Tigres UANL vs Leon Previsione

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 13
FT
Post on X
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León, San Nicolás de los Garza
Previsione AI Tigres UANL o pareggio
44%
28%
28%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Tigres UANL vs Leon: Sportiko assegna a Tigres UANL una probabilità di vittoria del 44%, a Leon del 28% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 21 Oct 2026, 05:08.

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
  • Ospite a Segno 71%
  • Under 3.5 Gol 71%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 19'
Ismael Díaz
HT 0–1
▮ 46'
Sebastián Vegas Yellow Card
Ozziel Herrera ⇄ Rodrigo Aguirre
58' ⇄
Henrique Simeone Koifman ⇄ Diego Sánchez
58' ⇄
⇄ 64'
Iván Moreno ⇄ Bryan Colula
⇄ 64'
Fernando Beltrán ⇄ José Rodríguez
⇄ 73'
Sebastián Vegas ⇄ Diber Cambindo
⇄ 73'
José Alvarado ⇄ C. Mora
Emiliano Gómez ⇄ Ricardo Monreal
81' ⇄
Fernando Gorriarán ⇄ César Araújo
81' ⇄
⇄ 84'
Edgar Guerra ⇄ Paul Bellón
J. Garza ⇄ J. Contreras
86' ⇄
⚽ 0–2 89'
Diber Cambindo assist: Rodrigo Echeverría
FT 0–2
Tigres UANL

Match Stats

Leon
70% Ball Possession 30%
1.83 Expected Goals (xG) 2.07
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 5
16 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 1
5 Fouls 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
623 Total passes 276
551 Passes accurate 203
18 Free Kicks 4
Tigres UANL
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Fernando Gorriarán M 7.2 81' – – 4 66 (59%) 2
34 Henrique Simeone Koifman M 7.2 58' – – 1 58 (50%) 1
15 Alan Franco D 6.9 90' – – 2 88 (78%) 1
19 Mauro Laínez D 6.9 90' – – – 79 (69%) 6
30 Diego Sánchez F 6.8 32' – – 1 32 (27%) –
9 Emiliano Gómez M 6.7 81' – – 1 37 (33%) 1
16 Diego Lainez M 6.6 90' – – – 57 (45%) 2
1 Nahuel Guzmán G 6.5 90' – – – 20 (18%) –
14 J. Garza D 6.5 86' – – 1 49 (46%) 2
33 Rafael Guerrero D 6.4 90' – – 1 71 (66%) 1
29 J. Contreras F 6.4 4' – – – 9 (9%) 1
22 Guillermo Martínez F 6.3 90' – – 6 9 (9%) –
17 Rodrigo Aguirre F 6.2 32' – – 1 2 (2%) –
21 Ricardo Monreal F 6.2 9' – – – 2 (2%) –
5 César Araújo M 6.1 9' – – – 12 (12%) 1
77 Ozziel Herrera M 6.0 58' – – 1 32 (26%) 1
Leon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Ismael Díaz M 8.2 90' 1 – 3 26 (20%) 5
23 Oscar García G 8.0 90' – – – 30 (15%) –
20 Rodrigo Echeverría M 7.7 90' – 1 – 29 (23%) –
7 Iván Moreno D 7.4 64' – – – 26 (21%) 6
27 Diber Cambindo F 7.4 17' 1 – 1 3 (2%) –
25 Paul Bellón D 7.2 6' – – – – 2
5 Sebastián Vegas D 7.1 73' – – – 20 (19%) 2
14 Jhohan Romaña D 7.1 90' – – – 10 (8%) 1
4 Bryan Colula D 7.0 26' – – – 8 (6%) 1
3 Juan Guevara D 6.9 90' – – – 27 (18%) 2
29 José Rodríguez M 6.9 26' – – – 2 1
185 C. Mora D 6.9 17' – – – 3 (1%) –
6 Fernando Beltrán M 6.7 64' – – 1 20 (16%) 2
13 Daniel Arcila M 6.6 90' – – 2 35 (27%) 2
18 Edgar Guerra M 6.6 84' – – 2 19 (16%) 3
19 José Alvarado F 6.3 73' – – 3 18 (11%) –
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Tigres UANL o pareggio
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Tigres UANL
LLDLD
Leon
LDWLD
Last 2 meetings Tigres UANL · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Tigres UANL faces Leon in a matchup that promises to be competitive. Tigres has shown strong form at home, boasting an impressive record with a solid defensive setup, conceding only 0.8 goals per game this season. Meanwhile, Leon has been effective in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game, but may struggle against Tigres' organized defense. The outcome will likely hinge on Tigres' ability to control the midfield and limit Leon's key playmakers. Both teams will be eager to secure crucial points as they push for playoff positioning.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
44%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
28%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Tigres UANL
J. Brunetta 8 gls
Leon
J. Alvarado 6 gls

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Head to Head: Tigres UANL vs Leon

1 Tigres UANL Wins
1 Draws
0 Leon Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Feb 2026 Leon 1 - 2 Tigres UANL
13 Sep 2025 Tigres UANL 0 - 0 Leon

Tigres UANL — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Cruz Azul L 2 - 3
31 Oct A CF Pachuca L 3 - 0
25 Oct A U.N.A.M. - Pumas D 1 - 1
21 Oct H Leon L 0 - 2
17 Oct A Guadalajara Chivas D 1 - 1

Leon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Nov A Cruz Azul L 2 - 1
24 Oct H Toluca D 1 - 1
21 Oct A Tigres UANL W 0 - 2
18 Oct H Club America L 3 - 5
10 Oct A Puebla D 1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Club America
15 8 5 2 +15 29
2
Guadalajara Chivas
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Cruz Azul
15 9 2 4 +10 29
4
Atlas
16 8 3 5 -3 27
5
Santos Laguna
16 8 1 7 +3 25
6
Toluca
15 6 6 3 +10 24
7
CF Pachuca
16 6 4 6 +9 22
8
Club Tijuana
16 5 7 4 +3 22
9
Leon
15 6 4 5 +2 22
10
Monterrey
14 6 3 5 +5 21
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
15 5 5 5 -2 20
12
Club Queretaro
14 6 2 6 -3 20
13
Atletico San Luis
16 5 4 7 -5 19
14
Puebla
15 4 4 7 -6 16
15
Tigres UANL
15 3 6 6 -7 15
16
Atlante FC
16 3 5 8 -10 14
17
Necaxa
16 3 4 9 -11 13
18
FC Juarez
16 3 2 11 -21 11

Tigres UANL

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Vucetich
1 Guzmán
19 Laínez
33 Guerrero
15 Franco
14 Garza
34 Simeone
8 Gorriarán
77 Herrera
9 Gómez
16 Lainez
22 Martínez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Guzmán G
14 J. Garza D
15 A. Franco D
33 R. Guerrero D
19 M. Laínez D
8 F. Gorriarán M
34 Simeone M
16 D. Lainez M
9 E. Gómez M
77 O. Herrera M
22 G. Martínez F

Substitutes

29 J. Contreras F
5 C. Araújo M
17 R. Aguirre F
184 I. Aceves D
32 V. Loroña D
21 R. Monreal F
25 F. Rodríguez G
30 D. Sánchez F
6 J. Vigón M
192 E. J. Villavicencio Avila M

Leon

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: J. Gandolfi
23 García
5 Vegas
3 Possu
14 Romaña
7 Moreno
20 Echeverría
11 Díaz
13 Arcila
6 Beltrán
18 Guerra
19 Alvarado

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Ó. García G
7 I. Moreno D
14 J. Romaña D
3 Juan José Guevara Possu D
5 S. Vegas D
20 R. Echeverría M
18 E. Guerra M
6 F. Beltrán M
13 D. Arcila M
11 I. Díaz M
19 J. Alvarado F

Substitutes

25 P. Bellón D
27 D. Cambindo F
4 B. Colula D
247 I. Espinosa M
203 J. Lara M
21 S. Londoño F
181 Irving Martínez G
185 C. Mora D
26 S. Reyes M
29 J. Rodríguez M

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