Toluca vs FC Juarez Previsione

Liga MX · Apertura - 6

Post on X

FC Juarez

Away

Previsione AI Toluca vince o pareggia

74%

17%

10%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Toluca vs FC Juarez: Sportiko assegna a Toluca una probabilità di vittoria del 74%, a FC Juarez del 10% e al pareggio del 17%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 01:59.

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1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Under 3.5 Gol 73%
Home/Draw & Over 1.5 71%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Helinho assist: Everardo López

10' ⚽ 1–0

Oswaldo Virgen Goal Disallowed - Foul

17' 🖵

Jesús Murillo Own Goal

34' ⚽ 2–0

Helinho Yellow Card

35' ▮

HT 2–0

Alexis Vega ⇄ Nicolás Castro

46' ⇄

Federico Pereira ⇄ Jesús Gallardo

46' ⇄

▮ 58'

Francisco Nevarez Yellow Card

⇄ 65'

Francisco Nevarez ⇄ Alejandro Mayorga

⇄ 65'

Monchu ⇄ Guilherme Castilho

Helinho ⇄ Federico Viñas

70' ⇄

Franco Romero ⇄ Fernando Arce Juárez

70' ⇄

Oswaldo Virgen

73' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 74'

Gilberto Sepúlveda ⇄ Madson de Souza Silva

Federico Viñas assist: Oswaldo Virgen

79' ⚽ 4–0

⇄ 81'

José Luis Rodríguez

⇄ 81'

Óscar Estupiñán ⇄ Ricardinho

Oswaldo Virgen ⇄ Antonio Briseño

81' ⇄

FT 4–0

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Confidence High (74%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Toluca vince o pareggia

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.6%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Toluca

LWWWW

FC Juarez

WLLLL

Last 3 meetings Toluca · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Toluca faces FC Juarez. Toluca has been performing consistently well, with a strong offensive output averaging 1.8 goals per match this season. Meanwhile, FC Juarez struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Historically, Toluca has had the upper hand in their encounters, with a higher win rate against Juarez. Expect Toluca to leverage their attacking prowess to secure crucial points in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Juarez goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	3	1
1	14	9	2
2	16	9	3
3	11	6	2
4	6	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Toluca goals · most likely 2–0 (15.6%)

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Players in form

Toluca

F. Viñas 4 gls

FC Juarez

Ó. Estupiñán 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

17%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

74%

Draw

17%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	2.8%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	13.6%	9.4%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.6%	8.9%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
3	11.1%	6.3%	1.8%	0.3%	0.1%
4	5.9%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toluca	Draw	FC Juarez
Toluca	52.9%	2.7%	0.5%
Draw	19.0%	13.3%	3.3%
FC Juarez	1.7%	2.4%	4.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

57%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Toluca vs FC Juarez

2 Toluca Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Juarez Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	Toluca	3 - 1	FC Juarez
30 Nov 2025	Toluca	0 - 0	FC Juarez
27 Nov 2025	FC Juarez	1 - 2	Toluca

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Toluca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Sep	H Santos Laguna	L	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Puebla	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Atlas	W	5 - 2
07 Sep	H Monterrey	W	2 - 0
03 Sep	H Leon	W	2 - 0

FC Juarez — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Tigres UANL	W	2 - 0
14 Sep	A Santos Laguna	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H CF Pachuca	L	0 - 2
31 Aug	A Toluca	L	4 - 0
22 Aug	H Club America	L	1 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Toluca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Mohamed

1 Gonzalez

25 López

6 Pereira

13 Luan

184 Aceves

23 Virgen

5 Romero

9 Vega

7 Guzmán

11 Helinho

29 Díaz

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Hugo Gonzalez	G
184	Sebastian Aceves	D
13	Luan	D
6	Federico Pereira	D
25	Everardo López	D
5	Franco Romero	M
23	Oswaldo Virgen	M
11	Helinho	M
7	Víctor Guzmán	M
9	Alexis Vega	M
29	Jorge Díaz	F

Substitutes

12	Ronaldo Dimas	G
4	Bruno Méndez	D
20	Jesús Gallardo	D
3	Antonio Briseño	D
24	Fernando Arce Juárez	M
192	Luis Navarrete	D
15	Pavel Pérez	M
8	Nicolás Castro	M
16	Federico Viñas	F
198	Jose Estrada	M

FC Juarez

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Salvador Valero

1 Jurado

20 Aquino

2 Sepúlveda

3 Murillo

33 Nevarez

6 Monchu

13 Dourado

11 Rodríguez

10 Torres

5 Garcia

19 Estupiñán

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Sebastián Jurado	G
33	Francisco Nevarez	D
3	Jesús Murillo	D
2	Gilberto Sepúlveda	D
20	Javier Aquino	D
13	Rodrigo Dourado	M
6	Monchu	M
5	Denzell Garcia	M
10	Jairo Torres	M
11	José Luis Rodríguez	M
19	Óscar Estupiñán	F

Substitutes

24	Benny Díaz	G
14	Eder Lopez	M
4	Alejandro Mayorga	D
23	Haret Ortega	D
9	Madson de Souza Silva	F
16	Juan Sigala	M
201	Jan Carmona	M
21	Ricardinho	M
7	Raymundo Fulgencio	M
8	Guilherme Castilho	M