (21%) 3
22 Óscar Perea M 6.2 90' – – 3 16 (10%) 2
5 Kevin Álvarez D 6.1 90' – – 1 44 (34%) 1
20 Alexis Gutiérrez M 6.1 12' – – – 3 (2%) –
26 Cristián Borja D 6.0 35' – – – 8 (6%) –
3 Israel Reyes M 5.9 90' – – 3 58 (41%) 1
14 Santiago Bueno D 5.9 85' – – – 38 (33%) 1
Toluca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Alexis Vega F 8.2 25' 1 – 5 6 (5%) 1
16 Federico Viñas F 7.9 90' 1 – 2 12 (10%) –
11 Helinho M 7.1 65' – 1 2 27 (20%) 1
26 Paulinho F 6.7 20' – – – 6 (4%) –
19 Santiago Simón D 6.5 90' – – – 32 (24%) 3
5 Franco Romero M 6.5 90' – – 1 35 (27%) 2
8 Nicolás Castro M 6.4 69' – – 2 26 (22%) 2
22 Luis García G 6.3 90' – – – 40 (26%) –
25 Everardo López D 6.3 31' – – – 13 (9%) 1
35 Érick Gutiérrez M 6.2 24' – – 1 10 (9%) 1
24 Fernando Arce Juárez M 6.2 66' – – – 20 (12%) 4
10 Jesús Ricardo Angulo M 6.1 21' – – 1 5 (4%) –
4 Bruno Méndez D 6.1 70' – – – 27 (17%) 3
29 Jorge Díaz M 6.0 59' – – – 17 (16%) –
20 Jesús Gallardo D 5.9 90' – – – 48 (29%) –
6 Federico Pereira D 5.6 91' – – 3 41 (29%) 2
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Club America o pareggio
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Club America
DDDLW
Toluca
WDDDD
Last 2 meetings Club America · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Club America will host Toluca. Club America has displayed strong form at home, boasting a solid attack with an average of 2.1 goals per game this season. Meanwhile, Toluca has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game on the road. The contrasting styles—Club America's aggressive offense against Toluca's leaky defense—could define the match's outcome. Key players to watch include Club America's leading scorer, who has been pivotal in their offensive play, and Toluca's midfield, which will need to control possession to limit Club America's chances.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
40%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
33%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Club America
H. Martín 10 gls
M. Borja 6 gls
B. Rodríguez 5 gls
Toluca
F. Viñas 8 gls
A. Vega 5 gls

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Head to Head: Club America vs Toluca

1 Club America Wins
0 Draws
1 Toluca Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Apr 2026 Club America 2 - 1 Toluca
09 Nov 2025 Toluca 2 - 0 Club America

Club America — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A U.N.A.M. - Pumas D 2 - 2
01 Nov H Toluca D 2 - 2
29 Oct H Club Tijuana D 1 - 1
26 Oct H CF Pachuca L 1 - 2
22 Oct A Atlas W 2 - 5

Toluca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Monterrey W 4 - 0
01 Nov A Club America D 2 - 2
24 Oct A Leon D 1 - 1
22 Oct H Club Tijuana D 2 - 2
18 Oct H Atletico San Luis D 1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Club America
15 8 5 2 +15 29
2
Guadalajara Chivas
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Cruz Azul
15 9 2 4 +10 29
4
Atlas
16 8 3 5 -3 27
5
Santos Laguna
16 8 1 7 +3 25
6
Toluca
15 6 6 3 +10 24
7
CF Pachuca
16 6 4 6 +9 22
8
Club Tijuana
16 5 7 4 +3 22
9
Leon
15 6 4 5 +2 22
10
Monterrey
14 6 3 5 +5 21
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
15 5 5 5 -2 20
12
Club Queretaro
14 6 2 6 -3 20
13
Atletico San Luis
16 5 4 7 -5 19
14
Puebla
15 4 4 7 -6 16
15
Tigres UANL
15 3 6 6 -7 15
16
Atlante FC
16 3 5 8 -10 14
17
Necaxa
16 3 4 9 -11 13
18
FC Juarez
16 3 2 11 -21 11

Toluca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Mohamed
22 García
20 Gallardo
6 Pereira
4 Méndez
19 Simón
5 Romero
24 Arce
8 Castro
29 Díaz
11 Helinho
16 Viñas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 L. García G
19 S. Simón D
4 B. Méndez D
6 F. Pereira D
20 J. Gallardo D
24 F. Arce M
5 F. Romero M
11 Helinho M
29 J. Díaz M
8 N. Castro M
16 F. Viñas F

Substitutes

9 A. Vega F
15 P. Pérez M
25 E. López D
35 É. Gutiérrez M
1 H. González G
17 B. García D
13 Luan D
26 Paulinho F
2 D. Barbosa D
10 J. Angulo M

Club America

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: G. Almada
1 Malagón
24 Rossano
15 Ramos
14 Bueno
5 Álvarez
28 Sánchez
3 Reyes
22 Perea
8 Álvarez
12 Violante
9 Martín

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Malagón G
5 K. Álvarez D
14 S. Bueno D
15 S. Ramos D
24 F. Rossano D
3 I. Reyes M
28 É. Sánchez M
12 I. Violante M
8 Carlos Álvarez M
22 Ó. Perea M
9 H. Martín F

Substitutes

26 C. Borja D
93 M. Borja F
6 E. Cerrillo M
13 A. Cervantes M
30 R. Cota G
20 A. Gutiérrez M
206 Derek Jimenez M
2 E. Lara D
32 M. Vázquez D

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